NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	98		Excitement	7.9 [251]		MVP	Donald Whiteside (TOR): +14.2%
Toronto Raptors	92		Comeback	4.6 [189]		LVP	Acie Earl (TOR): -20.5%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Mills	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.11,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.08	-0.01	6	77%	0.25	3	-0.15	1	100%	0.01
Joe Dumars	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	15	64%	0.17	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.03
Grant Hill	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.01	18	66%	0.15	3	-0.09	5	80%	-0.01
Theo Ratliff	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	71%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	11	54%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.08
Otis Thorpe	0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	9	67%	-0.02
Litterial Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	6	14%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donald Whiteside	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	-0.00	3	100%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.01	12	71%	0.22	5	-0.17	4	50%	-0.03
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.28,0.23,0.18,0.08,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	21	56%	0.10	2	-0.07	8	87%	0.04
John Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	83%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	3	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Walt Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.06	-0.01	10	62%	0.13	2	-0.16	4	50%	-0.01
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Sharone Wright	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Acie Earl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.12	-0.08	0.00	9	30%	-0.09	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.4	26.3	15.8	26.5	1.8	34.3	131.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR -5.2%

DET +12.2%

DET +23.4%

DET +8.7%

DET +10.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	TOR	NBA	DET	TOR	NBA
this game	16.9	17.2	15.6	115.3	109.5	104.4
season	17.1	16.1		107.6	102.2
opponent	15.0	16.2		105.6	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.4	16.9	16.4	19.4	16.9
TOR	15.3	18.2	16.4	19.6	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Hill	79	78	0.59	-0.10	0.69	0.21	13	-7	20	16.6	20.8	-4.26	17.1	18.2	-1.03
Otis Thorpe	61	59	0.49	0.00	0.49	0.35	5	1	4	18.2	13.5	4.70	18.2	14.8	3.44
Terry Mills	40	40	0.45	0.04	0.41	0.33	4	2	2	17.0	16.7	0.29	17.3	17.1	0.16
Joe Dumars	71	69	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.40	1	5	-4	17.2	15.3	1.90	17.0	18.1	-1.04
Lindsey Hunter	56	55	0.28	0.21	0.07	0.25	1	5	-4	17.9	15.0	2.89	16.2	19.1	-2.94
Litterial Green	30	30	0.27	0.22	0.06	-0.02	10	-4	14	14.5	18.1	-3.61	18.7	16.4	2.36
Theo Ratliff	29	31	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	2	2	15.0	17.8	-2.79	17.7	16.9	0.73
Grant Long	36	36	0.01	0.48	-0.47	0.01	0	6	-6	17.5	16.4	1.14	15.7	18.4	-2.71
Michael Curry	23	22	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.01	-8	14	-22	15.1	17.5	-2.45	17.5	17.1	0.39

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Acie Earl	39	40	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.17	8	-14	22	18.1	16.5	1.56	18.0	15.8	2.23
Donald Whiteside	12	12	-0.02	-0.47	0.46	0.04	-2	-4	2	17.3	17.2	0.14	12.0	17.7	-5.67
John Long	26	26	-0.02	-0.47	0.45	-0.05	1	-7	8	18.0	16.8	1.19	15.3	17.6	-2.31
Sharone Wright	10	12	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-1	-4	16.1	17.4	-1.26	16.3	17.0	-0.63
Carlos Rogers	55	54	-0.21	-0.28	0.07	-0.12	-3	-3	0	17.1	17.4	-0.25	16.1	18.2	-2.13
Walt Williams	54	56	-0.43	-0.06	-0.37	-0.26	-6	0	-6	16.9	17.8	-0.91	17.8	15.1	2.63
Damon Stoudamire	72	73	-0.47	-0.02	-0.46	-0.36	-4	-2	-2	17.2	17.3	-0.14	17.7	12.0	5.67
Doug Christie	81	81	-0.55	0.06	-0.61	-0.32	-8	2	-10	17.1	20.0	-2.89	17.2	10.5	6.69
Popeye Jones	71	71	-0.72	0.23	-0.94	-0.40	-11	5	-16	17.0	18.2	-1.11	16.4	19.2	-2.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.45,0.57,0.6,0.71,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.38,0.58,0.53,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.57,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 93, SAC 91	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.54,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.37,0.47,0.59,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.57,0.16,0	91.0%
MEM 102, PHX 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.55,0.16,0	90.5%
CHH 107, WAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.69,0.6,0.72,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.58,0	90.1%