NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	110		Excitement	2.9 [216]		MVP	Daniss Jenkins (DET): +61.1%
Detroit Pistons	113		Comeback	1.9 [467]		LVP	Luka Don?i? (LAL): -19.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deandre Ayton	0.27	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.27	0.08	0.18	-0.01	6	81%	0.29	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.03
Austin Reaves	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.18	0.07	0.11	0.01	15	62%	0.32	3	-0.14	9	89%	0.03
Jake LaRavia	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	4	87%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaxson Hayes	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.02	0.00	5	92%	0.11	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jarred Vanderbilt	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.14,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	46%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.07
Maxi Kleber	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	10	52%	0.14	4	-0.15	3	100%	0.03
Adou Thiero	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Luka Don?i?	-0.20	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.2	0.02	-0.21	0.00	29	48%	-0.13	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.03

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniss Jenkins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.61	0.61	0.19	0.43	0.00	18	75%	0.67	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.14
Jalen Duren	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.04	-0.02	9	71%	0.22	3	-0.09	10	100%	0.07
Javonte Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Tobias Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.02	0.09	-0.00	14	45%	0.11	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	0.00	6	58%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.02	-0.03	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duncan Robinson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.05	-0.01	10	60%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Holland II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	7	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Ausar Thompson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19	-0.20	-0.09	-0.11	0.00	11	26%	-0.15	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	0.0	32.9	0.0	23.2	0.0	40.6	0.0
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +27.9%

LAL -11.6%

DET +16.5%

DET +16.0%

DET +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DET	NBA	LAL	DET	NBA
this game	14.7	15.3	14.2	113.4	118.9	113.4
season	14.7	14.2		114.9	114.8
opponent	14.4	14.2		107.6	114.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.4	14.5	14.0	15.8	14.7
DET	14.8	12.7	18.7	15.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarred Vanderbilt	65	63	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-7	11	14.5	15.0	-0.51	16.2	13.5	2.75
Adou Thiero	21	19	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	11	-25	14.6	14.7	-0.11	12.1	16.1	-4.05
Maxi Kleber	22	23	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.32	-1	-2	1	16.1	14.2	1.91	15.5	15.2	0.24
Luke Kennard	94	93	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.36	-1	-2	1	14.7	12.0	2.74	15.4	12.0	3.37
Jaxson Hayes	96	95	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	0	-3	14.7	9.0	5.72	15.3	0.0	15.29
Jake LaRavia	92	91	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.36	-4	1	-5	14.9	9.4	5.55	15.2	16.7	-1.52
Luka Don?i?	97	95	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	0	-3	14.7	0.0	14.66	15.3	0.0	15.29
Deandre Ayton	76	74	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.32	-9	6	-15	15.0	13.4	1.63	15.4	15.0	0.44
Austin Reaves	89	87	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.43	-8	5	-13	15.0	10.6	4.40	15.2	16.6	-1.45
LeBron James	83	81	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.41	-12	9	-21	14.9	13.4	1.52	15.3	15.3	0.01

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tobias Harris	80	83	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.44	10	-7	17	15.4	14.5	0.90	14.9	13.4	1.52
Javonte Green	69	71	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.26	15	-12	27	14.3	18.0	-3.67	15.3	13.0	2.27
Duncan Robinson	80	82	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.37	10	-7	17	15.4	14.5	0.90	15.0	13.1	1.88
Ausar Thompson	79	81	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.27	13	-10	23	15.4	14.7	0.66	14.9	13.6	1.31
Daniss Jenkins	95	97	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.41	3	0	3	15.3	0.0	15.29	14.7	0.0	14.66
Paul Reed	82	83	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.23	7	-4	11	15.5	13.8	1.68	14.8	14.0	0.77
Jalen Duren	74	76	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.40	-1	4	-5	15.7	13.8	1.91	14.9	13.7	1.21
Kevin Huerter	75	76	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.37	0	3	-3	15.6	14.1	1.51	15.1	13.0	2.12
Caris LeVert	78	80	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	1	1	15.5	14.5	0.93	14.3	16.4	-2.12
Ronald Holland II	43	44	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	0.08	-15	18	-33	16.7	14.2	2.52	14.7	14.6	0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.84,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.74,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.68,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 98, NOP 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.56,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.82,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.77,0.95,1	93.1%
SEA 88, POR 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.85,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.72,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.42,0.63,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.85,0.94,0.83,1	92.4%
CHI 100, WAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.57,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.87,0.73,1	92.1%