NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	101		Excitement	5.2 [240]		MVP	Bobby Portis (MIL): +35.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	116		Comeback	4.6 [22]		LVP	Sam Hauser (BOS): -12.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Walsh	0.19	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.03	0.02	10	95%	0.21	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.03	17	70%	0.19	4	-0.09	9	89%	0.02
Neemias Queta	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
Baylor Scheierman	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hugo Gonz�lez	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.02	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Payton Pritchard	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	14	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Simons	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	9	35%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Josh Minott	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.02	0.04	4	70%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Derrick White	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	12	41%	-0.00	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Sam Hauser	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.20	-0.02	-0.09	10	0%	-0.13	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.29	0.11	0.04	13	104%	0.36	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.19	0.03	0.01	17	79%	0.30	3	-0.08	5	80%	-0.00
Kevin Porter Jr.	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.02	-0.01	10	72%	0.14	3	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	9	72%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	6	75%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Thanasis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pete Nance	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Jackson Jr.	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Coffey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Rollins	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jericho Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	6	25%	-0.06	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.3	33.4	0.0	32.9	0.0	24.9	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.8	14.6	29.4	2.3	32.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +64.4%

BOS -2.7%

BOS -9.6%

BOS -3.3%

MIL +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	MIL	NBA	BOS	MIL	NBA
this game	15.7	14.1	14.1	105.2	119.6	113.7
season	15.0	14.4		119.5	112.1
opponent	14.2	14.6		116.4	114.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.7	14.8	20.1	14.8	15.7
MIL	15.6	12.9	12.0	15.9	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baylor Scheierman	44	43	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.00	-5	-10	5	13.8	17.4	-3.59	15.9	12.7	3.14
Neemias Queta	67	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.11	-13	-2	-11	16.5	13.9	2.64	13.7	14.9	-1.18
Jordan Walsh	67	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.06	-10	-5	-5	16.9	13.2	3.68	14.1	14.1	-0.03
Derrick White	77	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	-1	-13	16.9	11.0	5.91	14.1	14.3	-0.19
Jaylen Brown	73	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.02	-14	-1	-13	17.4	10.4	7.03	13.9	14.6	-0.68
Sam Hauser	96	97	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.06	-15	0	-15	15.7	0.0	15.74	14.1	0.0	14.11
Anfernee Simons	83	82	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.10	-15	0	-15	15.7	15.8	-0.03	14.1	14.0	0.13
Josh Minott	81	81	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.07	-16	1	-17	15.9	14.7	1.19	14.1	14.0	0.14
Payton Pritchard	80	80	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.02	-20	5	-25	16.8	10.6	6.21	13.6	16.6	-3.00
Hugo Gonz�lez	64	64	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.04	-21	6	-27	16.7	13.9	2.80	13.6	15.1	-1.44

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cole Anthony	72	72	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.03	21	-6	27	13.6	15.6	-2.06	16.4	13.7	2.71
Gary Harris	93	92	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.03	18	-3	21	13.8	20.2	-6.40	16.2	4.7	11.47
Kyle Kuzma	74	72	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.12	12	3	9	13.4	16.3	-2.87	16.8	12.6	4.15
Bobby Portis	80	79	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	4	7	14.0	14.5	-0.50	16.5	12.4	4.12
Myles Turner	69	68	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.06	10	5	5	13.4	15.7	-2.30	15.9	15.4	0.54
Kevin Porter Jr.	75	76	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	4	7	14.3	13.3	1.03	16.4	13.2	3.21
Ryan Rollins	52	54	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.01	8	7	1	13.6	14.7	-1.07	16.5	14.8	1.70
Thanasis Antetokounmpo	23	24	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.01	8	7	1	15.9	13.6	2.36	14.7	16.1	-1.32
Pete Nance	23	24	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.01	8	7	1	15.9	13.6	2.36	14.7	16.1	-1.32
Andre Jackson Jr.	19	20	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.10	11	4	7	15.0	13.9	1.10	16.7	15.5	1.28
Amir Coffey	19	20	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.10	11	4	7	15.0	13.9	1.10	16.7	15.5	1.28
Gary Trent Jr.	68	67	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	11	-7	13.8	14.8	-0.92	16.3	14.6	1.70
Jericho Sims	44	46	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	11	-7	14.8	13.5	1.29	14.5	16.9	-2.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.31,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.24,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.25,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 83, HOU 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.2,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.16,0.23,0.28,0.36,0.43,0.45,0.59,0.53,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.81,0.9,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
WAS 72, DEN 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.78,0.87,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
MIL 94, NYK 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.48,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%