NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	93		Excitement	6.3 [537]		MVP	Jose Juan Barea (MIN): +19.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	105		Comeback	2.2 [751]		LVP	Goran Dragic (PHX): -20.3%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
PJ Tucker	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.06	0.00	5	90%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.03	0.05	11	83%	0.17	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Jared Dudley	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	-0.01	11	57%	0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Wesley Johnson	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.02	13	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Marshall	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Hamed Haddadi	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	1	0%	-0.03	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.14	-0.07	-0.02	13	50%	0.02	8	-0.20	2	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.17	-0.06	-0.02	11	38%	-0.03	6	-0.17	4	50%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.08	0.08	-0.03	9	89%	0.28	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.08	-0.00	8	57%	0.13	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Derrick Williams	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	12	62%	0.12	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.03	0.01	12	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Alexey Shved	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Stiemsma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.01	9	67%	0.09	4	-0.13	3	67%	-0.01
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.03	0.05	18	56%	0.05	4	-0.12	7	100%	0.03
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	4	20%	-0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.7	28.3	15.5	24.1	0.3	28.2	121.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +10.8%

MIN +12.4%

MIN +4.6%

MIN +22.1%

MIN +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIN	NBA	PHX	MIN	NBA
this game	14.0	14.6	15.4	92.1	104.0	104.1
season	15.2	15.6		99.7	101.3
opponent	14.9	15.1		103.4	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.9	13.2	14.8	15.2	14.0
MIN	14.3	14.5	13.5	16.1	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luis Scola	74	75	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-11	10	13.5	15.3	-1.87	14.8	13.8	1.01
Wesley Johnson	63	65	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-8	4	13.6	14.5	-0.87	14.5	14.6	-0.09
Goran Dragic	79	79	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-12	12	13.6	15.1	-1.50	15.0	13.1	1.87
Markieff Morris	78	79	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-7	2	13.9	14.0	-0.11	15.0	13.1	1.87
PJ Tucker	75	76	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.19	-3	-9	6	14.0	13.8	0.26	14.2	15.6	-1.44
Marcus Morris	26	24	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-5	-2	15.0	13.6	1.45	14.7	14.5	0.26
Hamed Haddadi	23	22	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-11	-1	-10	14.7	13.8	0.90	13.6	14.8	-1.17
Kendall Marshall	27	26	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.07	-16	4	-20	15.2	13.5	1.72	13.1	15.1	-1.94
Jared Dudley	60	59	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.16	-13	1	-14	14.0	13.9	0.10	14.5	14.6	-0.07

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Stiemsma	66	67	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.01	17	-5	22	14.3	14.9	-0.59	13.8	14.2	-0.37
Jose Juan Barea	45	45	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.11	12	0	12	15.4	13.9	1.44	14.4	13.6	0.83
Chase Budinger	35	36	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.08	10	2	8	14.6	14.5	0.11	15.5	13.1	2.35
Luke Ridnour	66	65	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.13	8	4	4	13.8	16.0	-2.17	13.6	14.6	-0.92
Dante Cunningham	72	72	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.15	6	6	0	14.7	14.3	0.39	13.6	15.0	-1.41
Andrei Kirilenko	80	78	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	7	-2	14.5	14.7	-0.14	13.8	14.4	-0.56
Ricky Rubio	76	76	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.07	4	8	-4	14.7	14.0	0.68	13.7	14.8	-1.06
Derrick Williams	50	50	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.06	-2	14	-16	14.7	14.5	0.21	13.8	14.1	-0.28
Alexey Shved	15	16	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	12	-12	14.6	14.5	0.05	15.2	13.7	1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 77, DAL 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.71,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1	94.0%
SAC 108, ATL 122	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
ORL 83, IND 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.55,0.45,0.44,0.56,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.8%