NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	103		Excitement	1.6 [43]		MVP	Kyshawn George (WAS): +27.6%
Orlando Magic	94		Comeback	2.2 [25]		LVP	Tristan da Silva (ORL): -21.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyshawn George	0.28	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.15	0.12	-0.01	15	71%	0.29	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Anthony Davis	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.04	0.03	17	75%	0.22	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Bub Carrington	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	150%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Riley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.03	12	52%	0.05	3	-0.06	5	60%	-0.03
Bilal Coulibaly	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.04	5	58%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
AJ Dybantsa	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	17	52%	0.03	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.02
Tre Johnson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Franz Wagner	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.05	0.02	18	62%	0.19	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.03
Nikola Vučević	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Desmond Bane	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.08,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	17	59%	0.11	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Cain	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	5	100%	0.09	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Jase Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	8	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Morales	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Tristan da Silva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.15,-0.17,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.12	-0.09	0.01	14	36%	-0.07	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.2	29.5	0.0	25.0	0.0	29.3	0.0
league avg	26.9	1.3	30.1	12.9	30.9	1.6	33.3	137.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +37.9%

ORL -5.9%

WAS +2.3%

WAS +13.7%

WAS +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ORL	NBA	WAS	ORL	NBA
this game	14.8	16.5	14.1	112.0	102.2	110.5
season	14.6	14.8		112.7	106.3
opponent	14.2	14.7		115.9	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.2	14.4	13.9	16.7	14.8
ORL	15.8	16.9	17.4	16.0	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trae Young	86	85	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.18	20	-11	31	15.0	12.5	2.45	16.9	11.6	5.35
Bilal Coulibaly	91	91	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.25	11	-2	13	14.9	6.0	8.89	16.7	2.0	14.67
Bub Carrington	56	55	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.15	12	-3	15	15.1	14.4	0.71	17.5	15.0	2.57
Tre Johnson	82	83	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.20	7	2	5	14.8	14.5	0.33	16.8	14.1	2.66
Anthony Davis	76	76	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.14	8	1	7	15.3	12.6	2.70	16.6	16.3	0.24
AJ Dybantsa	76	76	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.14	8	1	7	15.3	12.6	2.70	16.6	16.3	0.24
Kyshawn George	83	85	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	6	-3	15.1	12.1	2.97	16.4	18.1	-1.77
Deandre Ayton	58	59	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.12	5	4	1	14.4	15.4	-1.03	17.1	15.5	1.60
Will Riley	24	24	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.02	-5	14	-19	14.2	15.0	-0.74	15.7	16.8	-1.03

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jevon Carter	75	75	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.11	-9	0	-9	17.1	13.8	3.37	14.7	15.1	-0.40
Nikola Vučević	51	50	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.17	-8	-1	-7	16.8	16.2	0.61	14.0	15.7	-1.69
Alex Morales	58	58	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.15	-11	2	-13	16.9	15.9	0.95	14.4	15.5	-1.07
Jamal Cain	72	71	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.35	-5	-4	-1	16.9	14.9	1.99	15.2	13.3	1.89
Tristan da Silva	92	92	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	0	-9	16.5	0.0	16.51	14.8	0.0	14.79
Franz Wagner	92	92	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.24	-9	0	-9	16.5	0.0	16.51	14.8	0.0	14.79
Wendell Carter Jr.	91	91	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.26	-11	2	-13	16.7	2.0	14.67	14.9	6.0	8.89
Desmond Bane	86	87	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.18	-18	9	-27	16.9	11.5	5.36	14.8	14.6	0.20
Jase Richardson	80	81	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.20	-18	9	-27	16.5	16.7	-0.18	15.1	12.4	2.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.25,0.19,0.31,0.24,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 109, DEN 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.15,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.1%
ORL 104, TOR 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.03,0.03,0.01,0	93.9%
ORL 88, PHI 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.28,0.33,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.07,0.06,0,0	93.5%