NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	99		Excitement	5.5 [673]		MVP	Patrick Ewing (NYK): +17.4%
New York Knicks	112		Comeback	1.4 [825]		LVP	Allan Houston (NYK): -16.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Walker	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	13	70%	0.09	3	-0.04	7	71%	-0.02
Todd Day	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	9	41%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Brett Szabo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marty Conlon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	4	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Greg Minor	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	13	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Dee Brown	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	10	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Eric Williams	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	14	47%	0.00	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
David Wesley	-0.11	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	8	41%	-0.03	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Rick Fox	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	16	35%	-0.10	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.04	0.03	13	79%	0.17	0	0.00	12	83%	0.03
John Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	8	83%	0.13	4	-0.08	7	71%	-0.01
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	11	62%	0.03	1	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	2	87%	0.08	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01
Walter McCarty	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	14	65%	0.08	3	-0.08	3	33%	-0.03
Chris Childs	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	2	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Buck Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	6	37%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	0%	-0.06
Allan Houston	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.15	-0.01	0.00	16	35%	-0.06	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	1.8	28.2	26.4	28.5	2.3	31.5	143.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +48.6%

BOS -0.8%

NYK +13.8%

BOS -11.2%

BOS -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NYK	NBA	BOS	NYK	NBA
this game	15.3	14.1	15.6	101.0	114.3	104.4
season	14.8	15.1		101.8	102.0
opponent	16.1	14.7		98.8	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.8	14.8	17.6	13.2	15.3
NYK	14.2	14.5	13.7	13.9	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brett Szabo	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-15	17	15.7	15.3	0.48	11.2	14.2	-2.97
David Wesley	77	78	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-13	13	14.9	16.7	-1.76	14.3	13.3	1.01
Rick Fox	69	69	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-10	7	15.0	16.1	-1.11	14.0	14.4	-0.44
Eric Williams	65	68	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-11	9	15.7	14.5	1.16	14.3	13.7	0.63
Antoine Walker	60	60	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-2	-9	15.1	15.5	-0.35	14.2	13.9	0.30
Todd Day	52	49	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.00	-12	-1	-11	14.8	15.8	-0.98	13.9	14.3	-0.49
Marty Conlon	45	44	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	-4	-5	15.1	15.5	-0.36	14.2	14.0	0.14
Dee Brown	63	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.09	-18	5	-23	15.9	14.2	1.73	14.1	14.2	-0.11
Greg Minor	55	55	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.21	-12	-1	-11	15.8	14.7	1.09	14.0	14.2	-0.19

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allan Houston	67	68	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.06	16	-3	19	14.5	13.2	1.28	15.9	13.9	2.00
John Wallace	70	69	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.18	7	6	1	13.9	14.5	-0.56	15.0	15.9	-0.87
Chris Childs	58	58	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	3	7	14.1	14.1	0.05	15.8	14.6	1.20
John Starks	62	63	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	4	5	13.6	15.0	-1.42	15.0	15.7	-0.71
Charlie Ward	50	49	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.02	10	3	7	14.4	13.8	0.57	14.4	16.1	-1.71
Charles Oakley	72	72	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.08	6	7	-1	13.6	15.6	-2.01	15.5	14.8	0.65
Buck Williams	40	41	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	9	-5	14.7	13.7	1.09	14.3	16.0	-1.75
Patrick Ewing	69	69	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.04	5	8	-3	14.4	13.3	1.12	15.8	14.0	1.83
Walter McCarty	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	9.5	14.2	-4.70	13.0	15.3	-2.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.78,0.78,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.78,0.85,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 84, BOS 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.9%
HOU 98, DEN 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.72,0.76,0.9,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.8%
NJN 87, CHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.5%