NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	93		Excitement	7.2 [366]		MVP	Arvydas Sabonis (POR): +25.5%
Portland Trail Blazers	97		Comeback	3.2 [471]		LVP	Anthony Mason (CHH): -17.6%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vlade Divac	0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.02	0.04	0.03	24	56%	0.13	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Tony Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Goldwire	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Muggsy Bogues	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.06	0.01	-0.08	-0.01	10	60%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	-0.06	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.03
Glen Rice	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.08	-0.07	0.02	16	44%	-0.06	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.07	-0.00	18	47%	-0.11	3	-0.07	13	69%	-0.04

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25	0.25	0.15	0.12	0.01	11	85%	0.27	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.09	-0.00	9	65%	0.15	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Isaiah Rider	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	14	60%	0.12	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
Aleksandar Djordjevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	87%	0.08	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	9	55%	0.01	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.06
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	6	21%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.16	-0.04	-0.07	14	42%	-0.03	4	-0.10	10	50%	0.01
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.01	-0.00	6	19%	-0.10	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	1.8	24.5	14.8	25.3	2.5	29.3	124.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +42.7%

POR +4.1%

POR +10.2%

CHH -6.8%

CHH -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	POR	NBA	CHH	POR	NBA
this game	15.6	15.7	15.6	101.1	105.4	104.4
season	15.7	15.5		108.0	105.2
opponent	15.5	16.0		101.6	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	13.7	14.0	17.0	18.5	15.6
POR	15.7	15.5	15.7	15.9	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Smith	22	22	0.13	-0.64	0.77	-0.01	5	-9	14	13.6	16.2	-2.65	15.4	15.8	-0.38
Scott Burrell	15	14	0.08	-0.59	0.67	-0.01	3	-7	10	13.1	16.1	-2.96	15.3	15.8	-0.48
Malik Rose	36	38	-0.02	-0.49	0.47	-0.17	5	-9	14	14.7	16.2	-1.46	15.8	15.6	0.16
Anthony Goldwire	41	44	-0.12	-0.39	0.27	-0.20	3	-7	10	14.9	16.2	-1.32	13.5	17.7	-4.25
Dell Curry	60	58	-0.33	-0.18	-0.15	-0.21	-4	0	-4	15.7	15.4	0.36	15.5	16.1	-0.58
Muggsy Bogues	51	48	-0.39	-0.12	-0.27	-0.18	-7	3	-10	16.2	14.9	1.32	17.7	13.5	4.25
Anthony Mason	77	77	-0.51	0.00	-0.51	-0.36	-5	1	-6	16.1	12.9	3.20	16.4	12.3	4.02
Glen Rice	77	78	-0.59	0.08	-0.67	-0.38	-7	3	-10	16.1	13.1	2.96	15.8	15.3	0.48
Vlade Divac	81	81	-0.80	0.29	-1.09	-0.41	-13	9	-22	16.0	13.0	2.96	15.3	18.9	-3.65

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arvydas Sabonis	44	46	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.36	9	-5	14	15.3	16.0	-0.68	17.3	14.0	3.30
Isaiah Rider	73	74	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.38	7	-3	10	16.1	14.0	2.14	16.4	12.2	4.28
Gary Trent	38	37	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	-9	22	15.4	15.9	-0.47	14.9	16.1	-1.15
Clifford Robinson	71	72	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.32	2	2	0	16.1	14.2	1.95	16.1	13.7	2.44
Aleksandar Djordjevic	24	22	0.27	0.24	0.03	0.21	2	2	0	15.5	15.8	-0.32	16.4	15.4	0.99
Kenny Anderson	68	70	0.24	0.27	-0.03	0.18	2	2	0	15.8	15.5	0.32	15.4	16.4	-0.99
Jermaine O'Neal	20	18	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.10	2	2	0	13.1	16.4	-3.32	16.0	15.5	0.49
Rasheed Wallace	65	66	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.33	-10	14	-24	16.0	14.9	1.09	14.6	18.3	-3.71
Aaron McKie	19	18	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	7	-10	14.0	16.1	-2.14	12.2	16.4	-4.28
Chris Dudley	38	37	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	8	-12	16.4	15.2	1.15	14.9	16.1	-1.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.92,0.94,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 95, DET 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.3,0.34,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.71,0.83,0.75,0.95,0.9,0.96,1	93.5%
MIL 104, SAC 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.89,0.98,0.99,1,1	92.9%
CLE 88, PHX 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.63,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.89,0.99,1,0.98,1	92.6%