NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	138		Excitement	9.8 [88]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (LAC): +35.4%
Dallas Mavericks	131		Comeback	4.1 [394]		LVP	Cooper Flagg (DAL): -31.0%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0.35	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.20	0.20	0.04	22	69%	0.43	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Darius Garland	0.33	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.19,0.19,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.27	0.08	0.02	24	80%	0.64	4	-0.31	3	100%	0.02
Derrick Jones Jr.	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.11	0.12	0.02	9	83%	0.25	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Jackson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.06	0.00	4	100%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Nicolas Batum	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.04	0.00	3	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.03	-0.03	8	56%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Jordan Miller	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Kris Dunn	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.13	0.11	-0.00	14	64%	0.24	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Marvin Bagley III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.08	0.00	8	89%	0.26	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.02
Naji Marshall	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.13	0.06	23	53%	0.22	2	-0.09	7	71%	-0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	-0.01	0.01	6	100%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Nembhard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	10	62%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	6	57%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Max Christie	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	-0.02	11	29%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.03
Daniel Gafford	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	8	39%	-0.02	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Cooper Flagg	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.25,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.02	-0.27	0.02	16	46%	-0.20	2	-0.11	7	86%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.7	0.0	26.6	0.0	32.0	0.0	34.9	0.0	10.4	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.7	2.2	32.7	2.2	16.6	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +116.1%

DAL -14.4%

DAL -39.2%

DAL -12.8%

LAC +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DAL	NBA	LAC	DAL	NBA
this game	14.4	15.3	14.2	129.0	122.4	113.7
season	14.9	13.9		114.9	109.8
opponent	14.0	14.3		115.4	114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAC	13.6	12.2	13.9	15.7	22.0	14.4
DAL	15.0	14.0	16.2	16.5	14.9	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Batum	67	66	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.45	10	-3	13	13.7	15.4	-1.72	16.5	13.4	3.07
Kawhi Leonard	88	87	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.26	13	-6	19	15.1	11.2	3.91	15.5	14.5	0.99
Kris Dunn	107	107	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.29	7	0	7	14.4	0.0	14.37	15.3	0.0	15.31
Darius Garland	92	95	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.13	12	-5	17	14.2	15.6	-1.43	15.8	11.5	4.29
Derrick Jones Jr.	102	102	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.27	7	0	7	14.6	9.0	5.64	15.2	18.0	-2.82
John Collins	79	81	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.26	6	1	5	14.0	15.4	-1.43	15.5	14.8	0.66
Isaiah Jackson	61	60	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	-3	13	13.2	15.9	-2.74	16.4	13.9	2.56
Brook Lopez	80	79	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	-4	15	15.3	11.7	3.57	15.3	15.3	-0.02
Jordan Miller	99	98	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.24	-2	9	-11	13.8	22.0	-8.24	15.3	15.9	-0.63

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Washington	88	87	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.06	-5	-2	-3	15.5	14.4	1.14	14.2	15.1	-0.95
Khris Middleton	63	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-2	-3	16.0	14.3	1.76	13.2	16.1	-2.84
Marvin Bagley III	94	95	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-3	-1	15.5	13.8	1.66	14.0	17.6	-3.61
Max Christie	66	64	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.00	-17	10	-27	15.8	14.5	1.29	13.2	16.1	-2.87
Naji Marshall	107	107	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.29	-7	0	-7	15.3	0.0	15.31	14.4	0.0	14.37
Ryan Nembhard	100	101	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.33	-6	-1	-5	15.3	15.7	-0.43	14.8	6.5	8.34
Cooper Flagg	92	90	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.28	-11	4	-15	15.4	15.0	0.36	14.6	13.1	1.56
Klay Thompson	89	89	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.29	-13	6	-19	16.0	11.7	4.38	13.3	19.7	-6.36
Daniel Gafford	79	77	-0.96	0.46	-1.43	-0.43	-18	11	-29	15.9	13.6	2.26	14.3	14.5	-0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.65,0.63,0.55,0.45,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.44,0.33,0.23,0.3,0.35,0.33,0.38,0.29,0.15,0.16,0.5,0.41,0.12,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 92, VAN 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.31,0.29,0.05,0.04,0.46,0.31,0.21,0.1,0.05,0	89.3%
NJN 110, IND 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.19,0.28,0.16,0.15,0.46,0.46,0.21,0.09,0,0	88.4%
NYK 118, MIL 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.5,0.38,0.21,0.24,0,0	88.4%