NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	86		Excitement	5.0 [794]		MVP	Sam Perkins (SEA): +17.9%
Seattle SuperSonics	94		Comeback	1.0 [1059]		LVP	Cory Alexander (SAS): -14.2%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vinny Del Negro	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	7	71%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sean Elliott	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.04	8	74%	0.05	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.04
Will Perdue	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominique Wilkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.01	15	55%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Carl Herrera	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	6	71%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Vernon Maxwell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.02	9	70%	0.10	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Monty Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Greg Anderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	7	14%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cory Alexander	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	6	21%	-0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.06	-0.00	10	80%	0.21	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.01	9	78%	0.11	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	12	62%	0.12	4	-0.09	8	50%	-0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.04	-0.03	4	50%	0.05	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	12	45%	-0.03	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Craig Ehlo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	19	45%	-0.04	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	34.1	1.8	24.0	15.8	26.0	1.8	35.2	138.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +28.3%

SAS -1.8%

SEA +30.2%

SAS -8.5%

SEA +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	SEA	NBA	SAS	SEA	NBA
this game	16.9	16.0	15.6	98.9	106.8	104.4
season	16.8	14.9		100.8	108.9
opponent	16.2	15.4		100.8	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.3	15.1	19.5	18.0	16.9
SEA	14.7	18.4	15.7	15.5	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Anderson	26	26	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.03	4	-12	16	14.6	17.9	-3.28	16.5	15.8	0.70
Monty Williams	29	29	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.13	7	-15	22	14.5	18.1	-3.53	16.1	16.0	0.09
Carl Herrera	37	38	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.23	5	-13	18	18.1	16.0	2.15	16.0	16.1	-0.03
Vinny Del Negro	39	39	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-6	4	16.4	17.3	-0.93	15.5	16.4	-0.91
Cory Alexander	30	32	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.12	-1	-7	6	16.2	17.2	-0.98	15.3	16.5	-1.15
Avery Johnson	57	56	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.14	-7	-1	-6	17.2	16.2	0.98	16.5	15.3	1.15
Vernon Maxwell	48	49	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.20	-6	-2	-4	17.3	16.4	0.93	16.4	15.5	0.91
Dominique Wilkins	59	60	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.14	-11	3	-14	16.1	18.4	-2.29	15.7	16.9	-1.19
Will Perdue	52	52	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.13	-14	6	-20	18.0	15.2	2.75	16.2	15.7	0.50
Sean Elliott	58	59	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.13	-15	7	-22	18.1	14.5	3.53	16.0	16.1	-0.09

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hersey Hawkins	64	63	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.19	15	-7	22	16.2	15.7	0.46	17.8	14.4	3.39
Detlef Schrempf	70	68	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.24	13	-5	18	16.0	16.3	-0.29	17.1	15.9	1.25
Gary Payton	81	79	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.27	3	5	-2	15.7	20.3	-4.61	16.4	21.5	-5.09
Sam Perkins	49	50	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.23	4	4	0	16.4	15.6	0.77	16.9	16.9	-0.03
Shawn Kemp	69	68	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.23	0	8	-8	16.3	15.3	1.00	16.9	16.6	0.31
Craig Ehlo	36	37	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.00	7	1	6	15.1	16.7	-1.53	15.8	17.7	-1.85
Jim McIlvaine	37	35	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.01	4	4	0	16.3	15.9	0.39	17.6	16.4	1.17
Eric Snow	34	35	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.16	-6	14	-20	16.6	15.7	0.88	16.0	17.4	-1.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 91, WAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.3%
MIA 89, UTA 101	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.6,0.64,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.97,1,1,1	94.0%
NOH 91, OKC 101	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.77,0.82,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1	93.9%