NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	79		Excitement	8.2 [200]		MVP	Terry Porter (MIN): +4.7%
New York Knicks	82		Comeback	4.5 [341]		LVP	Tom Gugliotta (MIN): -66.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Porter	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05	-0.00	0.06	0.01	9	62%	0.09	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.06
Dean Garrett	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shane Heal	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Doug West	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	11	52%	-0.01	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Kevin Garnett	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.03	-0.00	17	32%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.07
Chris Carr	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Stojko Vrankovic	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.01	-0.08	0.01	3	75%	-0.07	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.12
James Robinson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	3	100%	0.07	6	-0.21	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.13	-0.10	-0.00	4	0%	-0.10	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.66	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.1,-0.16,-0.23,-0.31,-0.39,-0.59,-0.66	-0.19	-0.47	0.00	19	40%	-0.43	5	-0.23	9	78%	-0.05

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	4	87%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scott Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Buck Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	0.01	17	57%	0.09	3	-0.12	12	67%	-0.01
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.05	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	13	42%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	6	57%	0.07	5	-0.18	2	50%	-0.01
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	12	46%	0.12	6	-0.25	4	100%	0.07
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.23,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.08	-0.00	10	50%	-0.04	4	-0.14	6	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	421.0	1.7	28.2	16.4	25.5	2.5	43.8	538.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +78.9%

MIN -15.8%

NYK +2.8%

MIN -20.2%

NYK +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	NYK	NBA	MIN	NYK	NBA
this game	16.3	14.2	15.6	83.2	87.2	104.4
season	15.5	15.1		103.3	102.0
opponent	16.1	15.5		98.8	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.9	15.4	16.4	16.5	16.3
NYK	15.0	14.0	13.6	14.1	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stojko Vrankovic	37	36	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.01	7	-10	17	16.3	16.2	0.08	15.2	13.6	1.58
Shane Heal	1	0	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.08	0	-3	3	10.0	16.3	-6.34	0.0	14.2	-14.19
Tom Gugliotta	82	82	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.37	9	-12	21	16.0	18.2	-2.27	14.7	10.9	3.75
James Robinson	30	27	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.06	-2	-1	-1	16.2	16.3	-0.11	13.1	14.6	-1.52
Cherokee Parks	5	4	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	2	-7	13.8	16.4	-2.61	9.5	14.4	-4.90
Chris Carr	20	21	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.10	-1	-2	1	17.2	16.0	1.24	14.5	14.1	0.43
Terry Porter	65	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.35	-1	-2	1	16.3	16.2	0.11	14.6	13.1	1.52
Dean Garrett	46	46	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.22	-6	3	-9	16.8	15.8	0.99	13.5	14.9	-1.40
Doug West	75	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.30	-4	1	-5	16.0	17.2	-1.24	14.1	14.5	-0.43
Kevin Garnett	80	80	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.26	-6	3	-9	16.4	15.5	0.88	14.3	13.7	0.56
Sam Mitchell	34	34	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.31	-6	3	-9	16.5	16.1	0.35	13.3	14.7	-1.36

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Ewing	86	86	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.36	10	-7	17	13.9	17.0	-3.07	16.4	14.8	1.65
John Starks	47	49	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.50	4	-1	5	14.2	14.2	0.00	16.4	16.2	0.24
Charlie Ward	63	64	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.37	3	0	3	14.3	14.0	0.29	16.0	16.8	-0.74
Buck Williams	56	59	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.44	-1	4	-5	13.8	14.7	-0.92	16.0	16.7	-0.68
Larry Johnson	72	72	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	-1	5	14.6	12.9	1.67	16.8	14.5	2.31
Allan Houston	64	63	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.00	8	-5	13	13.7	15.3	-1.68	16.3	16.2	0.13
John Wallace	22	22	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.12	-5	8	-13	12.9	14.6	-1.67	14.7	16.7	-2.01
Scott Brooks	15	15	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.02	-3	6	-9	15.2	14.0	1.20	16.3	16.3	0.07
Charles Oakley	45	45	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.03	-5	8	-13	15.4	13.0	2.40	16.3	16.2	0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.2,0.21,0.29,0.23,0.18,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.63,0.67,0.81,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 110, OKC 118	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.24,0.16,0.2,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.48,0.38,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.69,0.63,0.76,0.91,1	93.0%
DEN 111, UTA 116	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.4,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.21,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.51,0.48,0.68,0.7,0.61,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.73,1	92.3%
SAS 96, PHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.31,0.39,0.27,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.27,0.33,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.38,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.76,0.64,0.65,0.78,0.86,0.71,0.77,0.99,1	92.1%