NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	81		Excitement	8.9 [136]		MVP	Mario Elie (HOU): +35.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	78		Comeback	2.8 [279]		LVP	Hakeem Olajuwon (HOU): -34.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mario Elie	0.36	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.36	0.17	0.19	0.00	9	104%	0.47	3	-0.11	7	100%	0.09
Sam Mack	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	0.00	3	43%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Brent Price	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Randy Livingston	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13	0.04	-0.15	0.02	8	56%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Barkley	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.16	-0.04	-0.01	12	29%	-0.10	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Clyde Drexler	-0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26	-0.16	-0.10	0.00	10	33%	-0.14	4	-0.13	7	57%	-0.03
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.34	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.24,-0.4,-0.34	-0.15	-0.19	-0.00	15	55%	0.08	8	-0.42	10	80%	-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Lang	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donny Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	-0.00	5	60%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	21	55%	0.08	5	-0.13	5	100%	0.03
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.08	-0.01	6	57%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.12
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	6	50%	-0.04	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.07
Mark West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	2	0%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.07	-0.00	8	32%	-0.09	2	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Bobby Phills	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.21	-0.21	-0.02	-0.17	0.01	18	56%	-0.07	4	-0.14	5	80%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	1.8	29.1	14.8	25.1	1.7	43.0	137.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +22.7%

HOU +16.0%

HOU +38.5%

CLE -31.6%

HOU +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	CLE	NBA	HOU	CLE	NBA
this game	16.0	17.1	15.6	93.1	89.7	104.4
season	15.5	17.8		107.2	102.1
opponent	16.1	15.4		100.0	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.4	14.5	18.3	16.1	16.0
CLE	18.2	17.4	15.3	17.4	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clyde Drexler	69	69	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.43	9	-6	15	15.7	17.4	-1.78	16.1	20.7	-4.61
Matt Maloney	57	60	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.37	7	-4	11	15.9	16.2	-0.25	16.5	18.4	-1.89
Charles Barkley	78	77	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.37	6	-3	9	16.2	14.9	1.28	16.6	21.0	-4.44
Hakeem Olajuwon	75	76	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.36	5	-2	7	15.5	19.6	-4.12	17.4	14.9	2.47
Mario Elie	76	76	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.25	1	2	-1	15.9	16.7	-0.79	16.5	21.1	-4.60
Sam Mack	23	23	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.11	-1	4	-5	17.5	15.5	2.02	20.2	15.9	4.28
Brent Price	14	13	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	3	-3	13.6	16.5	-2.94	20.4	16.5	3.90
Kevin Willis	18	17	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.08	-5	8	-13	18.3	15.4	2.90	17.9	16.9	1.01
Randy Livingston	25	24	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.08	-7	10	-17	17.2	15.6	1.64	18.4	16.6	1.80

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vitaly Potapenko	24	25	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.07	0	-3	3	19.9	16.0	3.87	16.1	16.0	0.12
Antonio Lang	0	1	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-3	3	0.0	17.1	-17.07	5.0	16.2	-11.16
Donny Marshall	25	28	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-2	1	19.8	16.0	3.83	16.0	16.0	0.00
Bob Sura	41	41	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	-1	-1	18.0	16.2	1.81	14.5	17.4	-2.97
Mark West	35	32	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.32	0	-3	3	17.4	16.8	0.55	17.0	15.5	1.58
Terrell Brandon	70	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	0	-3	16.0	21.3	-5.25	16.7	13.4	3.26
Danny Ferry	66	64	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.35	-4	1	-5	16.6	18.6	-2.04	15.6	17.2	-1.55
Bobby Phills	69	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.43	-2	-1	-1	16.9	17.6	-0.61	15.6	18.0	-2.44
Chris Mills	83	83	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.42	-4	1	-5	16.7	25.5	-8.84	16.1	13.7	2.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.64,0.65,0.55,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.52,0.68,0.69,0.46,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.59,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 105, MIL 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.71,0.79,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.4,0.31,0.62,0.55,0.43,0.41,0	91.4%
IND 104, NJN 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.41,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.72,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.38,0.21,0.33,0.26,0	91.4%
SEA 90, POR 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.5,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.24,0.27,0	91.0%