NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	116		Excitement	7.0 [407]		MVP	Jalen Brunson (NYK): +32.7%
New York Knicks	121		Comeback	1.7 [754]		LVP	Dejounte Murray (NOP): -14.7%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremiah Fears	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.15	0.13	0.00	12	87%	0.33	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Karlo Matkovi?	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.03	0.00	6	100%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zion Williamson	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14	0.17	0.00	0.03	10	79%	0.17	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.01
Saddiq Bey	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	13	64%	0.17	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Herbert Jones	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	-0.00	0.01	8	81%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trey Murphy III	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.00	15	53%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yves Missi	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derik Queen	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	8	29%	-0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	-0.15	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	12	27%	-0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.18,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.33	0.33	0.14	0.18	-0.00	19	68%	0.38	2	-0.06	9	89%	0.05
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.08	-0.03	17	57%	0.22	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.03	0.00	5	100%	0.16	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	-0.00	0.01	16	62%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	-0.00	6	71%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Hart	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.05	-0.01	8	48%	0.07	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.03
Mohamed Diawara	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.04	0.01	12	58%	0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jose Alvarado	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	0.6	26.1	14.3	26.1	1.3	39.2	134.4
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +20.5%

NYK +15.8%

NYK +19.3%

NOP -8.6%

NYK +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	NYK	NBA	NOP	NYK	NBA
this game	14.1	16.5	14.2	122.1	130.1	113.7
season	14.1	14.9		111.9	118.0
opponent	14.2	14.1		111.4	116.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	15.9	14.0	11.3	15.2	14.1
NYK	14.4	16.6	18.7	16.1	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zion Williamson	74	73	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.44	14	-19	33	13.7	15.6	-1.96	17.0	14.7	2.22
Derik Queen	68	67	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-7	9	13.8	14.9	-1.11	17.3	14.3	2.98
Karlo Matkovi?	63	62	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.34	8	-13	21	13.8	14.7	-0.94	17.9	13.6	4.32
Dejounte Murray	87	86	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.47	7	-12	19	14.0	15.2	-1.26	16.6	15.6	1.00
Saddiq Bey	90	88	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.38	1	-6	7	14.2	11.6	2.63	16.8	11.8	4.96
Jeremiah Fears	55	52	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.19	-7	2	-9	15.4	12.3	3.06	16.8	16.1	0.67
Yves Missi	58	57	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	5	-15	15.3	12.3	2.99	16.1	17.1	-1.01
Herbert Jones	82	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	-4	3	14.5	11.5	2.96	16.0	20.0	-4.02
Trey Murphy III	95	93	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	14.1	0.0	14.09	16.5	0.0	16.49

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Brunson	93	95	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	0	5	16.5	0.0	16.49	14.1	0.0	14.09
OG Anunoby	93	95	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	0	5	16.5	0.0	16.49	14.1	0.0	14.09
Jordan Clarkson	76	78	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.33	4	1	3	16.8	14.9	1.90	13.7	16.1	-2.46
Mitchell Robinson	77	79	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	2	1	17.3	12.6	4.75	14.1	14.1	0.04
Karl-Anthony Towns	72	73	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.51	-10	15	-25	16.2	17.4	-1.21	14.2	13.8	0.36
Mikal Bridges	84	85	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.50	-13	18	-31	16.7	14.9	1.78	14.0	15.0	-1.01
Josh Hart	84	85	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.50	-13	18	-31	16.7	14.9	1.78	14.0	15.0	-1.01
Jose Alvarado	18	19	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.21	-11	16	-27	18.6	16.0	2.56	13.6	14.2	-0.58
Mohamed Diawara	57	57	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.19	-12	17	-29	17.8	14.4	3.48	13.4	15.1	-1.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.66,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.94,0.95,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 96, ATL 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.38,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.97,1,1,1	92.1%
CHI 102, CLE 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.64,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.54,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.83,0.85,0.97,0.99,1,1	92.1%
SAS 100, MIA 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.65,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.57,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.99,1	92.0%