NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	87		Excitement	6.4 [505]		MVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): +38.4%
Chicago Bulls	88		Comeback	1.6 [793]		LVP	Patrick Ewing (NYK): -37.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Buck Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.02	8	44%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
John Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.00	15	53%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	0.05	13	64%	0.06	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Charles Oakley	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	15	33%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.08	-0.06	0.03	18	38%	-0.12	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	-0.37	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.18,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.29,-0.33,-0.37,-0.33,-0.37	-0.16	-0.20	0.02	23	40%	-0.18	5	-0.20	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.26	0.15	0.03	30	72%	0.45	2	-0.06	11	91%	0.03
Bill Wennington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	9	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.07	0.01	15	48%	-0.03	5	-0.13	1	100%	0.00
Luc Longley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16	-0.16	-0.16	-0.03	-0.02	5	17%	-0.07	4	-0.10	2	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.8	27.4	16.6	25.2	2.5	30.5	133.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +45.3%

CHI +8.2%

NYK -1.2%

NYK -3.5%

CHI +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHI	NBA	NYK	CHI	NBA
this game	15.6	15.4	15.6	94.6	93.6	104.4
season	15.1	15.5		102.0	110.5
opponent	16.1	16.1		99.8	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.3	14.8	18.0	15.5	15.6
CHI	15.1	15.2	14.1	17.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Buck Williams	35	35	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.22	6	-7	13	15.9	15.4	0.48	17.5	14.2	3.30
Chris Childs	67	71	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.44	11	-12	23	15.7	15.3	0.42	14.4	18.3	-3.93
Larry Johnson	79	80	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.47	12	-13	25	15.8	14.4	1.40	16.4	9.6	6.83
John Wallace	6	6	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	9	-19	14.2	15.7	-1.52	11.5	15.6	-4.15
Allan Houston	76	77	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	0	-1	15.6	15.4	0.18	15.5	14.9	0.61
Patrick Ewing	80	81	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.45	-2	1	-3	15.3	17.2	-1.91	15.9	12.5	3.39
Charlie Ward	45	46	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.25	-10	9	-19	15.3	15.9	-0.58	15.6	15.2	0.44
Charles Oakley	72	74	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.23	-11	10	-21	15.7	15.3	0.37	13.8	21.3	-7.58

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Brown	65	59	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.43	7	-6	13	14.1	18.2	-4.08	15.7	15.3	0.40
Toni Kukoc	64	64	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.18	15	-14	29	14.5	17.3	-2.86	15.0	17.0	-1.98
Michael Jordan	82	84	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.32	7	-6	13	16.1	10.4	5.69	15.7	14.9	0.78
Scottie Pippen	81	78	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.41	2	-1	3	14.9	18.5	-3.57	15.5	16.3	-0.82
Bill Wennington	32	31	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.18	5	-4	9	14.3	15.9	-1.58	16.4	15.2	1.21
Luc Longley	62	61	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.29	-4	5	-9	15.9	14.3	1.58	15.2	16.4	-1.21
Jason Caffey	42	42	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.27	-12	13	-25	18.0	13.3	4.69	16.7	14.6	2.12
Steve Kerr	42	41	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.27	-15	16	-31	15.7	15.2	0.51	15.2	15.9	-0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.54,0.61,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.48,0.56,0.66,0.8,0.74,0.82,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.85,0.74,0.65,0.77,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 93, SAC 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.65,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.83,0.91,0.87,0.7,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.98,1,1	92.8%
CHA 92, IND 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.7,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.97,0.99,1,1	92.7%
IND 94, DET 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.84,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.79,0.85,0.93,0.85,0.95,0.97,1,1	92.5%