NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	132		Excitement	6.4 [257]		MVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (NYK): +27.6%
Orlando Magic	120		Comeback	1.8 [321]		LVP	Anthony Black (ORL): -18.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.28	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.27	0.06	0.06	11	91%	0.28	0	0.00	10	90%	0.04
Jalen Brunson	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.18	0.07	0.02	27	63%	0.30	2	-0.06	9	67%	-0.02
OG Anunoby	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	13	75%	0.19	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.01
Mikal Bridges	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.00	13	57%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mitchell Robinson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	83%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Guerschon Yabusele	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Kolek	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	12	50%	0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Suggs	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	-0.01	0.03	16	68%	0.16	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.00	0.04	6	78%	0.08	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Jett Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.00	5	80%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jase Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.01	0.04	4	90%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paolo Banchero	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	22	50%	0.10	5	-0.11	6	83%	0.02
Desmond Bane	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	17	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Tristan da Silva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Black	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.14	-0.06	-0.01	15	36%	-0.06	4	-0.13	3	33%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.2	35.3	13.8	29.0	3.3	38.1	148.2
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.9	14.5	29.5	2.3	32.7	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +49.5%

NYK +6.0%

ORL -11.7%

NYK +7.7%

ORL -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ORL	NBA	NYK	ORL	NBA
this game	13.8	13.3	14.1	124.5	113.2	113.8
season	14.8	14.0		119.5	114.1
opponent	14.1	13.7		112.0	114.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.4	12.0	12.7	13.8	13.8
ORL	13.8	12.9	13.4	13.4	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Kolek	67	69	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.17	13	-1	14	13.2	14.9	-1.69	14.0	12.1	1.93
Karl-Anthony Towns	93	93	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.09	15	-3	18	13.6	15.5	-1.98	13.4	13.0	0.39
Mikal Bridges	105	105	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.14	12	0	12	13.9	1.0	12.92	13.2	28.0	-14.80
Jalen Brunson	104	104	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.14	12	0	12	13.9	7.5	6.42	13.2	20.5	-7.30
OG Anunoby	105	105	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.14	12	0	12	13.9	1.0	12.92	13.2	28.0	-14.80
Mitchell Robinson	79	80	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.08	8	4	4	13.8	13.8	0.03	13.3	13.4	-0.06
Josh Hart	84	85	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	9	-6	13.7	14.3	-0.59	13.0	14.6	-1.54
Jordan Clarkson	76	76	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	10	-8	14.5	12.0	2.47	13.5	12.9	0.66
Guerschon Yabusele	44	43	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	11	-10	15.0	12.9	2.13	13.8	13.0	0.72

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Suggs	77	78	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-11	10	13.8	12.1	1.75	13.8	13.9	-0.17
Paolo Banchero	99	100	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-9	6	12.9	19.4	-6.52	14.0	10.8	3.15
Tyus Jones	40	40	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.00	-6	-6	0	15.1	12.2	2.91	15.0	13.1	1.92
Jase Richardson	26	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	-8	4	13.4	13.3	0.06	13.8	13.8	-0.03
Jonathan Isaac	60	60	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-4	-4	14.1	12.4	1.68	14.0	13.5	0.57
Tristan da Silva	64	62	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-5	-2	14.6	11.5	3.09	14.1	13.3	0.79
Wendell Carter Jr.	98	100	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-5	-2	13.4	12.1	1.31	13.7	15.3	-1.62
Goga Bitadze	71	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-4	-4	14.5	11.0	3.45	14.1	13.3	0.75
Jett Howard	83	84	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.10	-12	0	-12	14.3	9.9	4.43	14.1	12.5	1.59
Anthony Black	100	100	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.14	-12	0	-12	13.4	12.2	1.24	13.5	18.3	-4.80
Desmond Bane	102	102	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	0	-12	13.5	8.2	5.29	14.1	7.2	6.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.4,0.25,0.33,0.36,0.45,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.07,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 94, MEM 85	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.01,0	93.0%
HOU 94, POR 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.26,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.47,0.38,0.44,0.29,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0	92.9%
MIL 144, BKN 122	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.33,0.19,0.15,0.04,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	92.6%