NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	86		Excitement	1.2 [1261]		MVP	Buck Williams (NYK): +6.7%
New York Knicks	113		Comeback	1.0 [1074]		LVP	Anthony Mason (CHH): -8.0%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.08	6	42%	-0.02	3	0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00	4	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	0.00	0.08	9	78%	-0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Goldwire	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.13	0.00	0.14	10	85%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	9	44%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Zidek	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.13	0.00	-0.10	8	40%	-0.01	4	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00
Muggsy Bogues	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	13	44%	-0.01	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Matt Geiger	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.15	0.00	-0.10	8	22%	-0.04	3	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
Anthony Mason	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.04	0.00	0.12	6	71%	-0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Buck Williams	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	4	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.00	-0.06	11	57%	0.06	2	-0.01	6	100%	0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	10	52%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	60%	0.03	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.00
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	13	54%	0.01	3	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.11	0.00	0.10	8	85%	0.01	1	0.00	4	100%	-0.00
Herb Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	6	33%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	6	57%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris Jent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.01	11	56%	-0.01	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.7	27.3	15.6	25.0	1.8	24.5	120.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +37.2%

NYK +5.5%

NYK +0.2%

NYK +5.2%

NYK +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	NYK	NBA	CHH	NYK	NBA
this game	17.8	15.1	15.6	98.9	128.4	104.4
season	15.7	15.1		108.0	102.0
opponent	16.1	16.0		98.8	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	18.6	20.6	16.7	15.7	17.8
NYK	13.5	15.4	18.4	13.8	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Delk	29	30	-0.00	-0.49	0.49	-0.24	8	-35	43	15.8	18.8	-2.97	14.0	15.7	-1.66
Malik Rose	29	30	-0.00	-0.49	0.49	-0.24	8	-35	43	15.8	18.8	-2.97	14.0	15.7	-1.66
Anthony Goldwire	46	46	-0.02	-0.47	0.45	0.04	-2	-25	23	17.1	18.6	-1.52	15.2	15.0	0.19
George Zidek	53	53	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-28	29	17.0	19.1	-2.06	15.1	15.2	-0.08
Tony Smith	18	19	-0.21	-0.28	0.07	0.23	-15	-12	-3	22.1	16.7	5.43	13.8	15.5	-1.70
Scott Burrell	61	62	-0.24	-0.25	0.01	-0.01	-8	-19	11	18.0	17.5	0.49	13.8	18.3	-4.46
Muggsy Bogues	17	17	-0.27	-0.22	-0.05	0.20	-16	-11	-5	17.9	17.8	0.10	15.9	14.9	0.94
Matt Geiger	37	37	-0.32	-0.17	-0.15	0.29	-21	-6	-15	18.1	17.6	0.43	17.5	13.4	4.07
Vlade Divac	25	26	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.28	-23	-4	-19	18.6	17.5	1.06	15.0	15.2	-0.18
Dell Curry	50	50	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.55	-35	8	-43	18.5	16.9	1.64	15.6	14.4	1.19
Anthony Mason	70	70	-0.49	0.00	-0.49	0.44	-32	5	-37	18.4	15.5	2.90	15.8	12.5	3.30

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allan Houston	49	49	0.43	0.06	0.37	-0.36	27	0	27	15.6	14.6	1.01	17.9	17.7	0.26
Patrick Ewing	48	48	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.60	33	-6	39	15.3	14.9	0.41	18.1	17.4	0.76
Charlie Ward	46	46	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.69	36	-9	45	15.3	14.9	0.38	18.3	17.3	1.01
Buck Williams	38	38	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.38	24	3	21	17.5	13.3	4.23	18.4	17.3	1.09
Larry Johnson	47	48	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.33	21	6	15	16.4	13.6	2.79	17.7	18.0	-0.31
John Starks	40	40	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.31	18	9	9	13.5	16.5	-2.98	19.7	16.2	3.55
John Wallace	51	49	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	23	-19	14.0	16.7	-2.68	18.1	17.4	0.68
Scott Brooks	42	41	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.39	-9	36	-45	14.9	15.3	-0.38	17.3	18.3	-1.01
Herb Williams	40	39	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.30	-6	33	-39	14.9	15.3	-0.41	17.4	18.1	-0.76
Walter McCarty	25	24	0.00	0.49	-0.49	0.18	-6	33	-39	13.8	15.7	-1.91	15.7	18.6	-2.95
Chris Jent	14	13	0.00	0.49	-0.49	0.21	-7	34	-41	13.9	15.4	-1.51	13.0	18.6	-5.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 93, UTA 119	0.5,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.9%
ATL 67, LAL 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.7%
MIA 84, UTA 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.6%