NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	115		Excitement	3.5 [876]		MVP	Duncan Robinson (DET): +13.8%
Detroit Pistons	142		Comeback	1.2 [824]		LVP	Jalen Johnson (ATL): -10.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	-0.00	-0.01	14	65%	0.13	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Keaton Wallace	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mouhamed Gueye	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	5	62%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
V�t Krej?�	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Asa Newell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.08	-0.00	0.10	5	83%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Luke Kennard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaccharie Risacher	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	8	62%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dyson Daniels	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.07	10	64%	0.02	3	-0.06	8	75%	-0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	0.00	10	50%	-0.00	5	-0.08	8	75%	-0.00
Jalen Johnson	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	19	45%	-0.00	6	-0.10	4	100%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Duncan Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.01	-0.03	10	71%	0.14	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Daniss Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.03	-0.05	4	73%	0.11	1	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Ronald Holland II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	3	100%	0.09	2	-0.00	6	100%	0.02
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.15	0.03	0.09	9	85%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Jalen Duren	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.03	10	58%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	6	67%	0.02	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Javonte Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	7	56%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cade Cunningham	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	10	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03
Marcus Sasser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.08	0.00	0.08	3	117%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ausar Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	9	60%	0.05	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jaden Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	0.07	8	62%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	0.0	32.0	0.0	29.9	0.0	30.2	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.0	14.3	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +24.4%

DET +9.7%

ATL -4.7%

DET +21.0%

ATL -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DET	NBA	ATL	DET	NBA
this game	12.8	13.9	14.2	105.5	132.7	113.5
season	13.3	14.1		113.2	115.7
opponent	14.3	14.5		107.9	112.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.5	12.7	12.4	12.7	12.8
DET	13.2	13.5	13.3	15.6	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Asa Newell	35	34	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.13	-12	-15	3	14.0	12.2	1.79	15.3	13.2	2.06
Mouhamed Gueye	81	80	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.29	-19	-8	-11	12.9	12.7	0.14	14.0	13.5	0.51
Keaton Wallace	84	83	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.31	-23	-4	-19	13.1	11.8	1.37	13.9	13.6	0.30
Luke Kennard	79	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.40	-27	0	-27	13.0	12.2	0.80	13.7	14.2	-0.48
Zaccharie Risacher	66	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.27	-23	-4	-19	12.7	13.1	-0.42	14.1	13.5	0.60
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	87	86	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.34	-28	1	-29	12.6	13.6	-0.97	13.5	15.3	-1.77
Onyeka Okongwu	86	85	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.23	-25	-2	-23	12.8	12.7	0.15	13.3	16.2	-2.92
V�t Krej?�	109	107	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.29	-27	0	-27	12.8	0.0	12.82	13.9	0.0	13.86
Jalen Johnson	87	85	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.41	-31	4	-35	12.4	14.4	-1.94	13.4	15.8	-2.47
Dyson Daniels	85	83	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.38	-30	3	-33	12.5	13.9	-1.36	13.3	15.7	-2.33

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronald Holland II	92	93	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.39	32	-5	37	14.0	13.3	0.69	13.2	10.7	2.42
Isaiah Stewart	81	81	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.54	37	-10	47	13.4	15.3	-1.96	13.3	11.4	1.96
Javonte Green	65	66	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.38	31	-4	35	14.3	13.2	1.06	13.0	12.5	0.58
Caris LeVert	84	86	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.54	36	-9	45	13.4	15.5	-2.06	13.1	11.8	1.31
Duncan Robinson	70	71	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.17	23	4	19	13.3	14.8	-1.49	12.5	13.5	-1.01
Tobias Harris	62	63	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.13	21	6	15	13.6	14.2	-0.63	12.4	13.3	-0.88
Jalen Duren	69	69	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.11	20	7	13	13.3	14.9	-1.60	12.2	13.9	-1.67
Ausar Thompson	70	70	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.11	20	7	13	13.5	14.5	-1.00	12.8	12.8	0.03
Cade Cunningham	65	65	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.15	21	6	15	13.4	14.6	-1.17	12.7	13.0	-0.35
Daniss Jenkins	58	59	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.15	16	11	5	14.2	13.4	0.83	13.6	11.9	1.66
Jaden Ivey	73	72	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.38	22	5	17	13.7	14.3	-0.59	12.8	12.8	0.01
Marcus Sasser	25	26	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.05	2	25	-23	15.6	13.3	2.27	12.7	12.9	-0.16
Paul Reed	25	26	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.05	2	25	-23	15.6	13.3	2.27	12.7	12.9	-0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.8,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 80, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.83,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
CHI 80, LAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
NYK 101, TOR 116	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.72,0.71,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%