NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	96		Excitement	2.9 [1165]		MVP	Darrell Armstrong (ORL): +10.6%
Orlando Magic	129		Comeback	1.0 [1238]		LVP	Eric Murdock (LAC): -6.5%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Closs	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	12	48%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Derek Anderson	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.02	16	54%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Charles R. Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	30%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	13	38%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Avent	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Troy Hudson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	8	62%	-0.01	5	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Nesby	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	15	39%	-0.04	2	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	12	43%	-0.04	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Eric Murdock	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	5	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.23	0.00	0.12	12	108%	0.14	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.00	0.04	15	70%	0.08	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.01	-0.06	7	70%	0.08	3	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	11	62%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	5	83%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Johnny Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	17	44%	0.01	2	-0.01	5	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	5	62%	0.02	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0.03	11	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.8	29.2	16.6	27.3	1.6	26.3	128.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +35.3%

ORL +4.4%

ORL +5.6%

ORL +3.8%

ORL +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	ORL	NBA	LAC	ORL	NBA
this game	15.9	12.0	15.2	93.2	124.0	101.7
season	15.6	13.6		95.5	100.4
opponent	15.4	14.3		99.3	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.9	18.7	15.3	14.7	15.9
ORL	11.8	10.1	12.4	13.6	12.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Closs	27	28	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.07	-2	-31	29	12.7	17.0	-4.23	11.2	12.3	-1.10
Charles R. Jones	18	18	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	-28	23	14.8	16.1	-1.25	12.7	11.8	0.90
Anthony Avent	6	7	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-33	33	16.2	15.8	0.32	11.4	12.0	-0.59
Derek Anderson	18	18	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-28	23	18.3	15.4	2.92	11.6	12.1	-0.45
Eric Piatkowski	60	60	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.11	-8	-25	17	14.7	17.5	-2.83	12.5	11.3	1.19
Brian Skinner	37	38	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.20	-12	-21	9	14.0	16.9	-2.87	11.9	12.0	-0.05
Troy Hudson	47	49	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.12	-12	-21	9	15.2	16.4	-1.16	11.6	12.3	-0.74
Tyrone Nesby	65	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.38	-23	-10	-13	16.3	15.2	1.08	11.7	12.6	-0.91
Eric Murdock	53	53	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.34	-22	-11	-11	15.9	15.8	0.09	12.4	11.6	0.81
Lamar Odom	49	48	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.47	-27	-6	-21	17.0	14.8	2.21	11.5	12.4	-0.89
Maurice Taylor	64	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.12	-18	-15	-3	16.9	14.2	2.71	12.2	11.6	0.58
Michael Olowokandi	71	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.48	-31	-2	-29	16.9	13.5	3.43	12.3	11.4	0.85

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrell Armstrong	69	69	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.30	26	7	19	11.6	12.7	-1.06	15.5	16.6	-1.17
John Amaechi	57	57	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.44	29	4	25	12.2	11.7	0.59	15.9	15.8	0.19
Ben Wallace	55	53	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.26	23	10	13	12.3	11.7	0.58	15.8	15.9	-0.03
Bo Outlaw	62	63	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.29	21	12	9	11.9	12.1	-0.15	15.1	17.0	-1.86
Ron Mercer	60	58	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.26	20	13	7	11.9	12.1	-0.27	15.4	16.5	-1.15
Corey Maggette	47	47	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.18	13	20	-7	12.0	12.0	-0.00	16.4	15.4	0.95
Monty Williams	33	33	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.13	9	24	-15	12.8	11.6	1.18	17.1	15.3	1.81
Pat Garrity	40	41	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.17	9	24	-15	10.9	12.6	-1.68	16.4	15.5	0.87
Michael Doleac	46	46	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.04	4	29	-25	11.9	12.1	-0.20	15.8	15.9	-0.19
Chucky Atkins	36	34	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.16	7	26	-19	12.4	11.8	0.62	16.6	15.5	1.17
Johnny Taylor	15	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	29	-25	12.7	11.9	0.80	15.1	16.0	-0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 91, CLE 124	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
CHI 80, SAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
VAN 75, IND 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%