NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	126		Excitement	8.2 [262]		MVP	Trendon Watford (PHI): +14.3%
Utah Jazz	116		Comeback	2.4 [618]		LVP	Cody Williams (UTA): -18.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trendon Watford	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.07	0.02	11	71%	0.21	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.04
Quentin Grimes	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.07	0.01	15	69%	0.25	4	-0.10	6	100%	0.04
Adem Bona	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.05	0.01	12	57%	0.12	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Cameron Payne	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.00	10	64%	0.13	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Jabari Walker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
MarJon Beauchamp	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	4	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dominick Barlow	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dalen Terry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
VJ Edgecombe	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.05	0.03	19	52%	0.07	2	-0.12	4	75%	-0.01
Justin Edwards	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	10	38%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Andre Drummond	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bez Mbeng	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.03	0.00	7	81%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Oscar Tshiebwe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.06	0.01	6	67%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Konchar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.06	0.00	8	53%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Ace Bailey	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	0.00	20	52%	0.15	2	-0.07	8	87%	0.06
Kennedy Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	-0.00	0.09	-0.05	0.05	13	58%	-0.00	0	0.00	7	100%	0.03
Elijah Harkless	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.06	0.00	13	54%	0.08	2	-0.14	2	100%	0.02
Kyle Filipowski	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	14	36%	-0.06	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Cody Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	15	42%	-0.04	3	-0.15	6	83%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.9	1.6	30.2	11.3	28.9	0.3	28.0	132.2
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +36.7%

UTA -1.9%

PHI +26.2%

UTA -13.0%

PHI +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	UTA	NBA	PHI	UTA	NBA
this game	13.7	14.1	14.2	121.2	112.6	113.7
season	14.5	13.9		113.6	111.5
opponent	13.7	13.9		119.9	113.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	11.9	14.1	12.8	16.2	13.7
UTA	15.7	11.1	16.0	13.8	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trendon Watford	63	61	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.18	12	-2	14	14.5	12.6	1.87	13.4	15.0	-1.56
VJ Edgecombe	82	83	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.30	6	4	2	14.3	11.7	2.53	14.1	14.0	0.10
Adem Bona	66	65	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.20	6	4	2	14.2	13.0	1.18	14.1	14.0	0.08
Quentin Grimes	101	100	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.16	7	3	4	13.6	19.3	-5.78	14.1	13.0	1.11
Jabari Walker	60	61	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.10	11	-1	12	13.4	14.1	-0.68	15.4	12.2	3.15
MarJon Beauchamp	62	62	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	6	-2	12.9	15.0	-2.07	15.0	12.6	2.40
Andre Drummond	89	88	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	9	-8	13.4	15.5	-2.12	14.0	14.5	-0.46
Cameron Payne	84	85	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.02	3	7	-4	13.6	14.1	-0.47	14.4	12.4	1.98
Dominick Barlow	8	9	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	10	-10	10.7	14.0	-3.22	16.1	13.9	2.23
Justin Edwards	76	75	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.09	2	8	-6	13.4	14.7	-1.31	13.9	14.7	-0.83
Dalen Terry	29	28	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	0.03	-10	20	-30	14.1	13.6	0.48	11.1	15.2	-4.03

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Filipowski	47	49	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.04	2	-12	14	14.0	14.1	-0.06	12.9	14.5	-1.60
Oscar Tshiebwe	35	35	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-6	2	14.9	13.6	1.27	13.3	13.9	-0.66
Elijah Harkless	91	92	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.08	-7	-3	-4	14.0	14.5	-0.48	13.7	14.0	-0.32
Ace Bailey	103	104	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	0	-10	14.1	0.0	14.08	13.7	0.0	13.72
Kennedy Chandler	103	104	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	0	-10	14.1	0.0	14.08	13.7	0.0	13.72
Cody Williams	85	86	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.13	-13	3	-16	13.8	15.4	-1.66	13.5	14.7	-1.14
Bez Mbeng	99	99	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.19	-11	1	-12	14.1	14.2	-0.18	13.8	13.0	0.76
John Konchar	97	97	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	-0.16	-21	11	-32	14.6	6.2	8.40	13.8	13.0	0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.58,0.67,0.66,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.59,0.46,0.19,0.1,0.05,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 71, CLE 66	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.52,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.36,0.35,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.02,0	91.5%
DAL 93, SAC 91	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.48,0.38,0.22,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.24,0.15,0.15,0.02,0	91.1%
GSW 97, DAL 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.65,0.62,0.52,0.6,0.4,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.4,0.35,0.22,0.14,0.01,0,0,0	91.1%