inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 95 Excitement4.0 [961] MVPBrandon Ingram (TOR): +18.1%
Toronto Raptors 121 Comeback1.2 [747] LVPPelle Larsson (MIA): -13.8%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andrew Wiggins0.110,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.150.000.041377%0.173-0.05580%0.01
Tyler Herro0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.070.02-0.02870%0.111-0.00475%-0.00
Norman Powell0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.000.00-0.041250%0.052-0.014100%0.02
Kel'el Ware0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.00-0.01642%0.0100.0000%0.00
Myron Gardner0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Keshad Johnson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.080.000.082117%0.0000.002100%0.00
Vladislav Goldin0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Trevor Keels0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Davion Mitchell-0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.011141%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Kasparas Jaku?ionis-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.05-0.00-0.0330%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Bam Adebayo-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.09-0.00-0.061325%-0.0300.002100%0.01
Jaime Jaquez Jr.-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.11-0.01-0.061233%-0.003-0.0500%0.00
Pelle Larsson-0.140,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.09-0.020.03935%-0.073-0.072100%0.01

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandon Ingram0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.090.03-0.061668%0.233-0.042100%0.00
Jakob Poeltl0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.01-0.011359%0.101-0.01333%-0.02
Scottie Barnes0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.16-0.000.081669%0.111-0.02475%-0.00
Sandro Mamukelashvili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.00-0.01955%0.041-0.00250%-0.01
Ja'Kobe Walter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.01856%0.0300.0000%0.00
Immanuel Quickley0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.01350%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jonathan Mogbo00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
A.J. Lawson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jamison Battle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gradey Dick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00267%0.0010.002100%0.00
Trayce Jackson-Davis00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Collin Murray-Boyles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.000.01743%-0.0100.0000%0.00
RJ Barrett0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.01-0.011646%0.032-0.04367%0.00
Jamal Shead0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.070.00-0.03437%0.013-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.20.131.312.628.80.830.2130.0
league avg26.41.929.114.229.82.132.7136.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +38.9%
MIA -3.2%
TOR +8.7%
TOR +4.1%
TOR +1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIATORNBAMIATORNBA
this game14.114.014.293.1117.5113.6
season12.913.9114.9113.7
opponent14.814.5111.2112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA13.914.514.713.414.1
TOR12.714.315.313.814.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Myron Gardner2627-0.02-0.480.460.22-8-181013.414.4-0.9713.814.0-0.25
Keshad Johnson2627-0.02-0.480.460.22-8-181013.414.4-0.9713.814.0-0.25
Vladislav Goldin2627-0.02-0.480.460.22-8-181013.414.4-0.9713.814.0-0.25
Trevor Keels2627-0.02-0.480.460.22-8-181013.414.4-0.9713.814.0-0.25
Kasparas Jaku?ionis8183-0.19-0.310.120.25-15-11-414.213.80.4413.814.5-0.67
Kel'el Ware6767-0.23-0.270.050.07-10-16615.212.13.1213.814.2-0.44
Norman Powell8083-0.33-0.17-0.160.26-20-6-1414.711.92.8013.914.0-0.11
Tyler Herro8180-0.33-0.17-0.160.23-19-7-1214.711.82.9514.512.02.53
Pelle Larsson6461-0.39-0.11-0.270.20-20-6-1415.012.52.5214.213.60.54
Davion Mitchell5655-0.46-0.04-0.410.13-20-6-1415.212.82.3314.213.70.43
Bam Adebayo9191-0.47-0.03-0.440.17-22-4-1814.610.44.2014.112.61.56
Andrew Wiggins8483-0.50-0.00-0.490.33-282-3015.010.14.8514.212.81.38
Jaime Jaquez Jr.9596-0.500.00-0.500.23-25-1-2414.49.74.7214.112.31.80

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Scottie Barnes96950.500.000.50-0.232512414.112.31.8014.49.74.72
Jamal Shead91910.500.000.50-0.2927-12814.212.41.7514.69.65.01
Ja'Kobe Walter90890.470.030.44-0.242422213.914.2-0.3114.89.55.32
Sandro Mamukelashvili87870.470.030.44-0.182241813.715.3-1.6014.99.75.21
Collin Murray-Boyles73730.430.070.360.051313014.412.81.5914.513.11.36
RJ Barrett73750.400.100.30-0.131881014.113.50.6014.812.22.56
Brandon Ingram83840.350.150.21-0.14179814.511.82.6814.611.82.83
Immanuel Quickley60610.350.150.20-0.031313014.313.50.7714.313.80.47
Jakob Poeltl60590.020.48-0.46-0.16620-1414.912.62.3715.012.92.04
Jonathan Mogbo27260.020.48-0.46-0.22818-1013.814.0-0.2513.414.4-0.97
A.J. Lawson27260.020.48-0.46-0.22818-1013.814.0-0.2513.414.4-0.97
Jamison Battle27260.020.48-0.46-0.22818-1013.814.0-0.2513.414.4-0.97
Gradey Dick27260.020.48-0.46-0.22818-1013.814.0-0.2513.414.4-0.97
Trayce Jackson-Davis20190.020.48-0.46-0.19719-1214.313.90.4214.714.00.77


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.57,0.67,0.66,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 77, ATL 1030.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%
ATL 83, CHA 1030.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%
BKN 101, DEN 1240.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%