NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	113		Excitement	17.4 [1]		MVP	Rick Fox (BOS): +103.1%
Boston Celtics	115		Comeback	7.0 [179]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (TOR): -91.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Popeye Jones	0.44	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44	0.09	0.36	0.01	15	63%	0.44	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Hubert Davis	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.02	0.37	0.02	7	57%	0.40	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sharone Wright	0.32	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.32	-0.05	0.35	-0.01	12	39%	0.32	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Earl Cureton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Long	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Whiteside	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,0.02,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	9	41%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	50%	0.05
Doug Christie	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.03	-0.13	-0.00	8	70%	0.04	2	-0.14	7	86%	0.03
Acie Earl	-0.40	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.19,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.35,-0.35,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4	-0.11	-0.30	0.00	14	36%	-0.06	3	-0.35	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.91	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.07,0,0,-0.06,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.37,-0.48,-0.48,-0.48,-0.68,-0.7,-0.76,-0.81,-0.81,-0.91,-0.91	-0.21	-0.69	0.01	37	37%	-0.83	3	-0.08	9	78%	-0.05

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,1.03	1.03	0.08	0.96	0.01	17	63%	1.10	1	-0.07	4	75%	0.08
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.17,0.29,0.29,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.02	-0.00	14	62%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
David Wesley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.01,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.06	0.10	0.00	16	53%	0.23	4	-0.19	6	100%	0.06
Greg Minor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	10	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Todd Day	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	12	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	14	37%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Frank Brickowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Dino Radja	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.31,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.47,-0.47,-0.47	-0.47	-0.18	-0.29	0.00	18	32%	-0.32	3	-0.15	5	60%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2		OT3	Total
this game	22.2	1.8	25.0	15.5	27.4	1.7	41.0	1.5	16.5	1.8	15.9	1.5	12.5	184.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	1.6	17.8	1.6	17.8	1.6	17.8	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +60.3%

TOR -2.1%

TOR -17.8%

BOS +21.4%

TOR -11.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	BOS	NBA	TOR	BOS	NBA
this game	16.9	15.3	15.6	96.6	97.5	104.4
season	16.1	14.8		102.2	101.8
opponent	14.7	15.0		109.5	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
TOR	16.1	13.2	18.4	17.8	21.5	16.6
BOS	15.9	14.0	15.1	15.0	16.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hubert Davis	41	44	0.77	-1.27	2.04	0.54	8	-10	18	16.3	17.2	-0.88	13.0	16.7	-3.62
Earl Cureton	4	4	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-4	6	13.2	17.0	-3.74	10.2	15.5	-5.24
John Long	6	8	0.02	-0.51	0.53	-0.10	4	-6	10	20.3	16.7	3.66	14.4	15.4	-1.01
Walt Williams	44	47	0.00	-0.49	0.50	-0.03	1	-3	4	16.4	17.2	-0.80	15.0	15.5	-0.45
Donald Whiteside	19	18	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-1	0	14.0	17.4	-3.42	15.2	15.3	-0.17
Popeye Jones	96	96	-0.01	-0.48	0.47	0.05	-2	0	-2	17.3	14.7	2.68	15.0	16.6	-1.57
Carlos Rogers	78	76	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.22	-1	-1	0	16.5	17.6	-1.09	15.7	14.7	1.00
Damon Stoudamire	98	100	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.46	-1	-1	0	17.4	14.0	3.42	15.3	15.2	0.17
Sharone Wright	56	56	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.38	-5	3	-8	17.5	16.3	1.22	15.8	14.8	1.00
Doug Christie	78	80	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.38	-7	5	-12	17.0	16.5	0.53	16.1	13.6	2.52
Acie Earl	47	45	-0.91	0.42	-1.33	-0.74	-6	4	-10	15.8	17.6	-1.83	15.7	15.1	0.68

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dana Barros	55	59	0.77	-0.28	1.05	0.57	7	-5	12	15.7	15.0	0.74	15.1	18.7	-3.55
Rick Fox	84	83	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.57	6	-4	10	15.3	15.4	-0.10	17.2	16.0	1.22
David Wesley	103	103	0.56	-0.07	0.63	0.38	6	-4	10	15.4	15.0	0.36	17.8	10.1	7.71
Greg Minor	62	58	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.25	5	-3	8	14.9	15.7	-0.80	18.5	15.3	3.21
Dino Radja	99	99	0.33	0.16	0.17	0.21	4	-2	6	15.8	12.7	3.07	16.9	16.8	0.10
Frank Brickowski	34	33	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.24	0	2	-2	14.2	15.8	-1.60	17.3	16.7	0.61
Eric Williams	81	78	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	-2	6	16.0	13.9	2.11	17.8	14.9	2.95
Todd Day	16	15	-0.08	0.57	-0.65	0.10	-6	8	-14	14.3	15.5	-1.16	10.2	17.8	-7.64
Antoine Walker	56	57	-0.59	1.09	-1.68	-0.12	-16	18	-34	14.4	16.1	-1.65	15.0	18.6	-3.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.33,0.38,0.54,0.84,0.84,0.46,0.25,0.17,0.24,0.41,0.46,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.85,0.5,0.61,0.85,0.55,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 105, CHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.53,0.47,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.91,0.58,0.46,0.31,0.22,0.1,0.16,0	86.7%
IND 76, NOH 75	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.26,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.58,0	86.6%
DEN 106, DAL 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.38,0.43,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.72,0.84,0.91,0	86.3%