NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	84		Excitement	3.1 [1159]		MVP	Yi Jianlian (NJN): +14.1%
New Jersey Nets	113		Comeback	1.1 [1110]		LVP	Randy Foye (MIN): -9.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	5	86%	0.09	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Mark Madsen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashad McCants	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	10	55%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	10	48%	-0.01	1	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Al Jefferson	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	13	52%	0.03	3	-0.04	7	71%	0.01
Jason Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.03	0.04	13	56%	0.02	5	-0.12	10	100%	0.03

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.03	-0.02	13	62%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.00	0.01	7	86%	0.07	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.12	0.00	0.09	5	110%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.11	0.00	0.09	9	78%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	3	89%	0.01	1	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	7	62%	0.04	3	-0.03	12	92%	0.02
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	9	46%	0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Sean Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	15	51%	0.01	3	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	-0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.5	29.8	14.7	30.6	2.4	27.2	132.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +26.5%

MIN -5.7%

NJN +4.3%

NJN +20.0%

NJN +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	NJN	NBA	MIN	NJN	NBA
this game	15.5	16.7	15.5	93.3	127.0	106.4
season	15.8	16.0		104.3	106.5
opponent	15.5	15.1		108.9	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.4	16.0	15.1	14.6	15.5
NJN	16.4	17.6	14.2	18.8	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Madsen	11	11	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.10	-3	-26	23	13.6	15.8	-2.14	18.8	16.4	2.45
Brian Cardinal	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.21	-7	-22	15	12.6	15.7	-3.08	19.0	16.5	2.49
Rodney Carney	25	25	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.10	-4	-25	21	14.5	15.9	-1.37	18.4	16.0	2.34
Craig Smith	45	43	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.05	-4	-25	21	14.3	16.8	-2.49	17.7	15.8	1.89
Jason Collins	8	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-24	19	14.5	15.6	-1.11	19.1	16.5	2.68
Rashad McCants	52	52	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.29	-14	-15	1	14.2	17.3	-3.08	17.5	15.5	1.99
Kevin Ollie	13	14	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.08	-10	-19	9	17.8	15.1	2.73	14.2	17.1	-2.92
Sebastian Telfair	77	75	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.27	-19	-10	-9	15.1	17.8	-2.73	17.1	14.2	2.92
Ryan Gomes	38	37	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	-14	-1	17.3	14.2	3.08	15.5	17.5	-1.99
Al Jefferson	63	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.21	-21	-8	-13	16.4	13.4	3.06	16.3	17.7	-1.45
Kevin Love	48	47	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.08	-18	-11	-7	16.4	14.5	1.85	15.2	18.4	-3.19
Randy Foye	65	64	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.25	-25	-4	-21	15.9	14.5	1.37	16.0	18.4	-2.34

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	64	66	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.41	32	-3	35	15.9	18.6	-2.62	16.2	13.6	2.57
Yi Jianlian	50	50	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.13	20	9	11	15.3	18.4	-3.09	16.9	13.8	3.13
Bobby Simmons	40	39	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.29	23	6	17	15.6	17.5	-1.86	16.7	14.6	2.17
Brook Lopez	47	48	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	15	-1	15.2	18.3	-3.10	16.6	14.2	2.39
Devin Harris	60	61	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.09	8	21	-13	15.7	18.8	-3.09	16.4	13.7	2.64
Keyon Dooling	46	46	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.21	12	17	-5	18.5	14.7	3.78	14.0	17.1	-3.18
Jarvis Hayes	57	58	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.24	12	17	-5	17.8	14.7	3.15	14.2	17.8	-3.57
Stromile Swift	30	29	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.31	14	15	-1	18.6	15.7	2.85	14.0	16.2	-2.28
Ryan Anderson	39	40	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.22	9	20	-11	18.4	15.3	3.09	13.8	16.9	-3.13
Sean Williams	12	13	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	28	-27	17.7	16.5	1.15	14.8	15.6	-0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 93, DEN 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.5%
NYK 93, SAS 121	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.77,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
GSW 73, DAL 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.78,0.77,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%