NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	89		Excitement	9.4 [96]		MVP	Lawrence Moten (VAN): +49.0%
Vancouver Grizzlies	92		Comeback	10.0 [143]		LVP	Michael Finley (PHX): -23.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.17,0.13	-0.01	0.11	-0.03	12	47%	0.13	0	0.00	6	100%	0.07
Chucky Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Wayman Tisdale	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	11	45%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,-0.05	0.03	-0.07	0.02	13	57%	0.02	1	-0.08	2	0%	-0.03
Rex Chapman	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.06,-0.1	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	10	59%	0.18	5	-0.28	2	50%	-0.01
A.C. Green	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	3	0%	-0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Joe Kleine	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.04	-0.12	0.01	9	71%	0.10	6	-0.28	6	100%	0.04
Michael Finley	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.19,-0.23	-0.01	-0.23	-0.00	12	54%	-0.05	2	-0.18	2	50%	-0.04

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lawrence Moten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.49	0.49	0.03	0.45	-0.00	19	51%	0.51	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Blue Edwards	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.36,0.36,0.44	0.44	0.25	0.21	0.02	14	92%	0.47	1	-0.03	9	100%	0.13
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	9	44%	0.04	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Lee Mayberry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Roy Rogers	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.02	-0.10	0.00	10	50%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	4	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.03	11	26%	-0.07	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.00	7	14%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.02	-0.19	0.00	10	48%	-0.07	1	-0.15	3	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.3	24.5	15.4	24.4	2.4	40.5	133.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN +29.5%

PHX -13.7%

PHX -36.2%

VAN +63.8%

VAN +6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	VAN	NBA	PHX	VAN	NBA
this game	14.9	16.4	15.6	96.7	100.0	104.4
season	14.6	16.3		106.8	97.9
opponent	15.5	15.6		109.2	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.5	16.8	13.2	15.8	14.9
VAN	16.5	13.2	19.5	16.9	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chucky Brown	16	15	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.08	1	-4	5	16.4	14.5	1.84	17.4	16.3	1.14
Joe Kleine	37	38	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-1	-1	13.3	15.9	-2.57	17.0	16.1	0.94
Rex Chapman	17	17	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.05	-2	-1	-1	15.1	14.8	0.32	13.5	17.1	-3.58
A.C. Green	30	31	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-2	1	16.0	14.3	1.64	15.6	16.9	-1.30
Wayman Tisdale	32	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.08	-2	-1	-1	17.1	13.6	3.47	15.3	17.0	-1.74
Danny Manning	61	61	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	-2	-1	-1	14.5	15.5	-1.04	16.9	15.6	1.30
Robert Horry	65	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.34	0	-3	3	14.2	16.4	-2.24	16.9	15.4	1.47
Michael Finley	64	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.38	1	-4	5	13.5	18.0	-4.52	17.7	13.5	4.23
Wesley Person	51	50	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.31	-3	0	-3	16.3	13.1	3.18	15.1	18.0	-2.95
Steve Nash	87	87	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.40	-5	2	-7	14.9	14.4	0.49	16.5	15.0	1.53

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blue Edwards	64	64	1.06	-0.56	1.62	0.62	15	-12	27	16.2	16.9	-0.69	15.8	12.6	3.24
Roy Rogers	52	53	0.96	-0.46	1.42	0.69	9	-6	15	17.0	15.8	1.19	13.9	16.2	-2.29
Bryant Reeves	80	80	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.37	7	-4	11	16.6	15.2	1.47	14.8	15.2	-0.45
Greg Anthony	62	61	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	0	3	16.0	17.4	-1.37	14.1	16.3	-2.11
Anthony Peeler	39	39	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.00	7	-4	11	15.3	17.3	-2.06	16.0	14.0	1.98
Lawrence Moten	49	51	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.29	-5	8	-13	17.0	15.9	1.10	13.7	16.3	-2.54
Lee Mayberry	30	31	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	3	-3	17.4	16.0	1.37	16.3	14.1	2.11
Richard Manning	11	10	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.05	-4	7	-11	16.5	16.4	0.11	16.5	14.7	1.84
George Lynch	33	32	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	0.01	-11	14	-25	17.0	16.1	0.86	12.9	15.9	-2.95
Pete Chilcutt	40	39	-0.46	0.96	-1.42	-0.28	-6	9	-15	15.8	17.0	-1.19	16.2	13.9	2.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.57,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.7,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.53,0.3,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.45,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 68, TOR 70	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.2,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.27,1	90.2%
NJN 80, MIA 81	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.43,0.26,1	89.5%
SAS 99, IND 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.71,0.71,0.6,0.47,0.4,0.22,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.47,1	89.4%