NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	75		Excitement	8.3 [185]		MVP	Nick Anderson (ORL): +65.8%
Orlando Magic	79		Comeback	4.6 [338]		LVP	Mookie Blaylock (ATL): -27.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dikembe Mutombo	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.07	0.02	11	77%	0.18	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.06
Tyrone Corbin	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	-0.02	-0.05	15	56%	0.08	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Ivano Newbill	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.01	12	35%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Willie Burton	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.03	-0.11	0.00	8	47%	-0.11	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Ken Norman	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	7	14%	-0.13	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	-0.27	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.22,-0.05,-0.13,-0.27	-0.09	-0.16	0.01	18	41%	-0.12	3	-0.15	3	33%	-0.09

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.07,0.29,0.66	0.66	-0.01	0.63	-0.04	14	47%	0.68	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Amal McCaskill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
David Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.10	-0.00	11	58%	0.01	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	8	32%	-0.08	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.04
Derek Strong	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	0.02	-0.12	0.01	11	55%	-0.02	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.07	-0.11	0.01	7	44%	-0.03	3	-0.17	2	100%	0.01
Rony Seikaly	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2	-0.20	-0.08	-0.11	0.01	15	42%	-0.17	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	24.4	15.4	25.6	1.7	32.3	127.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +78.4%

ATL -17.3%

ORL +4.4%

ATL -15.1%

ATL -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	ORL	NBA	ATL	ORL	NBA
this game	17.6	17.5	15.6	90.4	97.5	104.4
season	16.4	16.4		105.3	102.9
opponent	15.5	16.0		103.5	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.6	17.8	18.3	17.9	17.6
ORL	16.1	18.2	20.7	15.6	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Barry	39	37	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.02	7	-11	18	17.6	17.7	-0.12	17.6	17.4	0.14
Eldridge Recasner	37	36	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.02	1	-5	6	17.5	17.7	-0.20	16.1	18.6	-2.44
Ivano Newbill	13	16	-0.14	-0.35	0.21	0.00	-5	1	-6	18.4	17.5	0.90	18.4	17.3	1.18
Ken Norman	25	26	-0.15	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	0	-4	16.8	18.0	-1.18	17.7	17.4	0.29
Dikembe Mutombo	70	65	-0.35	-0.14	-0.21	-0.38	1	-5	6	17.5	18.4	-0.90	17.3	18.4	-1.18
Tyrone Corbin	77	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.41	1	-5	6	17.5	19.3	-1.84	17.0	22.4	-5.40
Christian Laettner	64	62	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	1	-6	18.1	16.0	2.11	18.0	15.9	2.02
Mookie Blaylock	62	61	-0.61	0.12	-0.73	-0.41	-7	3	-10	17.8	17.2	0.52	18.6	14.2	4.37
Willie Burton	28	28	-0.65	0.16	-0.81	-0.39	-9	5	-14	17.6	17.7	-0.08	16.8	17.9	-1.08

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Strong	55	59	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.37	8	-4	12	18.1	16.2	1.86	18.3	15.9	2.41
Darrell Armstrong	48	46	0.52	-0.03	0.55	0.40	4	0	4	16.5	19.0	-2.49	16.4	19.2	-2.77
Nick Anderson	62	66	0.49	0.00	0.49	0.46	1	3	-2	17.5	17.6	-0.11	17.2	19.2	-1.95
Rony Seikaly	70	70	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.29	5	-1	6	18.0	14.0	4.04	17.8	16.8	1.02
Horace Grant	62	63	0.42	0.07	0.35	0.33	3	1	2	17.7	16.9	0.78	17.9	16.7	1.15
David Vaughn	19	22	0.01	0.48	-0.47	0.10	-3	7	-10	15.1	18.2	-3.12	16.7	18.0	-1.22
Amal McCaskill	37	35	0.00	0.49	-0.49	0.03	-1	5	-6	16.5	18.3	-1.85	16.2	18.7	-2.47
Brian Shaw	52	54	-0.03	0.52	-0.54	-0.11	3	1	2	18.5	15.8	2.70	19.2	14.8	4.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.18,0.23,0.22,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.47,0.55,0.45,0.57,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 91, BOS 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.4,0.55,0.63,0.43,0.58,1	92.5%
MIN 97, NOH 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.35,0.24,0.3,0.18,0.34,0.48,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.59,0.47,0.33,0.38,0.45,0.57,0.72,1	92.4%
BOS 85, UTA 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.2,0.32,0.21,0.35,0.34,0.55,0.45,0.56,0.74,1	91.8%