NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	120		Excitement	1.3 [996]		MVP	Goga Bitadze (ORL): +12.6%
Orlando Magic	132		Comeback	1.7 [900]		LVP	Julian Phillips (MIN): -7.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Naz Reid	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	11	60%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Donte DiVincenzo	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.03	7	86%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Shannon Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.29	0.00	0.26	14	97%	0.05	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.00
Bones Hyland	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.08	8	56%	0.07	5	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jaden McDaniels	0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	16	53%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Jaylen Clark	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.01	0.05	4	87%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joan Beringer	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	0.00	0.04	10	43%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Julian Phillips	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	9	33%	-0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Goga Bitadze	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.02	-0.05	11	58%	0.13	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Paolo Banchero	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.02	0.02	11	74%	0.15	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Franz Wagner	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.04	-0.01	13	61%	0.13	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Tristan da Silva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.00	9	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.14	0.00	0.09	4	137%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Suggs	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.02	6	92%	0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Cain	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	8	47%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jase Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Colin Castleton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Morales	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Noah Penda	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Bane	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.02	13	62%	0.08	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Anthony Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00	3	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	5	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	0.0	28.2	0.0	28.5	0.0	29.9	0.0
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +32.8%

ORL +6.2%

ORL +8.0%

ORL +2.4%

ORL +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	ORL	NBA	MIN	ORL	NBA
this game	13.5	14.7	14.2	116.5	130.7	113.4
season	14.0	14.2		113.4	112.0
opponent	14.2	14.1		111.4	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.4	14.2	11.8	13.0	13.5
ORL	14.5	14.0	13.5	17.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaylen Clark	88	86	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-12	12	13.6	13.2	0.40	14.8	13.7	1.09
Naz Reid	55	55	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.13	-12	0	-12	14.6	12.3	2.27	14.5	14.8	-0.26
Joe Ingles	66	66	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.20	-1	-11	10	14.0	12.8	1.14	15.0	14.0	1.06
Bones Hyland	73	73	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	-1	-10	13.7	13.1	0.67	14.1	16.2	-2.15
Terrence Shannon Jr.	93	92	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.18	-3	-9	6	13.8	11.1	2.71	15.0	11.0	4.02
Joan Beringer	70	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-2	-8	13.7	13.2	0.58	15.3	13.3	1.98
Donte DiVincenzo	56	55	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	2	-16	13.9	13.1	0.84	14.1	15.3	-1.22
Jaden McDaniels	50	50	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.01	-13	1	-14	14.0	13.2	0.81	14.0	15.3	-1.27
Julian Phillips	79	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.17	-10	-2	-8	13.0	15.4	-2.39	14.7	14.5	0.27
Kyle Anderson	68	66	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.09	-19	7	-26	14.1	12.4	1.78	14.3	15.3	-0.91

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Franz Wagner	82	82	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.14	22	-10	32	14.4	15.6	-1.19	13.9	12.0	1.88
Desmond Bane	93	94	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.15	22	-10	32	14.2	20.1	-5.93	13.8	10.9	2.91
Goga Bitadze	89	91	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.15	22	-10	32	14.1	19.1	-5.02	13.7	12.6	1.09
Jalen Suggs	61	61	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.02	14	-2	16	14.4	15.1	-0.76	13.7	13.4	0.27
Paolo Banchero	73	75	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.02	11	1	10	13.8	16.9	-3.04	13.7	13.2	0.40
Anthony Black	70	71	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.10	13	-1	14	13.8	16.6	-2.77	13.9	12.8	1.02
Wendell Carter Jr.	45	47	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.07	7	5	2	14.5	14.8	-0.35	14.5	12.8	1.70
Jamal Cain	74	73	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.05	6	6	0	14.9	14.0	0.96	14.4	11.4	3.02
Tristan da Silva	57	57	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	8	-4	14.8	14.5	0.25	14.5	12.3	2.24
Jevon Carter	51	51	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.02	2	10	-8	14.6	14.7	-0.03	15.1	12.1	3.00
Moritz Wagner	24	24	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.19	-6	18	-24	17.0	13.9	3.01	13.0	13.7	-0.65
Jase Richardson	24	24	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.19	-6	18	-24	17.0	13.9	3.01	13.0	13.7	-0.65
Noah Penda	24	24	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.19	-6	18	-24	17.0	13.9	3.01	13.0	13.7	-0.65
Colin Castleton	24	24	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.19	-6	18	-24	17.0	13.9	3.01	13.0	13.7	-0.65
Alex Morales	24	24	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.19	-6	18	-24	17.0	13.9	3.01	13.0	13.7	-0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.76,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 88, BOS 109	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
GSW 107, MEM 123	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
TOR 62, PHI 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%