NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	116		Excitement	8.5 [168]		MVP	Dillon Brooks (PHX): +51.5%
Phoenix Suns	114		Comeback	4.5 [182]		LVP	Grayson Allen (PHX): -22.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.28	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.28	-0.07	0.32	-0.03	17	54%	0.43	8	-0.14	14	64%	-0.20
Jaxson Hayes	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.04	0.01	4	92%	0.13	2	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Deandre Ayton	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	11	83%	0.14	3	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04
Gabe Vincent	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.02	5	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	58%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rui Hachimura	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake LaRavia	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	9	30%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Smart	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	7	44%	-0.08	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Luka Don?i?	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.17,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.04	0.01	25	45%	0.01	6	-0.17	14	93%	0.06

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dillon Brooks	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.52	0.52	0.10	0.46	0.04	9	90%	0.58	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.06
Mark Williams	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.15	0.01	0.07	10	87%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	-0.02	-0.02	7	86%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Collin Gillespie	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.04	0.02	9	56%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jamaree Bouyea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Richards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04	-0.04	0.09	-0.07	0.06	17	54%	-0.02	1	-0.01	16	81%	-0.01
Jordan Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	7	36%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	6	42%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Oso Ighodaro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Grayson Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.23	-0.23	-0.01	-0.20	0.02	11	50%	-0.19	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	0.1	36.4	14.3	36.0	0.0	43.2	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -31.0%

LAL +34.9%

LAL +41.3%

LAL +4.6%

LAL +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHX	NBA	LAL	PHX	NBA
this game	14.9	12.8	14.2	111.5	109.6	113.5
season	14.5	14.1		115.4	113.1
opponent	14.6	14.1		111.7	114.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.3	15.5	14.4	15.4	14.9
PHX	12.7	14.5	12.7	11.2	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gabe Vincent	79	79	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.05	18	-16	34	14.8	15.3	-0.51	13.3	10.9	2.46
LeBron James	104	104	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	14.9	0.0	14.89	12.7	0.0	12.75
Luka Don?i?	100	100	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.42	2	0	2	15.0	11.0	4.05	12.9	10.0	2.86
Jaxson Hayes	81	82	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.00	12	-10	22	14.7	15.5	-0.75	13.5	10.1	3.31
Rui Hachimura	74	73	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.11	13	-11	24	14.9	15.0	-0.15	13.8	10.4	3.37
Jarred Vanderbilt	37	37	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.00	6	-4	10	15.2	14.7	0.54	15.0	11.5	3.45
Marcus Smart	88	88	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.34	-10	12	-22	15.3	12.4	2.90	12.6	13.3	-0.66
Jake LaRavia	81	81	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.18	6	-4	10	15.5	12.9	2.60	12.8	12.5	0.35
Deandre Ayton	80	79	-0.41	0.91	-1.33	-0.27	-5	7	-12	15.4	13.2	2.19	13.0	11.9	1.15

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dillon Brooks	69	71	0.34	-0.84	1.18	0.22	4	-6	10	13.1	12.1	1.00	15.2	14.3	0.91
Jamaree Bouyea	12	13	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	0	-2	14.0	12.6	1.41	14.8	14.9	-0.05
Mark Williams	77	78	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.23	4	-6	10	13.3	11.2	2.06	15.8	12.2	3.60
Nick Richards	6	5	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.12	-9	7	-16	16.3	12.5	3.80	11.8	15.1	-3.25
Ryan Dunn	75	77	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.44	9	-11	20	12.0	14.7	-2.69	15.1	14.3	0.86
Oso Ighodaro	65	66	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	4	-10	13.0	12.4	0.54	14.5	15.7	-1.20
Jordan Goodwin	78	79	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	7	-16	13.8	9.7	4.08	14.8	15.3	-0.51
Collin Gillespie	103	103	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.49	0	-2	2	12.9	0.0	12.87	15.0	0.0	15.04
Royce O'Neale	104	104	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	12.7	0.0	12.75	14.9	0.0	14.89
Devin Booker	103	104	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.45	-2	0	-2	12.7	18.0	-5.30	14.9	0.0	14.89
Grayson Allen	93	94	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.36	-10	8	-18	12.9	11.2	1.75	15.0	14.1	0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.59,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.39,0.29,0.15,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 108, MEM 94	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.72,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%
DEN 110, MIN 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.32,0.22,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.01,0.02,0,0,0	93.4%
PHI 108, DEN 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.29,0.19,0.13,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.02,0.08,0	93.0%