NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	89		Excitement	7.9 [257]		MVP	Loy Vaught (LAC): +20.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	96		Comeback	2.8 [561]		LVP	Rodney Rogers (LAC): -23.4%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Goldwire	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	2	150%	0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
George Zidek	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.03	18	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.02
Tony Delk	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Muggsy Bogues	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	6	43%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Dell Curry	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	18	42%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	11	52%	0.02	4	-0.14	3	100%	0.04
Vlade Divac	-0.13	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13	-0.02	-0.13	-0.02	16	56%	0.01	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	2	17%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Loy Vaught	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.2	0.20	0.03	0.18	0.01	18	57%	0.30	2	-0.09	4	75%	0.01
Terry Dehere	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.04	0.01	13	81%	0.27	2	-0.09	5	100%	0.03
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.06	0.00	4	89%	0.13	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	8	55%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Kevin Duckworth	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Pooh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.08	-0.05	9	22%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.06	0.00	7	0%	-0.15	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.13	-0.11	-0.01	12	41%	-0.14	3	-0.09	8	50%	-0.16

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.8	24.2	15.6	27.2	0.1	35.9	131.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +46.0%

CHH -15.2%

LAC +6.5%

LAC +20.1%

CHH -7.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	LAC	NBA	CHH	LAC	NBA
this game	15.8	16.0	15.6	97.8	106.7	104.4
season	15.7	15.8		108.0	102.9
opponent	15.1	16.0		105.8	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	15.8	14.4	14.8	18.5	15.8
LAC	16.2	15.6	16.5	15.8	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Delk	10	11	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.05	5	-12	17	12.3	16.2	-3.93	14.3	16.3	-1.99
George Zidek	7	6	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-7	7	15.1	15.9	-0.71	13.0	16.2	-3.24
Malik Rose	23	23	-0.04	-0.47	0.43	0.02	-2	-5	3	16.1	15.7	0.38	15.2	16.3	-1.14
Anthony Goldwire	18	19	-0.06	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-9	11	14.7	16.1	-1.35	14.6	16.4	-1.83
Scott Burrell	35	33	-0.16	-0.35	0.19	-0.07	-3	-4	1	15.1	16.3	-1.21	14.9	16.7	-1.81
Vlade Divac	65	65	-0.31	-0.20	-0.11	-0.28	-1	-6	5	16.0	15.3	0.69	16.5	14.9	1.58
Muggsy Bogues	73	71	-0.45	-0.06	-0.40	-0.19	-9	2	-11	16.1	14.7	1.35	16.4	14.6	1.83
Glen Rice	76	75	-0.48	-0.03	-0.45	-0.21	-9	2	-11	16.0	14.8	1.20	16.4	14.1	2.35
Anthony Mason	82	81	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.38	-4	-3	-1	15.7	17.0	-1.33	16.2	14.7	1.51
Dell Curry	66	66	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.25	-14	7	-21	16.4	14.1	2.32	16.4	15.0	1.39

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Rogers	76	77	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.29	12	-5	17	16.3	14.4	1.97	16.3	13.1	3.23
Terry Dehere	63	62	0.55	-0.04	0.59	0.20	12	-5	17	16.5	14.9	1.67	16.1	15.2	0.92
Bo Outlaw	41	43	0.51	-0.00	0.51	0.27	8	-1	9	16.4	15.7	0.77	17.1	14.6	2.45
Pooh Richardson	48	48	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.31	3	4	-1	15.8	16.3	-0.54	15.9	15.7	0.20
Loy Vaught	80	81	0.34	0.17	0.17	0.28	2	5	-3	15.9	17.3	-1.44	15.7	16.3	-0.56
Lamond Murray	40	39	0.19	0.32	-0.13	-0.01	7	0	7	15.7	16.3	-0.58	14.4	16.8	-2.39
Darrick Martin	42	43	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	3	1	16.3	15.8	0.54	15.7	15.9	-0.20
Brent Barry	27	29	-0.04	0.55	-0.59	0.10	-5	12	-17	14.9	16.5	-1.67	15.2	16.1	-0.92
Lorenzen Wright	14	14	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.00	-2	9	-11	14.5	16.3	-1.80	14.1	16.1	-2.05
Kevin Duckworth	19	19	-0.10	0.61	-0.71	0.07	-6	13	-19	16.4	15.9	0.44	15.2	16.0	-0.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.67,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.83,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 105, ATL 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.43,0.46,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.69,0.73,0.6,0.48,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.77,0.69,0.8,0.73,0.86,0.93,0.85,0.84,1	92.8%
IND 91, ORL 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.98,1	92.3%
TOR 107, MIL 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.31,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.48,0.62,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.79,0.66,0.73,0.8,0.71,0.85,0.99,1	92.1%