inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 88 Excitement5.3 [753] MVPDion Glover (ATL): +20.8%
Atlanta Hawks 101 Comeback3.2 [347] LVPRobert Traylor (CHH): -8.2%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
David Wesley0.010,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.012352%0.052-0.04450%-0.01
Matt Bullard0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,00.04-0.010.03760%0.0000.001100%0.00
Jerome Moiso0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kirk Haston-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.070.00-0.0730%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Bryce Drew-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Baron Davis-0.010,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.011753%0.083-0.082100%0.01
Stacey Augmon-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.01444%-0.0100.0010%-0.00
Elden Campbell-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.011749%0.042-0.061100%0.00
Jamaal Magloire-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.070.00-0.0420%-0.002-0.0300%0.00
P.J. Brown-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Lee Nailon-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.011040%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Robert Traylor-0.080,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.040.01542%-0.041-0.04250%-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dion Glover0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.090.08-0.041368%0.231-0.0320%-0.03
Jason Terry0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.030.04-0.042145%0.0500.00786%0.02
Hanno Mottola0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.02475%0.0300.0000%0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.050.03-0.041547%0.062-0.044100%0.03
Mark Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.01-0.00-0.01650%0.0200.0000%0.00
Cal Bowdler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.02-0.00-0.04433%0.0200.001100%0.00
Jacque Vaughn0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.06-0.01-0.03643%0.022-0.052100%0.01
Nazr Mohammed0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.030.000.00755%-0.021-0.01850%-0.04
DerMarr Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.03-0.001146%-0.022-0.052100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.01.825.415.723.32.324.9118.3
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +30.9%
ATL +11.1%
ATL +3.3%
ATL +12.5%
CHH -7.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHHATLNBACHHATLNBA
this game16.214.815.694.6108.6102.3
season15.915.5102.299.7
opponent15.215.6103.9101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHH13.517.918.015.516.2
ATL17.814.014.812.814.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kirk Haston77-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-151712.916.4-3.5812.615.0-2.41
Jerome Moiso77-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-151712.916.4-3.5812.615.0-2.41
Jamaal Magloire2022-0.05-0.450.40-0.081-141513.217.0-3.7216.114.41.70
Stacey Augmon2121-0.09-0.410.320.03-4-9515.416.4-0.9613.015.3-2.38
Lee Nailon5656-0.17-0.330.16-0.11-2-11916.216.10.2015.813.32.53
Bryce Drew1616-0.17-0.330.160.01-6-7114.216.6-2.4010.915.6-4.74
P.J. Brown4544-0.22-0.280.06-0.07-5-8317.415.12.2915.014.60.43
Robert Traylor2828-0.22-0.280.05-0.02-7-6-115.616.4-0.7616.114.21.88
Baron Davis7777-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.13-7-6-116.614.22.4015.610.94.74
Matt Bullard3434-0.37-0.13-0.240.07-152-1716.815.80.9313.115.8-2.74
David Wesley8182-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.13-10-3-716.216.2-0.0915.112.52.66
Elden Campbell7371-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.04-141-1517.013.23.7214.416.1-1.70

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dion Glover46440.73-0.230.960.2018-52313.216.3-3.1216.715.70.97
Cal Bowdler42430.490.010.49-0.0318-52315.414.31.0717.614.92.71
Jason Terry91910.490.010.470.111301315.04.510.5216.310.06.31
Mark Strickland37370.420.080.34-0.1118-52313.915.4-1.5015.816.4-0.69
DerMarr Johnson44450.380.120.27-0.0615-21714.415.1-0.7317.914.53.37
Shareef Abdur-Rahim72730.150.35-0.200.09211-915.612.03.5516.215.90.35
Nazr Mohammed51490.080.42-0.350.22-518-2314.315.4-1.0714.817.7-2.87
Jacque Vaughn63630.050.45-0.390.11-215-1715.014.40.5315.118.5-3.44
Hanno Mottola1920-0.300.80-1.100.05-1225-3716.614.32.2414.716.6-1.88


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.38,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 114, DET 1310.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.27,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.29,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.85,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.0%
BKN 93, GSW 1020.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.21,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.68,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,193.7%
PHX 93, MIN 1050.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.96,1,1,193.6%