NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	119		Excitement	10.5 [36]		MVP	Brandon Miller (CHA): +21.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	111		Comeback	10.7 [67]		LVP	Donovan Mitchell (CLE): -44.4%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Miller	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.21	-0.02	0.23	-0.00	23	50%	0.35	4	-0.14	4	100%	0.06
Kon Knueppel	0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2	0.15	0.08	0.03	19	69%	0.24	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Moussa Diabat�	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.00	3	71%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Josh Green	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Kalkbrenner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	4	70%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Tidjane Sala�n	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Drew Peterson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.09	-0.04	19	48%	-0.00	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
KJ Simpson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	9	30%	-0.03	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Sion James	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.27	0.01	-0.25	0.03	9	50%	-0.08	1	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaylon Tyson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.19	0.19	0.05	0.16	0.02	13	57%	0.21	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.05
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.03	0.01	9	70%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.01	4	91%	0.11	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Nae'Qwan Tomlin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	3	117%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Proctor	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.01	8	43%	0.01	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Craig Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	7	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Lonzo Ball	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	8	44%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Darius Garland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.04,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12	-0.12	0.02	-0.16	-0.01	19	57%	0.05	4	-0.17	8	87%	0.05
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.32,-0.32,-0.39,-0.39,-0.44,-0.44	-0.44	-0.16	-0.28	-0.00	24	32%	-0.40	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.0	0.1	31.2	0.1	41.9	0.0	36.7	2.4	13.5	149.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	2.2	16.6	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +69.6%

CLE -6.7%

CHA +22.6%

CLE -43.4%

CHA +7.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	CLE	NBA	CHA	CLE	NBA
this game	15.6	13.9	14.2	109.2	104.7	113.5
season	14.8	13.5		115.1	116.0
opponent	14.5	14.0		111.3	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHA	14.7	15.8	17.3	15.4	14.2	15.6
CLE	14.0	14.9	13.3	13.6	14.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tidjane Sala�n	98	95	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.41	11	-3	14	16.0	12.5	3.41	14.1	12.5	1.66
Kon Knueppel	103	100	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.20	12	-4	16	15.6	15.3	0.30	13.7	17.3	-3.59
Miles Bridges	100	98	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.22	11	-3	14	15.5	16.6	-1.03	13.9	14.9	-1.01
Brandon Miller	107	105	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.24	8	0	8	15.6	14.0	1.64	13.9	20.0	-6.11
Sion James	101	98	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.25	7	1	6	15.8	13.9	1.88	13.8	16.0	-2.22
Josh Green	71	70	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.06	10	-2	12	15.7	15.4	0.30	13.6	14.7	-1.10
Moussa Diabat�	85	81	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.27	2	6	-4	15.7	15.2	0.57	13.8	14.6	-0.81
Mason Plumlee	41	41	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.06	8	0	8	16.5	15.1	1.40	13.9	14.0	-0.11
Drew Peterson	32	31	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.06	7	1	6	15.2	15.8	-0.56	14.8	13.6	1.22
Ryan Kalkbrenner	63	61	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.00	3	5	-2	15.5	15.8	-0.37	14.0	13.8	0.17
KJ Simpson	82	79	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	7	-6	15.7	15.3	0.37	13.8	14.2	-0.37

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrese Proctor	14	15	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.00	6	-14	20	12.5	14.2	-1.66	14.7	15.8	-1.02
Dean Wade	73	73	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.12	-2	-6	4	13.6	14.7	-1.09	15.6	15.6	-0.04
Craig Porter Jr.	9	8	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.07	-7	-1	-6	18.4	13.5	4.92	15.6	15.6	0.01
Thomas Bryant	58	61	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-6	4	13.5	14.5	-1.06	15.8	15.3	0.50
Jarrett Allen	65	68	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.00	-7	-1	-6	13.9	14.0	-0.17	15.5	15.9	-0.42
De'Andre Hunter	72	75	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	2	-12	13.8	14.2	-0.39	15.6	15.6	-0.00
Nae'Qwan Tomlin	69	71	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.05	-10	2	-12	13.9	14.0	-0.09	16.0	15.0	0.98
Lonzo Ball	100	103	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.24	-6	-2	-4	14.0	13.3	0.65	15.6	15.7	-0.06
Jaylon Tyson	106	109	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	0	-8	13.9	0.0	13.94	15.6	0.0	15.61
Donovan Mitchell	106	109	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	0	-8	13.9	0.0	13.94	15.6	0.0	15.61
Darius Garland	91	94	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.22	-10	2	-12	13.7	15.1	-1.39	15.6	15.5	0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.3,0.19,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.53,0.39,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.5,0.55,0.29,0.15,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 124, LAL 122	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.18,0.24,0.31,0.26,0.41,0.47,0.38,0.28,0.22,0.42,0.5,0.39,0.16,0.02,0.09,0	91.6%
BOS 98, TOR 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.4,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.54,0.39,0.54,0.23,0.02,0	91.1%
MEM 100, OKC 99	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.11,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.33,0.32,0.11,0.31,0.42,0.54,0.38,0.28,0.23,0.27,0	90.4%