NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	78		Excitement	5.8 [610]		MVP	Eddie Jones (LAL): +18.9%
Charlotte Hornets	88		Comeback	2.7 [537]		LVP	Elden Campbell (LAL): -13.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.12	0.08	0.01	8	100%	0.24	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Byron Scott	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.03	11	58%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Sean Rooks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.08	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	18	54%	0.04	4	-0.12	5	40%	-0.03
Cedric Ceballos	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	10	40%	-0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.05	-0.02	14	33%	-0.06	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.09	-0.00	9	58%	0.12	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Matt Geiger	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.06	-0.03	20	54%	0.16	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.02	13	59%	0.14	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
Anthony Goldwire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
George Zidek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	11	54%	0.00	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	7	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.1	1.8	23.0	15.0	28.5	1.8	29.0	119.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +8.2%

CHH +8.8%

CHH +6.1%

CHH +22.3%

CHH +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CHH	NBA	LAL	CHH	NBA
this game	16.0	18.3	15.6	92.9	104.8	104.4
season	15.3	15.7		105.8	108.0
opponent	16.0	15.7		106.5	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.1	16.0	19.0	15.7	16.0
CHH	20.6	18.3	13.2	22.2	18.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Rooks	14	14	0.29	-0.79	1.08	-0.04	11	-21	32	14.4	16.3	-1.91	18.6	18.3	0.29
Derek Fisher	24	24	0.11	-0.62	0.73	-0.00	4	-14	18	14.0	16.7	-2.68	17.9	18.5	-0.58
Kobe Bryant	12	12	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-10	10	16.6	15.8	0.74	18.6	18.3	0.29
Byron Scott	30	33	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-9	8	13.3	17.4	-4.18	20.0	17.3	2.75
Eddie Jones	68	68	-0.38	-0.13	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-3	-4	16.2	14.9	1.25	18.1	19.3	-1.21
Corie Blount	40	40	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.18	-7	-3	-4	15.7	16.2	-0.43	17.6	19.0	-1.30
Cedric Ceballos	56	54	-0.49	-0.02	-0.47	-0.20	-10	0	-10	16.8	14.2	2.55	17.8	19.3	-1.50
Elden Campbell	44	44	-0.50	-0.01	-0.49	0.00	-17	7	-24	16.6	15.2	1.44	17.9	18.8	-0.89
Shaquille O'Neal	72	71	-0.50	-0.01	-0.49	-0.24	-9	-1	-8	16.1	15.1	1.01	18.7	16.1	2.67
Nick Van Exel	60	60	-0.62	0.11	-0.73	-0.21	-14	4	-18	16.7	14.0	2.68	18.5	17.9	0.58

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Geiger	67	68	0.63	-0.12	0.74	0.27	12	-2	14	18.5	17.6	0.93	16.3	14.4	1.87
Anthony Mason	69	70	0.47	0.04	0.43	0.26	7	3	4	18.5	17.7	0.73	16.3	14.0	2.34
Dell Curry	70	70	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.27	6	4	2	18.3	18.5	-0.20	16.3	14.0	2.34
Scott Burrell	39	40	0.29	0.22	0.07	-0.03	11	-1	12	16.9	19.6	-2.73	16.1	15.8	0.28
Anthony Goldwire	44	44	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.05	8	2	6	19.1	17.4	1.69	15.9	16.0	-0.19
Tony Smith	40	40	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	8	-6	17.4	19.1	-1.69	16.0	15.9	0.19
Vlade Divac	32	29	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	9	-8	20.0	17.3	2.69	14.2	16.9	-2.61
George Zidek	33	34	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	12	-14	18.4	18.3	0.10	16.0	15.9	0.03
Tony Delk	14	14	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.05	4	6	-2	18.5	18.3	0.20	14.0	16.3	-2.34
Malik Rose	12	11	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.08	1	9	-8	16.7	18.6	-1.94	15.2	16.1	-0.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.75,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.58,0.74,0.93,0.96,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 82, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.85,0.95,1,1,1,1,1	93.4%
TOR 85, DEN 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.6,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.8,0.73,0.83,0.76,0.93,0.86,0.97,0.99,1,1	92.8%
ATL 104, NYK 112	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.78,0.68,0.81,0.74,0.7,0.8,0.73,0.83,0.94,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,1,1	92.6%