NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	103		Excitement	6.2 [543]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +10.1%
Miami Heat	85		Comeback	2.4 [295]		LVP	Tim Hardaway (MIA): -21.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	-0.00	0.09	-0.01	17	50%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Chris Childs	0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.03	0.01	7	93%	0.15	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	8	68%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
John Starks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.02	13	60%	0.09	2	-0.06	9	78%	-0.01
John Wallace	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.05	20	55%	0.05	3	-0.07	7	86%	0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	55%	0.00	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Buck Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	3	12%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.06	0.03	-0.08	13	43%	0.06	0	0.00	9	67%	0.01
Sasha Danilovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	8	59%	0.11	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.02
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	57%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Keith Askins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	5	55%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ike Austin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	4	42%	-0.06	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.15	-0.07	-0.01	10	38%	-0.09	4	-0.11	6	67%	-0.01
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.08	-0.12	0.02	19	58%	-0.04	7	-0.18	10	80%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	2.5	30.5	16.4	25.8	2.7	39.3	146.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +40.8%

MIA -1.4%

NYK +0.0%

NYK +7.5%

NYK +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIA	NBA	NYK	MIA	NBA
this game	16.6	15.8	15.6	115.7	95.5	104.4
season	15.1	15.8		102.0	103.1
opponent	16.3	16.1		98.3	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.5	14.7	16.9	17.4	16.6
MIA	16.0	14.1	18.2	15.2	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Buck Williams	42	40	0.60	-0.09	0.68	-0.11	24	-6	30	16.4	16.7	-0.32	15.6	16.0	-0.38
Allan Houston	71	73	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.08	16	2	14	16.6	16.3	0.27	15.9	15.4	0.45
John Starks	63	60	0.54	-0.03	0.57	-0.11	22	-4	26	16.0	18.0	-2.05	15.7	16.0	-0.33
Charlie Ward	34	31	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.09	8	10	-2	15.3	17.3	-1.99	16.8	15.3	1.53
Charles Oakley	67	69	0.22	0.29	-0.08	0.19	1	17	-16	16.9	15.6	1.21	15.8	15.8	0.01
Chris Childs	44	47	0.21	0.30	-0.09	-0.09	10	8	2	17.9	15.2	2.73	15.9	15.7	0.22
Patrick Ewing	65	66	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.13	10	8	2	16.4	16.9	-0.50	15.9	15.6	0.33
John Wallace	12	11	0.05	0.46	-0.41	0.05	0	18	-18	13.6	17.0	-3.43	16.3	15.7	0.53
Walter McCarty	3	2	0.00	0.51	-0.51	-0.03	1	17	-16	20.7	16.4	4.26	13.0	15.9	-2.87
Larry Johnson	44	46	-0.11	0.62	-0.73	-0.05	-2	20	-22	17.3	15.8	1.52	15.1	16.6	-1.45

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Grant	16	17	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-20	22	14.5	16.1	-1.60	15.5	16.8	-1.33
Voshon Lenard	2	3	0.00	-0.51	0.51	0.03	-1	-17	16	13.0	15.9	-2.87	20.7	16.4	4.26
Keith Askins	29	28	-0.03	-0.48	0.45	0.09	-4	-14	10	15.6	15.9	-0.38	15.4	17.1	-1.64
P.J. Brown	63	62	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	-11	4	15.6	16.4	-0.81	16.6	16.4	0.15
Alonzo Mourning	63	63	-0.37	-0.14	-0.23	-0.10	-9	-9	0	16.1	15.2	0.93	17.3	14.6	2.73
Ike Austin	44	45	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	-5	-8	15.8	15.8	-0.07	15.1	18.0	-2.87
Tim Hardaway	77	77	-0.49	-0.02	-0.47	0.04	-18	0	-18	15.8	15.6	0.26	16.6	16.2	0.35
Sasha Danilovic	68	69	-0.54	0.03	-0.57	0.08	-21	3	-24	15.9	15.5	0.44	17.2	14.4	2.71
Dan Majerle	83	81	-0.56	0.05	-0.61	-0.00	-19	1	-20	16.1	11.8	4.26	16.6	16.2	0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.7,0.58,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.37,0.48,0.32,0.19,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.27,0.26,0.16,0.1,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 97, WAS 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.22,0.1,0.21,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0	94.0%
DAL 110, MEM 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.26,0.16,0.15,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.2%
CHI 103, OKC 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,0.04,0	93.0%