inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 109 Excitement1.6 [618] MVPShai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): +31.8%
Boston Celtics 119 Comeback3.1 [306] LVPJalen Williams (OKC): -3.2%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0.320,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.320.270.080.031292%0.362-0.041283%0.02
Luguentz Dort0.080,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.050.050.03978%0.133-0.0600%0.00
Jared McCain0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.010.03-0.02650%0.0600.0000%0.00
Cason Wallace0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.00558%0.0300.002100%0.01
Isaiah Joe0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.000.01462%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jaylin Williams0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.010.00267%0.0200.00250%-0.02
Isaiah Hartenstein0.000,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01650%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chet Holmgren0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.02-0.01756%0.031-0.03475%0.00
Ajay Mitchell-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.01-0.02944%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Alex Caruso-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.001137%-0.0200.002100%0.02
Jalen Williams-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.01-0.01932%-0.0300.00475%-0.00

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jaylen Brown0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.090.10-0.031765%0.285-0.071486%0.04
Neemias Queta0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.090.040.00772%0.1300.00475%0.00
Payton Pritchard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.070.06-0.011164%0.1210.0000%0.00
Baylor Scheierman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.080.040.00869%0.1200.0000%0.00
Sam Hauser0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.03-0.01950%0.0600.0000%0.00
Luka Garza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.00478%0.091-0.0410%-0.01
Jayson Tatum0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.020.03-0.011263%0.165-0.136100%0.07
Hugo González0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.000.01275%0.0100.0000%0.00
Derrick White0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.010.001146%-0.001-0.014100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.30.025.20.034.30.037.60.0
league avg26.51.929.214.229.92.132.8136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +25.2%
BOS +11.6%
BOS +22.6%
OKC -10.1%
BOS +0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCBOSNBAOKCBOSNBA
this game13.715.814.2112.4121.4113.4
season13.915.5116.6118.4
opponent14.414.7110.6106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC12.915.213.113.613.7
BOS15.715.415.716.415.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jaylin Williams6566-0.18-0.320.13-0.04-5-5013.713.7-0.0115.915.70.22
Jalen Williams5657-0.20-0.300.10-0.11-3-7413.214.3-1.0616.015.50.51
Luguentz Dort6365-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.04-8-2-614.412.32.0915.915.60.30
Isaiah Hartenstein6564-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.22-8-2-613.713.70.0415.815.80.02
Isaiah Joe8585-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.12-133-1613.415.7-2.3616.213.22.97
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander9697-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.21-100-1013.714.0-0.3215.818.0-2.22
Ajay Mitchell9798-0.500.00-0.50-0.21-100-1013.70.013.6815.80.015.81
Alex Caruso9697-0.500.00-0.50-0.15-122-1413.85.08.7715.92.013.95
Cason Wallace9597-0.520.02-0.53-0.17-122-1413.710.53.2516.01.014.96
Chet Holmgren7779-0.560.07-0.63-0.10-166-2214.311.23.1215.716.2-0.44
Jared McCain6162-0.690.19-0.88-0.05-2212-3413.613.8-0.2416.215.11.05

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sam Hauser75760.61-0.110.730.2612-21415.915.40.5413.813.30.44
Jaylen Brown93920.55-0.050.590.1912-21416.012.63.3813.713.40.30
Derrick White83830.52-0.020.530.1612-21415.616.9-1.2514.011.72.30
Payton Pritchard98970.500.000.500.211001015.80.015.8113.70.013.68
Neemias Queta94930.460.040.410.161001015.913.22.6613.99.54.36
Luka Garza69690.340.160.190.0211-11216.414.41.9313.613.8-0.20
Baylor Scheierman71710.300.200.090.2719-815.915.60.2913.414.5-1.12
Hugo González69670.230.27-0.040.0273416.015.30.6613.514.0-0.46
Jayson Tatum84820.180.32-0.140.1228-616.014.91.1113.713.30.41


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.42,0.31,0.4,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.76,0.79,0.9,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHH 88, ATL 1010.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.38,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.5%
SAC 108, ATL 1220.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,194.3%
BKN 89, TOR 1050.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,193.4%