NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	126		Excitement	1.7 [595]		MVP	Zyon Pullin (MIN): +18.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	132		Comeback	1.0 [1005]		LVP	Derik Queen (NOP): -11.5%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Micah Peavy	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	-0.01	0.04	12	66%	0.09	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Trey Alexander	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.03	0.02	11	64%	0.07	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.06
Josh Oduro	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	80%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Jeremiah Fears	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.05	28	51%	0.05	2	-0.03	14	86%	0.02
Hunter Dickinson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hawkins	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	18	32%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Derik Queen	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12	-0.03	-0.06	0.03	28	47%	-0.00	4	-0.11	8	87%	0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zyon Pullin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.05	0.00	12	73%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joan Beringer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.17	0.02	0.04	12	73%	0.15	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.02
Rocco Zikarsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	3	80%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.00	10	75%	0.18	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Julian Phillips	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	12	53%	0.09	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03
Enrique Freeman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	8	65%	0.07	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Clark	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	9	44%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Shannon Jr.	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	0.04	18	48%	0.01	3	-0.06	18	78%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.6	2.2	30.2	13.4	25.2	0.0	40.4	0.0
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +65.0%

NOP -2.5%

NOP -11.7%

NOP -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	MIN	NBA	NOP	MIN	NBA
this game	13.3	13.4	14.2	116.7	122.2	113.4
season	14.0	14.0		112.2	113.4
opponent	14.1	14.1		111.6	116.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	12.7	13.1	13.2	14.1	13.3
MIN	12.4	14.1	14.5	12.6	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Oduro	75	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-1	-4	13.4	12.9	0.55	14.1	11.7	2.43
Hunter Dickinson	93	94	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-3	0	13.9	9.4	4.48	13.8	10.6	3.13
Derik Queen	103	103	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.34	-2	-4	2	13.1	15.8	-2.66	13.7	6.8	6.89
Trey Alexander	95	96	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-3	0	13.6	10.8	2.83	13.6	11.6	2.01
Micah Peavy	101	100	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.26	-5	-1	-4	13.2	14.1	-0.94	13.8	8.0	5.80
Jordan Hawkins	101	100	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.32	-4	-2	-2	13.6	8.4	5.17	14.0	6.0	7.96
Jeremiah Fears	108	108	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	0	-6	13.3	0.0	13.26	13.4	0.0	13.37

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zyon Pullin	108	108	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	0	6	13.4	0.0	13.37	13.3	0.0	13.26
Julian Phillips	107	107	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.27	8	-2	10	13.4	7.0	6.43	13.3	9.0	4.30
Enrique Freeman	103	102	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.28	7	-1	8	13.5	10.6	2.90	13.7	5.3	8.39
Jaylen Clark	99	99	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.27	6	0	6	14.1	5.0	9.13	13.5	10.3	3.19
Rocco Zikarsky	86	86	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.08	12	-6	18	13.9	11.4	2.46	13.8	11.0	2.84
Terrence Shannon Jr.	97	98	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.29	5	1	4	13.4	12.9	0.51	13.1	15.3	-2.25
Joan Beringer	91	91	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.31	0	6	-6	13.9	10.5	3.37	13.3	12.9	0.45
Joe Ingles	77	78	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.29	-3	9	-12	14.3	11.1	3.19	13.7	12.2	1.51
Donte DiVincenzo	18	19	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	5	-4	13.4	13.4	0.09	11.6	13.6	-2.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.77,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.98,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 83, ORL 91	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.97,1,0.99,1	94.2%
BOS 83, CLE 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.65,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.79,0.79,0.84,0.75,0.68,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
CHA 114, DET 115	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.74,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.81,0.85,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.93,1	94.0%