NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	87		Excitement	4.8 [839]		MVP	Terry Mills (DET): +14.0%
Detroit Pistons	99		Comeback	1.5 [818]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -14.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Todd Day	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	15	55%	0.07	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Greg Minor	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	9	56%	0.10	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	7	67%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Brett Szabo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.02	0.04	14	65%	0.05	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.02
Alton Lister	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marty Conlon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dino Radja	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	12	42%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.16	-0.02	-0.03	17	28%	-0.10	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.03	0.00	8	81%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	4	70%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Litterial Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	10	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	11	58%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Rick Mahorn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	17	45%	-0.02	1	-0.00	10	80%	-0.01
Joe Dumars	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	16	50%	0.02	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.4	23.5	16.4	22.6	2.3	24.3	114.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +25.1%

DET +5.0%

DET +0.6%

DET +17.4%

DET +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	DET	NBA	BOS	DET	NBA
this game	15.4	16.9	15.6	97.8	111.2	104.4
season	14.8	17.1		101.8	107.6
opponent	16.2	14.7		102.0	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	17.2	14.1	17.8	13.1	15.4
DET	15.5	15.3	18.2	18.8	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brett Szabo	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-14	16	12.5	15.5	-3.01	9.5	17.1	-7.59
Alton Lister	40	39	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-12	12	15.6	15.3	0.25	16.2	17.5	-1.23
Dino Radja	11	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-9	6	17.4	15.2	2.20	17.2	16.9	0.28
Eric Williams	56	56	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	-9	-3	-6	14.1	17.6	-3.49	17.4	16.0	1.42
Greg Minor	48	49	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-10	8	14.5	16.5	-1.95	17.3	16.4	0.95
Antoine Walker	54	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-6	0	15.6	15.2	0.35	16.5	17.6	-1.11
Rick Fox	72	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.14	-7	-5	-2	15.4	15.6	-0.19	17.4	14.7	2.72
David Wesley	81	80	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.04	-11	-1	-10	15.6	13.4	2.27	17.2	14.2	3.00
Todd Day	54	54	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.02	-12	0	-12	15.9	14.7	1.29	16.3	17.8	-1.50
Marty Conlon	27	27	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.05	-12	0	-12	17.1	14.7	2.45	16.3	17.2	-0.84

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Mills	60	59	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.11	17	-5	22	16.9	16.9	-0.01	15.0	16.3	-1.35
Joe Dumars	66	65	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.02	14	-2	16	17.4	15.7	1.71	16.0	13.8	2.20
Michael Curry	38	39	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.18	6	6	0	16.1	17.5	-1.38	16.2	14.8	1.41
Grant Hill	74	73	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.08	8	4	4	17.4	14.6	2.79	15.0	17.6	-2.59
Otis Thorpe	61	61	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.11	5	7	-2	17.1	16.6	0.51	15.2	15.9	-0.61
Lindsey Hunter	58	58	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	9	-6	16.7	17.3	-0.57	14.7	16.8	-2.15
Litterial Green	22	23	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	7	-2	15.6	17.3	-1.71	17.0	14.9	2.11
Theo Ratliff	25	25	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.02	3	9	-6	16.7	17.0	-0.34	16.4	15.1	1.34
Grant Long	13	13	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	11	-10	14.8	17.3	-2.52	13.8	15.7	-1.95
Rick Mahorn	8	7	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.02	2	10	-8	17.2	16.9	0.36	18.7	15.2	3.56
Don Reid	20	22	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	16	-20	18.3	16.5	1.78	14.8	15.7	-0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.65,0.72,0.61,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.92,0.85,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 107, DAL 124	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.8,0.74,0.8,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.91,0.92,0.97,1,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
SAC 83, MIA 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.72,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.82,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
ORL 97, DAL 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.68,0.76,0.82,0.82,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.79,0.86,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.2%