NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	108		Excitement	5.8 [646]		MVP	Ty Lawson (DEN): +14.5%
Denver Nuggets	105		Comeback	2.4 [268]		LVP	J.R. Smith (DEN): -17.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Smith	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	4	87%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	11	67%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Allen Iverson	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.02	11	59%	0.14	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.04
Rodney Carney	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.00	0.03	5	110%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	4	80%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Willie Green	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	-0.05	0.03	-0.04	11	37%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Lou Williams	0.01	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	10	52%	0.02	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	9	52%	0.04	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.03	3	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	9	31%	-0.09	3	-0.06	8	50%	-0.05

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ty Lawson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.15	0.15	0.16	0.06	0.07	13	70%	0.15	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Nene	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.01	0.04	15	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	9	67%	-0.08
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	-0.05	0.04	12	65%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	12	52%	0.03	3	-0.06	9	33%	-0.09
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	0.01	3	33%	-0.04	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.17	-0.03	-0.03	12	33%	-0.04	6	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.4	31.6	16.5	25.4	2.5	39.4	145.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +1.3%

PHI +28.8%

PHI +2.4%

PHI +18.6%

DEN -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DEN	NBA	PHI	DEN	NBA
this game	15.9	13.2	15.3	109.1	106.1	106.0
season	15.1	14.4		104.2	110.3
opponent	15.5	15.8		106.4	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.9	12.9	15.9	20.1	15.9
DEN	11.8	13.3	14.1	13.5	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Green	41	41	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.26	13	-10	23	15.8	16.1	-0.31	14.2	12.4	1.86
Jrue Holiday	20	21	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.11	17	-14	31	16.2	15.9	0.33	14.7	12.7	1.98
Elton Brand	70	70	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.45	2	1	1	16.4	14.9	1.47	13.5	12.3	1.24
Jason Smith	14	15	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.15	10	-7	17	16.5	15.8	0.65	16.2	12.6	3.59
Rodney Carney	29	29	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.06	7	-4	11	15.4	16.1	-0.69	14.1	12.7	1.40
Andre Iguodala	71	71	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.40	-6	9	-15	16.0	15.8	0.21	12.6	14.6	-2.03
Thaddeus Young	51	48	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	-1	5	14.0	18.0	-4.00	13.1	13.2	-0.09
Allen Iverson	72	73	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.24	-7	10	-17	15.9	16.1	-0.19	12.8	14.1	-1.31
Marreese Speights	24	25	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	6	-9	16.7	15.7	1.07	10.3	14.1	-3.84
Samuel Dalembert	39	39	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.10	-7	10	-17	17.0	15.2	1.75	13.5	12.9	0.64
Lou Williams	64	63	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.21	-15	18	-33	16.2	15.5	0.70	12.3	14.6	-2.29

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Andersen	19	19	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.04	-1	-2	1	12.3	13.4	-1.10	16.6	15.8	0.79
Arron Afflalo	54	55	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.40	12	-15	27	12.2	14.3	-2.04	17.6	13.9	3.70
Nene	77	76	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.33	4	-7	11	13.1	13.2	-0.04	15.8	16.5	-0.76
Joey Graham	67	68	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	4	-11	13.2	13.0	0.22	14.3	19.5	-5.11
Ty Lawson	64	66	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.33	3	-6	9	12.8	13.9	-1.09	15.6	16.7	-1.14
Kenyon Martin	84	86	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.42	2	-5	7	12.9	14.4	-1.47	16.1	15.0	1.08
Anthony Carter	41	38	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	7	-17	14.2	12.4	1.74	16.6	15.5	1.04
Malik Allen	18	17	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.11	-11	8	-19	15.2	12.7	2.46	15.3	16.1	-0.78
J.R. Smith	71	70	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.42	-7	4	-11	13.5	12.1	1.41	16.2	15.3	0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.29,0.19,0.13,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.02,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 120, SEA 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.29,0.1,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%
TOR 101, MIA 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.7,0.69,0.76,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.36,0.22,0.13,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	93.6%
DAL 88, MIN 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.65,0.52,0.56,0.4,0.22,0.3,0.22,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0	93.3%