NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	114		Excitement	8.1 [225]		MVP	Kendall Gill (NJN): +23.8%
New Jersey Nets	111		Comeback	8.6 [86]		LVP	Robert Pack (NJN): -27.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rony Seikaly	0.13	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.02	0.11	0.00	16	66%	0.27	4	-0.14	12	92%	0.04
Dennis Scott	0.03	0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.12	-0.05	0.04	18	67%	0.10	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Horace Grant	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0	0.06	-0.03	0.03	19	63%	0.13	3	-0.13	3	67%	-0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	56%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Nick Anderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Derek Strong	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	4	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06	-0.09	0.02	-0.01	9	43%	0.02	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.03
Gerald Wilkins	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.11	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kendall Gill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.21,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.23	0.03	0.02	25	76%	0.37	3	-0.13	4	100%	0.03
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.03	0.00	10	85%	0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lloyd Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yinka Dare	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Williams	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	15	39%	-0.11	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.11
Ed O'Bannon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	8	12%	-0.20	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.23,-0.28	-0.28	-0.08	-0.14	0.05	24	56%	-0.04	7	-0.23	11	82%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.0	29.2	16.7	28.7	1.8	38.5	140.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +10.7%

ORL +18.2%

ORL +21.9%

NJN -5.3%

ORL +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NJN	NBA	ORL	NJN	NBA
this game	14.6	13.8	15.6	110.7	111.0	104.4
season	16.4	15.4		102.9	101.7
opponent	14.9	15.5		106.6	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.2	11.6	16.8	13.8	14.6
NJN	12.0	15.0	12.0	16.3	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Shaw	46	45	0.71	-0.22	0.93	0.45	9	-6	15	13.1	15.8	-2.65	15.1	12.7	2.36
Rony Seikaly	82	78	0.64	-0.15	0.78	0.43	7	-4	11	14.8	13.7	1.14	13.8	13.7	0.08
Anfernee Hardaway	74	71	0.51	-0.02	0.53	0.45	2	1	1	14.9	13.7	1.18	13.3	14.9	-1.56
Nick Anderson	77	74	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.45	2	1	1	15.1	13.2	1.90	14.0	13.2	0.76
Derek Strong	32	32	0.23	0.26	-0.03	0.14	3	0	3	14.1	14.8	-0.65	15.6	13.0	2.61
Horace Grant	90	87	0.06	0.43	-0.37	0.21	-5	8	-13	14.8	12.7	2.15	13.4	16.6	-3.25
Dennis Scott	70	69	0.03	0.46	-0.43	0.00	1	2	-1	14.1	15.5	-1.39	13.1	15.3	-2.22
Gerald Wilkins	44	44	-0.23	0.72	-0.95	-0.11	-4	7	-11	14.7	14.4	0.31	13.5	14.1	-0.60

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Massenburg	35	38	0.26	-0.76	1.02	-0.06	11	-14	25	11.1	15.3	-4.20	15.9	13.8	2.05
Yinka Dare	12	12	-0.03	-0.46	0.43	-0.03	0	-3	3	11.5	14.1	-2.60	11.7	15.0	-3.29
Khalid Reeves	9	10	-0.12	-0.37	0.25	0.05	-6	3	-9	16.2	13.5	2.67	11.6	14.9	-3.29
Lloyd Daniels	9	10	-0.12	-0.37	0.25	0.05	-6	3	-9	16.2	13.5	2.67	11.6	14.9	-3.29
Robert Pack	91	93	-0.37	-0.12	-0.25	-0.46	3	-6	9	13.5	16.2	-2.67	14.9	11.6	3.29
Kerry Kittles	95	97	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.43	0	-3	3	13.7	16.4	-2.75	14.9	9.2	5.74
Kendall Gill	96	99	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.44	0	-3	3	13.7	16.0	-2.30	14.5	15.2	-0.70
Jayson Williams	96	98	-0.55	0.06	-0.61	-0.38	-6	3	-9	13.9	10.0	3.95	14.7	11.2	3.54
Ed O'Bannon	57	58	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.34	-11	8	-19	15.7	11.3	4.41	14.0	15.3	-1.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.9,0.86,0.86,0.77,0.59,0.65,0.47,0.38,0.46,0.1,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 101, MEM 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.67,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.59,0.62,0.79,0.71,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.68,0.64,0.47,0.27,0.31,0.22,0.02,0,0	91.7%
CHH 92, WAS 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.73,0.61,0.4,0.25,0.34,0.11,0,0	91.6%
WAS 118, MIL 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.74,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.75,0.83,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.82,0.91,0.89,0.77,0.64,0.6,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.03,0.01,0	91.3%