NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	93		Excitement	1.3 [1255]		MVP	Greg Ostertag (UTA): +6.7%
Utah Jazz	119		Comeback	1.0 [1253]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (WAS): -9.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hubert Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loy Vaught	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	9	56%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Vanterpool	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	75%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Mike Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	8	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jahidi White	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	10	64%	0.01	3	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00
Courtney Alexander	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	11	54%	-0.02	2	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Laron Profit	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	6	57%	0.00	4	-0.03	2	100%	-0.00
Popeye Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	6	17%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	0.00	-0.03	15	50%	-0.04	5	-0.05	10	100%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.03	0.00	-0.09	6	64%	0.07	3	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	10	67%	0.05	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Karl Malone	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	-0.04	6	68%	0.04	2	-0.00	10	90%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.03	7	69%	0.03	0	0.00	12	92%	0.01
John Starks	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	8	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	4	60%	0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.05	7	81%	0.01	2	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
David Benoit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.08	0.00	0.08	6	80%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.03	4	75%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	42%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	42%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +27.0%

UTA +7.9%

UTA +4.2%

UTA +9.8%

UTA +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	UTA	NBA	WAS	UTA	NBA
this game	15.1	15.3	15.5	98.9	126.6	100.9
season	15.2	16.0		98.6	105.3
opponent	15.5	15.2		100.5	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	18.5	14.7	11.9	15.8	15.1
UTA	12.0	16.6	15.8	16.9	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Popeye Jones	50	48	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.08	-7	-19	12	15.5	14.7	0.73	15.8	14.8	1.05
Laron Profit	43	41	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-23	20	14.6	15.6	-0.99	16.7	14.3	2.42
Loy Vaught	44	42	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.05	-3	-23	20	14.2	15.9	-1.63	16.1	14.7	1.45
David Vanterpool	49	49	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.22	-13	-13	0	14.9	15.4	-0.54	15.1	15.6	-0.45
Mike Smith	49	48	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.21	-14	-12	-2	16.2	14.0	2.23	15.9	14.7	1.14
Courtney Alexander	51	53	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.06	-12	-14	2	14.4	15.9	-1.50	14.9	15.9	-0.99
Richard Hamilton	66	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.00	-11	-15	4	14.1	17.5	-3.34	15.2	15.5	-0.31
Hubert Davis	19	20	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.31	-23	-3	-20	19.8	13.9	5.92	11.7	16.3	-4.60
Christian Laettner	44	46	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.19	-19	-7	-12	14.7	15.5	-0.73	14.8	15.8	-1.05
Jahidi White	55	57	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.35	-25	-1	-24	15.7	14.3	1.43	15.2	15.4	-0.19

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Starks	48	48	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.37	26	0	26	14.0	16.7	-2.78	15.2	15.0	0.27
Karl Malone	37	35	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.51	30	-4	34	13.2	16.7	-3.47	16.9	14.1	2.77
Olden Polynice	42	42	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.48	29	-3	32	13.5	16.8	-3.33	15.8	14.6	1.17
Donyell Marshall	35	34	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.26	19	7	12	14.5	15.8	-1.24	15.9	14.6	1.29
Jacque Vaughn	72	74	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.16	3	23	-20	16.2	12.6	3.56	14.6	17.1	-2.58
John Stockton	22	20	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.43	23	3	20	12.6	16.2	-3.56	17.1	14.6	2.58
Bryon Russell	26	28	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.13	11	15	-4	13.7	15.9	-2.25	14.0	15.6	-1.59
Greg Ostertag	52	52	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.22	-3	29	-32	16.8	13.5	3.33	14.6	15.8	-1.17
Danny Manning	26	28	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	25	-24	15.9	15.1	0.83	12.8	16.1	-3.27
David Benoit	42	42	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.13	-1	27	-28	16.5	14.3	2.18	14.7	15.4	-0.73
John Crotty	35	35	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.13	-4	30	-34	17.5	14.0	3.50	15.5	14.9	0.63
Scott Padgett	33	32	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.13	-4	30	-34	17.4	14.2	3.24	15.2	15.1	0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 67, LAL 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	99.0%
CHH 86, NYK 113	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.9%
WAS 67, NJN 111	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.6%