NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Bullets	106		Excitement	3.6 [1050]		MVP	Chris Webber (WAS): +6.8%
New Jersey Nets	91		Comeback	1.3 [487]		LVP	Kendall Gill (NJN): -13.3%

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.00	-0.05	15	72%	0.12	6	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Jaren Jackson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.08	7	40%	0.04	2	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Chris Whitney	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	16	56%	0.05	3	-0.03	7	86%	0.00
Tracy Murray	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Rod Strickland	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	10	61%	0.04	4	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	10	52%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Matt Fish	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gheorghe Muresan	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.01	-0.06	7	43%	0.02	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harvey Grant	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	0.04	6	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	0.00	0.06	12	81%	0.08	4	-0.06	2	50%	0.00
Adrian Caldwell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	5	57%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Ed O'Bannon	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jayson Williams	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	-0.06	14	44%	0.01	4	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Robert Pack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.16	-0.01	-0.12	6	43%	0.01	7	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Xavier McDaniel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.17	0.00	-0.09	16	32%	-0.04	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.01
Kendall Gill	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.22	-0.00	-0.09	18	41%	-0.02	9	-0.11	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.7	28.3	15.3	22.4	1.7	28.3	122.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +39.8%

NJN -0.0%

NJN -17.6%

WAS +25.4%

WAS +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NJN	NBA	WAS	NJN	NBA
this game	14.4	13.7	15.6	102.9	89.2	104.4
season	14.8	15.4		104.3	101.7
opponent	14.9	15.8		106.6	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.2	12.9	16.2	15.7	14.4
NJN	12.5	15.4	13.3	13.6	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	82	81	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.10	17	-2	19	14.0	16.0	-1.98	13.4	14.6	-1.20
Harvey Grant	55	54	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.01	14	1	13	14.7	14.1	0.53	13.3	14.1	-0.75
Jaren Jackson	42	42	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.02	14	1	13	14.3	14.5	-0.24	13.4	13.8	-0.45
Juwan Howard	76	77	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.03	12	3	9	14.9	13.2	1.63	13.8	13.4	0.35
Tracy Murray	46	43	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.10	7	8	-1	13.8	15.0	-1.20	13.8	13.6	0.21
Rod Strickland	73	72	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.07	7	8	-1	14.6	14.0	0.56	13.1	15.1	-2.03
Chris Whitney	30	30	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.01	8	7	1	14.0	14.6	-0.56	15.1	13.1	2.03
Calbert Cheaney	61	60	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.08	1	14	-13	14.5	14.3	0.24	13.8	13.4	0.45
Ben Wallace	9	9	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	13	-11	14.6	14.4	0.14	11.9	13.8	-1.95
Gheorghe Muresan	39	41	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.21	-7	22	-29	14.9	14.1	0.76	14.9	12.9	2.03
Matt Fish	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	13.5	14.4	-0.95	7.0	13.7	-6.73

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ed O'Bannon	38	39	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.10	4	-19	23	13.6	13.7	-0.18	14.1	14.6	-0.48
Adrian Caldwell	6	4	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.08	-7	-8	1	18.2	13.4	4.78	15.0	14.4	0.60
Xavier McDaniel	12	12	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	-9	3	13.4	13.7	-0.28	11.4	14.8	-3.41
Tony Massenburg	39	40	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.17	0	-15	15	12.8	14.2	-1.37	15.9	13.5	2.41
Kendall Gill	81	83	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.21	1	-16	17	13.4	14.8	-1.44	14.3	14.9	-0.65
Kerry Kittles	74	78	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.10	-3	-12	9	13.7	13.7	-0.02	14.2	15.1	-0.91
Khalid Reeves	13	12	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.11	-14	-1	-13	14.5	13.5	1.00	14.2	14.5	-0.20
Shawn Bradley	69	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-10	-5	-5	14.3	12.4	1.93	13.7	16.0	-2.27
Robert Pack	52	50	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-4	-7	13.7	13.7	-0.03	15.4	13.5	1.93
Reggie Williams	36	35	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.11	-16	1	-17	14.2	13.3	0.90	15.2	14.0	1.21
Jayson Williams	90	92	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	-2	-11	13.3	16.7	-3.49	14.3	15.4	-1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.23,0.25,0.29,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.08,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 94, WAS 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
NJN 89, NYK 74	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
LAL 102, GSW 85	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%