inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 95 Excitement4.7 [841] MVPChris Mills (CLE): +16.2%
Washington Bullets 106 Comeback1.6 [792] LVPVitaly Potapenko (CLE): -10.2%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Mills0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.140.030.021570%0.1600.0000%0.00
Terrell Brandon0.040,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.050.021678%0.239-0.194100%0.02
Danny Ferry0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.01961%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Donny Marshall0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Reggie Geary0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.010100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Antonio Lang-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Mark West-0.000,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.01250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Carl Thomas-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Tyrone Hill-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.01471%0.022-0.05667%-0.02
Bobby Phills-0.040,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.00555%0.023-0.061100%0.00
Bob Sura-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.02-0.04358%0.014-0.08650%-0.04
Vitaly Potapenko-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.03-0.00623%-0.081-0.021100%0.01

Washington Bullets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jaren Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.020.09-0.023129%0.204-0.081100%0.01
Tracy Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.100.000.01787%0.121-0.022100%0.01
Chris Webber0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.02-0.021761%0.103-0.04425%-0.06
Gheorghe Muresan0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.00567%0.0300.002100%0.01
Juwan Howard0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.010.001561%0.052-0.041164%-0.00
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0000.0020%0.00
Harvey Grant00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ashraf Amaya0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Chris Whitney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.01267%0.011-0.032100%0.00
Rod Strickland0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.020.011548%0.012-0.04367%-0.00
Calbert Cheaney0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.01839%-0.032-0.03250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.22.527.615.426.42.529.2128.8
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +13.6%
WAS +6.7%
WAS +14.8%
WAS +17.1%
CLE -2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEWASNBACLEWASNBA
this game17.615.115.6106.7121.8104.4
season17.814.8102.1104.3
opponent15.816.1103.3100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE15.417.916.720.817.6
WAS15.314.016.015.215.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Carl Thomas12110.00-0.500.50-0.176-172312.618.3-5.7514.315.3-0.99
Donny Marshall320.00-0.500.50-0.093-141710.317.8-7.4814.515.2-0.65
Reggie Geary650.00-0.500.50-0.093-141711.818.0-6.1415.615.10.49
Mark West2423-0.06-0.440.38-0.03-1-10916.218.1-1.9115.914.90.99
Vitaly Potapenko2928-0.10-0.400.29-0.04-2-9718.117.30.8515.515.00.48
Antonio Lang2018-0.11-0.390.29-0.141-121316.118.0-1.8912.615.8-3.26
Terrell Brandon7776-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.17-4-7317.319.4-2.1415.413.02.45
Tyrone Hill4850-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.08-10-1-918.117.01.1315.514.60.85
Bob Sura5251-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.08-10-1-917.917.10.7314.615.8-1.19
Chris Mills6969-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.04-121-1318.016.11.8915.812.63.26
Danny Ferry6361-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.10-10-1-918.415.62.7514.616.3-1.67
Bobby Phills4241-0.42-0.08-0.340.14-198-2719.116.22.8615.015.2-0.17

Washington Bullets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tracy Murray43420.65-0.150.800.1517-62314.615.6-1.0118.616.62.05
Chris Whitney30310.51-0.010.530.1014-31714.615.4-0.8721.015.75.23
Jaren Jackson29290.430.070.36-0.0115-41912.516.4-3.9320.716.14.59
Chris Webber77760.350.150.200.1283515.214.60.6117.418.6-1.23
Juwan Howard77780.330.170.160.0983515.314.11.1717.617.30.33
Harvey Grant31340.240.26-0.01-0.1112-11313.915.8-1.9718.716.91.80
Calbert Cheaney48490.050.45-0.400.14-314-1716.513.52.9516.219.2-2.93
Rod Strickland67690.010.49-0.490.12-415-1915.613.61.9315.724.1-8.43
Ben Wallace230.000.50-0.500.09-314-1714.515.2-0.6510.317.8-7.48
Ashraf Amaya230.000.50-0.500.09-314-1714.515.2-0.6510.317.8-7.48
Gheorghe Muresan2931-0.080.58-0.650.10-617-2316.814.32.4816.618.1-1.46


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.63,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.81,0.85,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 73, CHH 830.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,194.6%
MIN 103, OKC 1110.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.3%
SEA 113, HOU 1200.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.86,0.82,0.7,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.99,0.95,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.98,0.98,194.3%