NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	93		Excitement	3.1 [1120]		MVP	Bryant Stith (DEN): +11.7%
Denver Nuggets	108		Comeback	1.0 [1019]		LVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (VAN): -5.8%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	-0.00	0.03	13	73%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blue Edwards	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	5	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.00
Richard Manning	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Mobley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Moten	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	13	46%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Roy Rogers	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lee Mayberry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	6	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.04	-0.03	0.08	12	65%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryant Stith	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.16	0.01	0.06	15	76%	0.12	1	-0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Dale Ellis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.02	21	55%	0.09	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	10	67%	0.06	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	14	54%	0.03	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.00
Tom Hammonds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	8	47%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Booker	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Brooks Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	6	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.3	2.4	22.4	15.6	25.0	2.3	23.5	111.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +15.4%

DEN +10.6%

DEN +11.5%

DEN +10.3%

DEN +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	DEN	NBA	VAN	DEN	NBA
this game	16.5	16.4	15.6	106.9	122.7	104.4
season	16.3	15.2		97.9	102.3
opponent	15.3	15.5		108.8	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	17.5	15.4	20.8	12.7	16.5
DEN	14.6	18.9	13.5	18.6	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Manning	7	7	-0.00	-0.49	0.49	0.03	-1	-14	13	6.4	17.4	-10.98	16.4	16.4	0.05
Eric Mobley	11	10	-0.00	-0.49	0.49	0.03	-1	-14	13	10.9	17.3	-6.43	17.4	16.3	1.14
Pete Chilcutt	19	18	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.13	4	-19	23	12.4	17.7	-5.32	19.3	15.6	3.63
Moochie Norris	31	31	-0.06	-0.43	0.36	-0.09	1	-16	17	14.3	17.8	-3.48	17.5	15.8	1.79
Blue Edwards	51	52	-0.18	-0.31	0.13	-0.12	-2	-13	11	16.0	17.3	-1.37	16.2	16.7	-0.57
Lawrence Moten	54	55	-0.18	-0.31	0.13	0.02	-7	-8	1	14.8	19.4	-4.62	16.1	16.8	-0.64
Bryant Reeves	48	47	-0.20	-0.29	0.09	-0.08	-4	-11	7	18.0	14.7	3.28	16.0	16.8	-0.74
Roy Rogers	28	31	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	-5	-5	16.2	16.7	-0.46	16.6	16.3	0.30
Anthony Peeler	44	45	-0.32	-0.17	-0.15	0.00	-11	-4	-7	18.2	14.8	3.44	15.6	17.2	-1.52
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	58	59	-0.33	-0.16	-0.17	-0.10	-8	-7	-1	17.9	13.7	4.21	17.2	14.7	2.48
Lee Mayberry	36	37	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.11	-18	3	-21	19.6	14.4	5.16	15.5	17.0	-1.46
George Lynch	48	48	-0.47	-0.02	-0.45	0.06	-18	3	-21	18.1	14.5	3.61	15.4	17.5	-2.13

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Ellis	80	79	0.64	-0.15	0.79	-0.03	23	-8	31	16.4	16.5	-0.12	17.2	10.1	7.05
Bryant Stith	76	74	0.63	-0.14	0.77	-0.04	23	-8	31	15.8	20.2	-4.38	17.2	12.5	4.78
Ervin Johnson	88	87	0.49	0.00	0.49	0.05	15	0	15	16.4	0.0	16.39	16.5	0.0	16.53
Mark Jackson	79	78	0.45	0.04	0.41	0.04	14	1	13	16.2	18.1	-1.92	16.9	13.2	3.69
Antonio McDyess	40	39	0.32	0.17	0.16	-0.03	12	3	9	15.2	17.3	-2.08	18.3	15.1	3.18
Tom Hammonds	54	54	0.02	0.47	-0.45	0.17	-5	20	-25	17.2	15.1	2.02	14.9	19.3	-4.42
Darvin Ham	2	2	0.00	0.49	-0.49	0.00	0	15	-15	18.5	16.3	2.16	2.0	16.9	-14.87
Brooks Thompson	19	20	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.11	-7	22	-29	19.4	15.6	3.80	13.8	17.3	-3.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 84, NJN 113	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
GSW 73, DAL 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.78,0.77,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
UTA 100, MIL 117	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.79,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.6%