NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Bullets	104		Excitement	4.7 [844]		MVP	Rod Strickland (WAS): +11.7%
Charlotte Hornets	93		Comeback	3.6 [200]		LVP	Anthony Mason (CHH): -9.5%

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rod Strickland	0.12	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.03	0.03	19	70%	0.15	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Harvey Grant	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	5	70%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzo Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	1	100%	0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	9	55%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gheorghe Muresan	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	-0.01	-0.05	11	54%	0.04	2	-0.04	6	17%	-0.05
Ben Wallace	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ashraf Amaya	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	12	69%	0.11	4	-0.11	5	100%	0.02
Juwan Howard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	17	47%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Jaren Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	13	60%	0.03	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.07	0.00	0.08	18	63%	0.05	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.04
Rafael Addison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Zidek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.02	10	55%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Goldwire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	5	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	12	57%	0.06	5	-0.15	4	100%	0.02
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.02	-0.04	9	46%	-0.01	4	-0.09	6	83%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.8	27.7	14.0	24.1	1.5	24.4	117.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +41.1%

CHH -14.2%

WAS +9.1%

WAS +12.7%

WAS +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHH	NBA	WAS	CHH	NBA
this game	15.5	15.6	15.6	111.8	101.1	104.4
season	14.8	15.7		104.3	108.0
opponent	16.0	15.8		106.5	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.0	14.8	14.9	17.6	15.5
CHH	15.0	15.2	16.4	15.8	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juwan Howard	76	73	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.10	17	-6	23	15.2	17.2	-2.01	15.7	15.4	0.29
Rod Strickland	78	76	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.17	11	0	11	15.3	16.9	-1.66	15.4	16.5	-1.09
Gheorghe Muresan	63	63	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.09	11	0	11	16.1	14.3	1.78	15.4	16.0	-0.64
Calbert Cheaney	48	48	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.01	14	-3	17	14.4	16.8	-2.45	16.8	14.3	2.50
Harvey Grant	53	53	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.13	18	-7	25	16.5	14.2	2.35	15.8	15.4	0.37
Tracy Murray	60	61	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	8	-5	15.0	16.5	-1.47	15.5	15.9	-0.41
Lorenzo Williams	30	28	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	11	-11	14.3	16.1	-1.78	16.5	15.2	1.30
Ben Wallace	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	11	-11	0.0	15.5	-15.54	3.0	15.7	-12.74
Ashraf Amaya	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	16	-21	18.3	15.4	2.89	11.0	15.8	-4.75
Chris Whitney	35	35	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.14	-7	18	-25	17.6	14.3	3.31	15.5	15.6	-0.13
Jaren Jackson	19	19	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.00	-7	18	-25	15.7	15.5	0.18	14.0	16.0	-2.01

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Delk	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-20	29	11.1	16.0	-4.82	19.1	15.2	3.90
Tony Smith	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-20	29	11.1	16.0	-4.82	19.1	15.2	3.90
Malik Rose	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-16	21	11.0	15.8	-4.75	18.3	15.4	2.89
George Zidek	34	35	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.26	8	-19	27	15.8	15.5	0.26	16.5	15.0	1.47
Rafael Addison	35	34	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-11	11	15.3	15.8	-0.41	15.9	15.3	0.54
Muggsy Bogues	55	54	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.02	-7	-4	-3	15.3	16.0	-0.72	14.1	17.5	-3.40
Anthony Goldwire	30	32	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	2	-15	17.2	14.8	2.33	17.2	14.7	2.47
Dell Curry	60	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	3	-17	15.9	15.0	0.96	14.8	17.0	-2.28
Vlade Divac	58	58	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.09	-19	8	-27	15.5	15.8	-0.26	15.0	16.5	-1.47
Anthony Mason	89	90	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.03	-16	5	-21	15.8	11.0	4.75	15.4	18.3	-2.89
Glen Rice	82	84	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.05	-17	6	-23	15.8	13.6	2.24	15.7	14.3	1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.31,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 128, NYK 110	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.27,0.23,0.11,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
IND 116, ATL 89	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.33,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.38,0.27,0.17,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%
GSW 111, MIN 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.69,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.02,0,0,0	93.1%