NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	115		Excitement	10.5 [50]		MVP	Chris Webber (WAS): +107.6%
Washington Bullets	110		Comeback	2.1 [413]		LVP	Rod Strickland (WAS): -48.7%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Perkins	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23	0.02	0.21	0.00	10	58%	0.26	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Detlef Schrempf	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.01	0.09	-0.04	18	55%	0.18	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Gary Payton	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.11	-0.07	-0.01	22	66%	0.15	3	-0.09	3	33%	-0.09
Larry Stewart	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Eric Snow	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Wingate	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	1	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jim McIlvaine	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Craig Ehlo	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.03	10	25%	-0.09	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.19	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.27,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19	-0.08	-0.10	0.01	23	55%	-0.07	5	-0.12	16	62%	-0.16

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.35,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.7,1.08,1.08,1.08,1.08,1.08,1.08	1.08	0.10	0.95	-0.02	24	63%	1.12	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.02
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	10	55%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.08	0.01	16	47%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Harvey Grant	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	6	0%	-0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.07	-0.13	0.02	13	45%	-0.16	2	-0.06	7	57%	-0.04
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.31,-0.34,-0.41	-0.41	-0.12	-0.29	0.00	14	42%	-0.27	3	-0.14	8	87%	0.02
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.37,-0.37,-0.43,-0.43,-0.43,-0.49	-0.49	-0.19	-0.30	-0.00	18	39%	-0.21	7	-0.28	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	25.6	1.8	24.2	14.6	32.0	2.2	32.6	1.5	12.5	1.0	18.1	166.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	1.6	17.8	1.6	17.8	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +10.4%

SEA +14.7%

SEA +11.7%

SEA +13.3%

WAS -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	WAS	NBA	SEA	WAS	NBA
this game	14.7	16.3	15.6	103.6	97.3	104.4
season	14.9	14.8		108.9	104.3
opponent	15.8	16.2		103.3	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SEA	13.8	14.0	14.1	15.0	15.9	14.4
WAS	16.8	16.0	14.7	15.6	21.6	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Detlef Schrempf	95	98	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.31	9	-4	13	14.3	17.5	-3.22	16.6	14.7	1.89
Gary Payton	99	100	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.36	7	-2	9	14.8	14.5	0.28	16.6	14.0	2.61
Shawn Kemp	94	96	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.28	8	-3	11	15.4	11.2	4.22	16.1	17.5	-1.37
Hersey Hawkins	76	77	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.36	-2	7	-9	15.4	13.3	2.05	15.8	17.4	-1.67
Craig Ehlo	35	36	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.01	7	-2	9	13.3	15.4	-2.05	17.4	15.8	1.67
Jim McIlvaine	44	46	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.07	4	1	3	15.3	14.4	0.91	15.7	16.7	-1.07
Larry Stewart	42	43	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.16	1	4	-3	13.1	15.8	-2.66	18.1	15.2	2.88
Sam Perkins	52	50	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.26	-3	8	-11	14.9	14.6	0.33	16.2	16.4	-0.20
Eric Snow	12	13	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	7	-9	14.5	14.8	-0.28	14.0	16.6	-2.61
David Wingate	6	6	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.01	-4	9	-13	18.0	14.6	3.44	8.5	16.7	-8.25

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Harvey Grant	54	51	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.08	1	-6	7	14.6	17.8	-3.22	15.0	14.5	0.43
Ben Wallace	8	8	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.04	-7	2	-9	21.6	15.9	5.72	14.4	14.8	-0.40
Jaren Jackson	38	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.04	-7	2	-9	17.7	15.6	2.03	13.0	15.6	-2.58
Calbert Cheaney	46	44	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.03	-7	2	-9	14.8	17.3	-2.50	14.0	15.2	-1.20
Rod Strickland	91	88	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.31	2	-7	9	16.1	17.0	-0.86	15.0	14.0	1.00
Tracy Murray	68	68	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.29	-3	-2	-1	17.8	14.0	3.76	14.3	15.5	-1.17
Chris Webber	110	107	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.39	0	-5	5	16.1	24.0	-7.90	14.8	13.0	1.81
Juwan Howard	98	98	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.31	-4	-1	-3	16.1	17.7	-1.64	15.0	12.5	2.50
Chris Whitney	52	54	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.44	0	-5	5	16.7	15.9	0.82	15.9	13.6	2.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.63,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.46,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.08,0.12,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.25,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.06,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 115, UTA 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.23,0.25,0.31,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.19,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0	87.4%
NYK 115, SAC 116	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.27,0.26,0.36,0.41,0.38,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.12,0.1,0.02,0.01,0.07,0,1	87.3%
IND 94, MIA 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.39,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.23,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.02,0	87.2%