NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	106		Excitement	9.9 [70]		MVP	Gary Payton (SEA): +19.7%
Portland Trail Blazers	102		Comeback	5.4 [170]		LVP	Isaiah Rider (POR): -34.1%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.2	0.07	0.10	-0.02	13	68%	0.31	2	-0.11	2	50%	-0.07
Sam Perkins	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.11	0.09	0.01	16	64%	0.19	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Hersey Hawkins	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11	0.05	0.06	0.01	6	89%	0.19	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.04
Craig Ehlo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steve Scheffler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Stewart	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jim McIlvaine	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.03	12	52%	0.03	6	-0.13	3	100%	0.01
Shawn Kemp	-0.11	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	14	56%	-0.02	4	-0.10	11	73%	-0.10

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	12	61%	0.07	1	-0.01	7	43%	-0.10
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	16	53%	0.10	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	54%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Aaron McKie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Randolph Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	2	40%	-0.06	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.06
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.08	0.01	19	51%	-0.04	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	-0.14	-0.02	5	67%	0.06	2	-0.19	2	50%	-0.02
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.07,-0.34	-0.34	-0.05	-0.28	0.01	17	52%	-0.01	3	-0.33	10	90%	0.12

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.4	26.4	15.7	27.2	2.4	39.5	140.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +58.3%

POR -7.4%

POR -32.8%

SEA +29.1%

SEA +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	POR	NBA	SEA	POR	NBA
this game	16.1	16.1	15.6	119.1	113.3	104.4
season	14.9	15.5		108.9	105.2
opponent	15.5	16.2		101.6	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.6	18.0	14.7	17.4	16.1
POR	16.0	14.0	16.7	17.7	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Detlef Schrempf	75	75	0.57	-0.06	0.63	0.33	8	-4	12	15.5	19.6	-4.09	16.0	16.5	-0.49
Shawn Kemp	66	69	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.57	-2	6	-8	15.2	18.8	-3.59	16.9	13.3	3.61
Hersey Hawkins	56	58	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.45	2	2	0	14.0	19.7	-5.73	15.8	16.5	-0.74
Gary Payton	73	74	0.48	0.03	0.45	0.42	2	2	0	15.4	19.3	-3.89	16.2	15.2	1.06
Sam Perkins	71	71	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.25	4	0	4	16.8	13.5	3.29	16.0	16.3	-0.26
Jim McIlvaine	26	27	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.07	5	-1	6	15.0	16.6	-1.53	15.8	16.2	-0.40
Craig Ehlo	13	12	0.08	0.43	-0.35	-0.04	4	0	4	19.9	15.5	4.45	14.9	16.2	-1.31
Eric Snow	33	33	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	2	0	19.7	14.0	5.73	16.1	16.0	0.06
Steve Scheffler	1	1	-0.04	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	7	-10	3.0	16.3	-13.27	9.0	16.1	-7.13
Larry Stewart	31	30	-0.15	0.66	-0.81	-0.10	-2	6	-8	19.5	14.3	5.21	15.4	16.4	-0.98

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	17	17	0.04	-0.55	0.59	0.13	-3	-1	-2	15.9	16.1	-0.14	21.8	14.8	6.97
Randolph Childress	11	11	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.06	-2	-2	0	14.7	16.2	-1.51	17.3	16.0	1.31
Jermaine O'Neal	34	33	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.05	-6	2	-8	14.4	17.1	-2.64	17.9	15.1	2.79
Gary Trent	19	17	-0.16	-0.35	0.19	-0.07	-3	-1	-2	17.6	15.6	1.93	15.6	16.2	-0.66
Chris Dudley	40	40	-0.17	-0.34	0.17	-0.08	-3	-1	-2	17.2	15.1	2.06	13.9	18.0	-4.08
Clifford Robinson	85	84	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-4	4	15.7	21.6	-5.87	15.6	24.2	-8.56
Rasheed Wallace	42	44	-0.34	-0.17	-0.17	-0.40	2	-6	8	17.0	15.2	1.82	16.6	15.6	0.97
Arvydas Sabonis	48	48	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.38	-2	-2	0	15.8	16.3	-0.48	17.6	14.3	3.30
Kenny Anderson	79	78	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.45	-2	-2	0	16.2	14.7	1.51	16.0	17.3	-1.31
Isaiah Rider	75	73	-0.54	0.03	-0.57	-0.51	-1	-3	2	15.8	17.3	-1.53	14.6	22.9	-8.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.46,0.62,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.64,0.65,0.54,0.75,0.37,0.67,0.84,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 107, PHI 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.54,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.57,0.48,0.37,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.85,0	90.7%
DEN 106, DAL 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.38,0.43,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.72,0.84,0.91,0	89.9%
DEN 100, MIA 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.34,0.43,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.27,0.53,0.46,0.86,0.73,0	89.5%