NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	124		Excitement	7.3 [376]		MVP	Kevin Durant (HOU): +37.7%
Chicago Bulls	132		Comeback	3.7 [156]		LVP	Reed Sheppard (HOU): -13.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.38	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.38	0.22	0.15	-0.01	23	74%	0.41	4	-0.03	8	62%	-0.01
Alperen Sengun	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.25	0.00	0.09	19	80%	0.35	2	-0.18	3	0%	-0.08
Amen Thompson	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.08	0.05	12	70%	0.18	2	-0.02	9	78%	0.05
Aaron Holiday	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	3	50%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tari Eason	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	31%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jabari Smith Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.09	0.05	-0.03	10	29%	0.01	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Josh Okogie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae'Sean Tate	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reed Sheppard	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	17	38%	-0.04	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matas Buzelis	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.10	-0.01	16	68%	0.24	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Leonard Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.07	-0.03	11	71%	0.21	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.04
Josh Giddey	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.06,0.06,0.2,0.2	0.20	-0.01	0.18	-0.03	14	47%	0.22	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.08	-0.01	8	94%	0.22	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tre Jones	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.04	0.12	0.01	11	58%	0.17	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.05
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.11	-0.05	0.03	14	66%	0.13	2	-0.10	10	90%	0.03
Nick Richards	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.01	7	55%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Rob Dillingham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	7	64%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	0.0	28.2	0.0	29.2	0.0	36.3	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +4.9%

CHI +15.4%

CHI +16.7%

CHI +13.7%

HOU -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	CHI	NBA	HOU	CHI	NBA
this game	13.2	12.6	14.2	109.7	120.0	113.7
season	15.4	13.6		115.9	111.5
opponent	14.2	14.0		117.1	111.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.1	13.0	12.4	13.0	13.2
CHI	10.5	14.7	12.4	13.1	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Okogie	20	21	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-8	8	14.5	12.9	1.62	11.4	12.9	-1.54
Jae'Sean Tate	9	9	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-8	8	12.4	13.2	-0.79	10.9	12.8	-1.89
Aaron Holiday	77	76	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.46	10	-18	28	13.1	13.2	-0.08	12.9	11.9	1.04
Clint Capela	30	27	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.26	-20	12	-32	14.1	12.8	1.27	10.9	13.2	-2.35
Tari Eason	69	69	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.11	-8	0	-8	14.2	11.5	2.69	12.4	12.9	-0.48
Dorian Finney-Smith	66	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.03	-14	6	-20	14.3	11.6	2.62	11.8	13.8	-1.95
Jabari Smith Jr.	103	102	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.37	-1	-7	6	13.4	10.8	2.60	12.8	10.1	2.70
Amen Thompson	112	109	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	0	-8	13.2	4.0	9.25	12.7	3.0	9.72
Kevin Durant	113	110	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	0	-8	13.2	0.0	13.17	12.6	0.0	12.63
Alperen Sengun	107	103	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	2	-12	13.4	8.8	4.58	12.4	16.0	-3.60
Reed Sheppard	90	89	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.24	-10	2	-12	14.3	8.7	5.67	12.4	13.8	-1.40

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matas Buzelis	89	90	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.24	9	-1	10	12.8	11.9	0.95	13.9	10.4	3.43
Collin Sexton	110	113	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.27	8	0	8	12.6	0.0	12.63	13.2	0.0	13.17
Jalen Smith	110	113	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.27	8	0	8	12.6	0.0	12.63	13.2	0.0	13.17
Tre Jones	110	113	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.27	8	0	8	12.6	0.0	12.63	13.2	0.0	13.17
Leonard Miller	98	101	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.24	8	0	8	12.3	15.1	-2.76	13.4	10.9	2.52
Josh Giddey	92	92	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.29	6	2	4	12.7	12.3	0.35	13.8	10.3	3.48
Nick Richards	68	67	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	6	-4	12.4	13.0	-0.56	14.4	11.4	3.00
Patrick Williams	70	71	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.01	-4	12	-16	12.3	13.2	-0.94	13.7	12.2	1.48
Rob Dillingham	39	39	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.03	-8	16	-24	14.1	11.8	2.29	14.3	12.6	1.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.81,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.51,0.28,0.39,0.63,0.68,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 95, WAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.72,0.89,0.96,1	91.2%
PHX 93, POR 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.41,0.53,0.47,0.72,0.9,0.98,1	90.8%
ORL 95, CLE 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.62,0.79,0.69,0.92,1	90.7%