NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	116		Excitement	1.3 [986]		MVP	Jalen Duren (DET): +21.4%
Detroit Pistons	127		Comeback	1.0 [927]		LVP	Scottie Barnes (TOR): -15.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
RJ Barrett	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.13	0.05	-0.02	12	71%	0.22	2	-0.02	10	80%	0.05
A.J. Lawson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	0.01	0.05	5	100%	0.08	1	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	9	65%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Garrett Temple	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gradey Dick	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markelle Fultz	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.08	-0.01	0.08	15	58%	0.01	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Sandro Mamukelashvili	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	0.00	0.09	13	62%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Shead	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Collin Murray-Boyles	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	13	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01
Ja'Kobe Walter	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Barnes	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.03	-0.03	8	25%	-0.06	4	-0.10	4	25%	-0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Duren	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.24	0.03	0.06	13	94%	0.25	3	-0.04	7	100%	0.03
Duncan Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.17	0.02	0.07	9	90%	0.14	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Daniss Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.03	0.03	9	78%	0.19	3	-0.08	9	100%	0.02
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.02	0.02	7	80%	0.10	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Marcus Sasser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	4	100%	0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.03	9	55%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.02
Paul Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.01	0.05	6	83%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Javonte Green	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	6	57%	0.04	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Ronald Holland II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	10%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Ausar Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.01	-0.02	6	36%	0.01	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	1.4	28.6	13.7	36.1	1.2	31.0	140.5
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +57.8%

DET +2.3%

TOR -5.2%

TOR -8.9%

DET +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	DET	NBA	TOR	DET	NBA
this game	12.9	15.0	14.2	113.7	122.1	113.4
season	13.9	14.2		113.5	114.8
opponent	14.4	14.8		107.6	110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.0	13.4	13.0	12.4	12.9
DET	15.7	14.8	12.8	17.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gradey Dick	16	16	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.18	6	-17	23	12.7	13.0	-0.23	16.6	14.7	1.88
Garrett Temple	22	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.25	8	-19	27	12.5	13.1	-0.62	16.9	14.5	2.40
Markelle Fultz	25	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.25	8	-19	27	12.4	13.1	-0.66	17.0	14.3	2.69
Jakob Poeltl	57	59	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.17	-17	6	-23	14.3	11.2	3.12	13.8	16.6	-2.79
Sandro Mamukelashvili	81	83	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.17	-6	-5	-1	12.7	13.8	-1.09	14.2	18.0	-3.80
Brandon Ingram	76	79	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.24	-24	13	-37	13.7	10.6	3.12	13.7	18.8	-5.09
A.J. Lawson	92	94	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.18	-10	-1	-9	13.0	12.8	0.16	14.9	16.0	-1.14
Jamal Shead	88	90	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.14	-12	1	-13	13.3	10.6	2.75	14.7	17.0	-2.34
RJ Barrett	79	82	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.24	-25	14	-39	13.7	10.5	3.18	14.2	17.9	-3.67
Scottie Barnes	87	90	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.17	-23	12	-35	13.3	11.0	2.28	14.3	19.1	-4.74
Collin Murray-Boyles	97	101	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	0	-11	13.0	11.0	2.04	14.9	16.3	-1.40
Ja'Kobe Walter	76	79	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.04	-16	5	-21	13.3	11.8	1.57	14.3	17.0	-2.72

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Duren	102	100	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.16	12	-1	13	14.9	21.0	-6.15	12.9	13.5	-0.57
Kevin Huerter	88	85	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.18	11	0	11	14.8	15.9	-1.14	13.1	12.2	0.92
Marcus Sasser	56	55	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.02	18	-7	25	14.3	15.7	-1.37	13.1	12.8	0.32
Duncan Robinson	86	84	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.09	13	-2	15	14.5	17.4	-2.99	13.3	11.2	2.15
Caris LeVert	89	86	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.18	10	1	9	14.6	17.2	-2.60	12.8	13.4	-0.59
Ausar Thompson	76	72	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.03	15	-4	19	14.2	17.0	-2.73	13.8	10.8	3.08
Paul Reed	76	73	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.01	16	-5	21	14.3	16.8	-2.53	13.8	10.8	3.00
Ronald Holland II	70	67	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.11	19	-8	27	13.8	17.4	-3.58	13.2	12.4	0.87
Tobias Harris	91	90	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.12	9	2	7	14.5	18.2	-3.64	13.1	11.4	1.73
Daniss Jenkins	91	90	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.12	9	2	7	14.5	18.2	-3.64	13.1	11.4	1.73
Javonte Green	14	12	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	12	-13	14.2	15.1	-0.87	14.8	12.7	2.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 82, DAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
LAL 93, OKC 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.3%
IND 77, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.56,0.67,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%