NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	91		Excitement	6.6 [475]		MVP	Charles Barkley (HOU): +19.2%
Houston Rockets	99		Comeback	3.1 [528]		LVP	Sam Perkins (SEA): -8.8%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wingate	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Larry Stewart	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	12	53%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Shawn Kemp	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	11	75%	0.15	5	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Jim McIlvaine	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	1	75%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Hersey Hawkins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	14	48%	0.01	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Gary Payton	-0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	22	48%	0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	3	60%	-0.00	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Sam Perkins	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	7	25%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charles Barkley	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.10	0.11	0.02	12	76%	0.24	2	-0.05	9	78%	-0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.02	-0.04	22	49%	0.08	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.03	0.01	10	74%	0.12	2	-0.09	3	100%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mack	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clyde Drexler	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.04	-0.01	13	48%	0.07	3	-0.07	3	67%	0.00
Brent Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	26.1	15.8	23.2	2.5	34.2	127.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +40.7%

HOU +0.9%

SEA -0.5%

HOU +9.8%

SEA -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	HOU	NBA	SEA	HOU	NBA
this game	14.8	17.0	15.6	101.1	108.8	104.4
season	14.9	15.5		108.9	107.2
opponent	15.4	16.2		103.0	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	13.8	17.1	14.5	13.9	14.8
HOU	16.2	14.9	16.8	20.4	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim McIlvaine	37	37	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.21	6	-14	20	14.1	15.3	-1.13	16.1	17.6	-1.48
Eric Snow	32	31	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.08	-7	-1	-6	16.4	13.9	2.49	14.9	18.1	-3.20
Shawn Kemp	77	78	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.32	3	-11	14	14.9	14.5	0.40	16.9	17.6	-0.71
David Wingate	35	36	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.01	-9	1	-10	17.9	12.9	5.00	15.8	17.8	-2.04
Hersey Hawkins	66	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.37	0	-8	8	13.8	17.6	-3.80	17.1	16.7	0.47
Gary Payton	81	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.29	-5	-3	-2	14.4	18.3	-3.93	17.7	11.6	6.08
Sam Perkins	53	54	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.09	-14	6	-20	15.3	14.1	1.13	17.6	16.1	1.48
Detlef Schrempf	69	71	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.15	-14	6	-20	13.9	17.9	-3.99	17.8	14.2	3.54

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Barkley	79	77	0.98	-0.48	1.47	0.37	21	-13	34	17.4	14.7	2.60	14.2	18.2	-3.92
Mario Elie	61	61	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.16	13	-5	18	17.3	16.5	0.76	14.9	14.6	0.26
Clyde Drexler	80	79	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.30	7	1	6	17.5	13.5	4.05	14.0	20.5	-6.44
Hakeem Olajuwon	73	75	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.40	3	5	-2	16.9	17.6	-0.68	14.8	14.9	-0.08
Matt Maloney	74	74	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.35	-1	9	-10	17.6	14.2	3.41	14.2	17.7	-3.59
Randy Livingston	28	28	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.00	10	-2	12	15.4	17.7	-2.29	17.6	13.5	4.02
Sam Mack	5	4	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.04	1	7	-6	25.0	16.5	8.45	13.7	14.8	-1.10
Brent Price	10	10	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	9	-10	12.5	17.6	-5.07	20.3	14.1	6.19
Matt Bullard	15	14	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.03	-5	13	-18	13.5	17.7	-4.16	13.1	15.1	-2.05
Kevin Willis	30	28	-0.47	0.97	-1.44	-0.23	-8	16	-24	16.4	17.3	-0.86	16.4	14.1	2.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.34,0.39,0.52,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.53,0.76,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 98, PHI 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.65,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.94,0.99,1	93.6%
CLE 83, ATL 100	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.71,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.76,0.78,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	91.8%
IND 109, ATL 120	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.41,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.5,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.58,0.79,0.81,0.93,0.97,0.96,1,1,1	91.3%