NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	92		Excitement	2.6 [1178]		MVP	Jeff Hornacek (UTA): +9.0%
Utah Jazz	108		Comeback	1.0 [1036]		LVP	Kendall Gill (NJN): -9.2%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	10	60%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ed O'Bannon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	0.00	0.08	9	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yinka Dare	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jayson Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	53%	0.02	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	13	42%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	7	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Adrian Caldwell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.10	0.00	-0.08	2	17%	0.00	3	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	7	48%	-0.01	1	-0.02	11	73%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	9	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.12	-0.00	-0.07	11	31%	-0.03	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Kendall Gill	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.17	-0.00	-0.08	14	29%	-0.06	2	-0.03	6	33%	-0.03

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.15	0.00	0.06	12	79%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.00	-0.04	8	61%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Chris Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.01	-0.05	4	50%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.03	6	83%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	10	58%	0.02	1	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Karl Malone	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	17	61%	0.05	4	-0.05	10	70%	0.01
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	150%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.10	0.00	-0.09	6	23%	-0.01	2	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	9	35%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	6	43%	-0.01	3	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.14	0.00	-0.07	6	17%	-0.03	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.5	26.6	15.3	26.9	2.0	25.2	124.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +30.4%

UTA +4.0%

UTA +10.7%

UTA +4.9%

UTA +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	UTA	NBA	NJN	UTA	NBA
this game	14.7	14.9	15.6	92.9	113.7	104.4
season	15.4	15.6		101.7	110.8
opponent	16.0	14.9		102.2	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.3	13.7	15.1	16.1	14.7
UTA	13.9	15.1	14.2	16.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ed O'Bannon	18	20	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.53	18	-34	52	14.1	14.9	-0.85	17.4	14.3	3.17
Yinka Dare	16	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.44	15	-31	46	13.5	15.0	-1.49	17.6	14.3	3.29
Adrian Caldwell	26	26	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.35	10	-26	36	12.7	15.5	-2.73	16.7	14.3	2.46
Khalid Reeves	48	49	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.33	8	-24	32	14.9	14.6	0.37	15.7	14.2	1.54
Tony Massenburg	44	44	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.29	-17	1	-18	14.9	14.6	0.29	15.0	14.9	0.06
Reggie Williams	42	42	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.32	3	-19	22	13.5	15.6	-2.08	16.2	14.0	2.19
Kendall Gill	57	53	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.29	-19	3	-22	15.6	13.5	2.08	14.0	16.2	-2.19
Shawn Bradley	47	41	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.04	-11	-5	-6	15.4	14.1	1.33	13.8	15.8	-2.05
Kerry Kittles	59	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.27	-21	5	-26	14.5	15.1	-0.68	14.3	15.7	-1.42
Jayson Williams	65	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.40	-29	13	-42	15.2	13.8	1.45	14.2	16.4	-2.19
Robert Pack	73	68	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.53	-37	21	-58	15.0	14.0	1.01	14.2	16.9	-2.76

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Stockton	51	56	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.29	26	-10	36	14.5	15.5	-0.99	15.1	14.3	0.87
Jeff Hornacek	59	64	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.38	25	-9	34	14.3	16.0	-1.69	13.8	16.4	-2.60
Karl Malone	50	55	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.30	22	-6	28	14.3	15.7	-1.45	13.9	15.8	-1.97
Bryon Russell	39	44	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.27	19	-3	22	13.8	15.7	-1.87	14.8	14.7	0.17
Adam Keefe	44	44	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.42	-5	21	-26	16.2	13.9	2.30	13.9	15.5	-1.59
Antoine Carr	51	50	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.29	-3	19	-22	15.3	14.5	0.83	15.5	14.0	1.56
Shandon Anderson	35	36	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.18	13	3	10	14.3	15.3	-0.96	15.4	14.4	1.01
Greg Ostertag	42	46	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.29	16	0	16	14.3	15.5	-1.14	14.9	14.6	0.27
Chris Morris	26	27	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	18	-20	15.4	14.8	0.65	17.3	13.8	3.56
Howard Eisley	44	43	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.32	-10	26	-36	15.5	14.5	0.99	14.3	15.1	-0.87
Jamie Watson	11	9	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.22	-7	23	-30	18.5	14.5	4.07	11.9	15.0	-3.14
Greg Foster	23	21	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.41	-14	30	-44	16.6	14.4	2.13	16.1	14.4	1.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 83, TOR 122	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
HOU 92, SAS 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
LAC 96, ORL 129	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%