NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	94		Excitement	5.9 [651]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): +12.5%
Detroit Pistons	100		Comeback	1.7 [1103]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): -19.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.1	0.16	-0.01	0.06	16	75%	0.23	4	-0.13	12	92%	0.04
Roy Hibbert	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	7	57%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	5	64%	0.05	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	9	55%	0.05	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Jeff Foster	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
T.J. Ford	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	8	56%	0.06	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	9	41%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	11	50%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.02	15	59%	0.13	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Walter Herrmann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.00	6	83%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.00	9	44%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	9	40%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	4	64%	0.05	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	13	45%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	11	37%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19	-0.19	-0.07	-0.08	0.04	13	50%	-0.05	5	-0.14	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.6	29.1	16.4	25.6	2.7	41.5	142.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +21.1%

IND -10.8%

DET +10.8%

DET +23.7%

DET +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DET	NBA	IND	DET	NBA
this game	13.0	16.4	15.5	94.9	103.1	106.4
season	14.1	16.9		106.5	104.9
opponent	15.7	15.3		106.2	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.7	12.1	14.1	11.4	13.0
DET	18.2	14.6	18.0	15.7	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
T.J. Ford	64	63	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.15	3	-9	12	12.6	13.7	-1.03	16.1	17.1	-1.05
Danny Granger	80	81	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.35	8	-14	22	12.3	15.7	-3.33	16.5	16.0	0.52
Roy Hibbert	13	12	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	0	-6	13.8	12.9	0.90	14.3	16.7	-2.40
Rasho Nesterovic	47	48	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.10	-1	-5	4	14.1	12.0	2.17	17.7	15.2	2.57
Jeff Foster	41	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.09	-3	-3	0	12.5	13.3	-0.86	18.2	15.4	2.80
Brandon Rush	47	46	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-3	0	12.7	13.2	-0.55	17.5	15.5	2.07
Marquis Daniels	66	63	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.32	-4	-2	-2	14.1	10.8	3.30	16.5	16.2	0.30
Troy Murphy	81	79	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.36	-4	-2	-2	13.1	12.7	0.40	15.3	21.5	-6.22
Jarrett Jack	56	56	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.14	-20	14	-34	12.4	13.8	-1.37	15.5	17.7	-2.12

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chauncey Billups	67	70	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.18	12	-6	18	16.8	15.6	1.25	13.6	11.4	2.18
Tayshaun Prince	62	65	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.22	7	-1	8	16.8	15.8	0.95	13.6	11.9	1.64
Rasheed Wallace	65	68	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.30	3	3	0	16.9	15.6	1.30	13.4	12.2	1.16
Antonio McDyess	39	39	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.15	4	2	2	16.0	16.7	-0.72	12.3	13.4	-1.13
Richard Hamilton	65	67	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.23	0	6	-6	17.3	14.7	2.65	13.0	13.0	-0.01
Rodney Stuckey	36	36	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.12	2	4	-2	14.7	17.5	-2.76	11.9	13.6	-1.73
Jason Maxiell	41	40	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	6	-6	15.4	17.2	-1.76	11.9	13.7	-1.83
Amir Johnson	37	39	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.08	1	5	-4	18.4	15.2	3.23	14.9	11.8	3.11
Kwame Brown	6	6	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.00	3	3	0	15.8	16.5	-0.64	13.8	12.9	0.90
Arron Afflalo	32	31	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	7	-8	14.6	17.4	-2.79	11.8	13.5	-1.77
Walter Herrmann	35	34	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	7	-8	15.8	16.8	-0.95	11.9	13.6	-1.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.84,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.79,0.85,0.93,0.85,0.95,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 104, MIL 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.74,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.87,0.93,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.99,0.98,1,1	94.3%
POR 82, DEN 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%
CHA 92, IND 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.7,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.97,0.99,1,1	93.6%