inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 97 Excitement5.4 [730] MVPMichael Finley (DAL): +11.0%
Dallas Mavericks 110 Comeback1.4 [946] LVPDrew Gooden (ORL): -20.2%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyronn Lue0.110,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.100.030.021267%0.1100.0000%0.00
Juwan Howard0.050,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.000.021271%0.092-0.0410100%0.05
Zaza Pachulia0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Andrew DeClercq0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00267%0.0100.002100%0.01
Tracy McGrady-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.012450%0.023-0.04683%0.01
Rod Strickland-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.02956%0.012-0.0500%0.00
Donnell Harvey-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0220%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Keith Bogans-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.020.0020%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Gordan Giricek-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.04-0.02944%0.023-0.1000%0.00
Drew Gooden-0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.18-0.03-0.011123%-0.143-0.06450%-0.03

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Finley0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.110.020.021288%0.194-0.081100%0.01
Antoine Walker0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.01-0.00-0.031860%0.074-0.04425%-0.04
Marquis Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.00450%0.0200.0000%0.00
Eduardo Najera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.00-0.04656%0.022-0.01475%-0.01
Travis Best0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.01375%0.042-0.052100%0.01
Josh Howard0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.00-0.021246%0.022-0.054100%0.01
Shawn Bradley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Antawn Jamison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.000.021650%-0.001-0.02450%-0.02
Tony Delk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.000.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Danny Fortson0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.020.00283%0.012-0.06250%-0.02
Steve Nash0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.08-0.03-0.02947%-0.014-0.081100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game527.41.728.815.825.71.823.2624.4
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +30.5%
ORL -4.8%
DAL +24.6%
ORL -2.9%
DAL +2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLDALNBAORLDALNBA
this game15.014.615.799.0113.4100.5
season15.714.6100.9109.2
opponent15.615.4105.0108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL14.913.414.517.715.0
DAL14.513.214.915.914.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Zaza Pachulia860.06-0.560.620.002-151718.414.73.7016.314.41.89
Donnell Harvey2523-0.06-0.440.38-0.060-131315.714.70.9915.114.40.70
Rod Strickland2927-0.11-0.390.290.04-5-8316.014.61.4014.414.6-0.16
Andrew DeClercq2828-0.11-0.390.270.00-4-9514.415.2-0.7715.114.30.82
Gordan Giricek6967-0.13-0.370.24-0.04-3-10714.416.4-1.9915.312.82.54
Keith Bogans3132-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.10-9-4-516.514.32.2012.815.4-2.65
Drew Gooden7069-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.12-9-4-515.214.40.7714.315.1-0.82
Tyronn Lue6970-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.16-8-5-314.616.0-1.4014.614.40.16
Tracy McGrady7778-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.13-10-3-715.015.0-0.0314.813.51.28
Juwan Howard8485-0.580.08-0.66-0.03-196-2514.418.6-4.2714.117.7-3.64

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Josh Howard62600.51-0.010.530.0117-42114.614.50.1114.915.1-0.16
Antawn Jamison60620.51-0.010.520.1014-11514.215.1-0.8915.813.52.34
Antoine Walker78770.440.060.380.061301314.514.7-0.2214.815.8-1.06
Steve Nash69690.400.100.300.11103714.414.8-0.3714.616.0-1.40
Tony Delk24270.310.190.12-0.041211113.015.1-2.1215.114.90.23
Eduardo Najera32350.240.26-0.030.0085314.814.40.3814.815.1-0.23
Michael Finley87870.240.26-0.030.21112-1114.911.33.6314.915.5-0.64
Travis Best28290.100.40-0.300.01310-714.814.40.3716.014.61.40
Danny Fortson18180.010.49-0.480.01013-1315.314.40.8914.415.1-0.66
Marquis Daniels1515-0.100.60-0.700.10-720-2715.614.41.2316.314.71.60
Shawn Bradley1211-0.150.65-0.810.02-619-2513.714.7-0.9211.715.4-3.66


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.68,0.76,0.82,0.82,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.79,0.86,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 107, DAL 1240.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.8,0.74,0.8,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.91,0.92,0.97,1,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,195.3%
DEN 78, LAC 910.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.6%
OKC 90, CHI 990.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.5%