NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	117		Excitement	1.9 [447]		MVP	Luka Garza (BOS): +29.4%
Memphis Grizzlies	112		Comeback	5.2 [572]		LVP	Walter Clayton Jr. (MEM): -17.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luka Garza	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.15	0.17	0.02	12	76%	0.33	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Jaylen Brown	0.19	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.09	0.08	-0.02	23	56%	0.21	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.04
Derrick White	0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	-0.00	0.11	-0.01	15	45%	0.15	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.04
Hugo Gonz�lez	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.00	2	125%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Neemias Queta	0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	4	100%	0.13	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Ron Harper Jr.	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baylor Scheierman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	0.03	-0.02	15	36%	0.00	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
Sam Hauser	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.01	-0.06	0.03	13	59%	0.07	4	-0.14	6	100%	0.03

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Burton	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.14	0.09	0.00	13	77%	0.29	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Cam Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	8	69%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taylor Hendricks	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.03	0.01	7	75%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Javon Small	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.03	0.03	8	76%	0.11	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Ty Jerome	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.05	0.01	17	47%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Wells	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJon Jarreau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	14	45%	0.06	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.03	-0.05	0.04	10	52%	-0.03	1	-0.04	7	71%	-0.02
Walter Clayton Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.07	0.00	7	25%	-0.11	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	0.0	27.5	0.0	31.9	0.0	27.4	0.0
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +19.5%

BOS +8.6%

BOS +34.4%

MEM -12.4%

MEM -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	MEM	NBA	BOS	MEM	NBA
this game	15.6	13.7	14.2	119.4	114.3	113.4
season	15.5	13.8		118.4	111.4
opponent	14.2	14.4		117.2	110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.8	14.6	16.2	17.2	15.6
MEM	13.8	13.1	13.2	14.8	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ron Harper Jr.	22	21	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.31	12	-7	19	17.9	15.0	2.92	15.2	13.3	1.97
Baylor Scheierman	88	87	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.33	7	-2	9	16.2	11.1	5.06	14.2	9.9	4.26
Hugo Gonz�lez	71	71	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.27	9	-4	13	16.2	14.1	2.17	14.0	12.8	1.21
Jaylen Brown	97	97	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.27	8	-3	11	15.8	1.0	14.79	13.8	5.0	8.78
Payton Pritchard	98	98	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	0	5	15.6	0.0	15.64	13.7	0.0	13.69
Jayson Tatum	80	79	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	2	1	16.3	12.8	3.44	14.1	11.9	2.17
Luka Garza	76	77	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.36	2	3	-1	16.5	12.5	3.99	14.0	12.5	1.55
Derrick White	72	72	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.46	-2	7	-9	16.1	14.4	1.66	13.8	13.3	0.58
Neemias Queta	43	45	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.00	-6	11	-17	15.9	15.5	0.43	13.7	13.7	0.03
Sam Hauser	41	42	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.00	-6	11	-17	16.0	15.4	0.61	14.2	13.3	0.87

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ty Jerome	50	49	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-8	11	14.7	12.6	2.09	16.2	15.1	1.04
Jaylen Wells	42	41	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	-3	1	14.3	13.3	0.99	15.6	15.7	-0.06
DeJon Jarreau	90	90	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.22	-5	0	-5	14.1	8.7	5.38	15.4	17.9	-2.43
Taylor Hendricks	65	65	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.31	-4	-1	-3	14.6	11.9	2.74	16.1	14.8	1.24
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	98	98	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	13.7	0.0	13.69	15.6	0.0	15.64
Walter Clayton Jr.	98	98	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	13.7	0.0	13.69	15.6	0.0	15.64
Tyler Burton	98	98	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	13.7	0.0	13.69	15.6	0.0	15.64
Javon Small	93	92	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.35	-7	2	-9	13.8	11.0	2.84	15.8	13.3	2.46
Cam Spencer	80	80	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.41	-8	3	-11	14.4	10.3	4.12	16.1	13.5	2.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.52,0.67,0.8,0.73,0.64,0.47,0.47,0.2,0.07,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 104, UTA 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.41,0.33,0.39,0.11,0.03,0,0	92.9%
MIL 108, BOS 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.48,0.42,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.76,0.68,0.64,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.1,0.16,0.15,0	92.8%
UTA 87, ATL 81	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.8,0.8,0.63,0.58,0.47,0.34,0.2,0.08,0.05,0.03,0	92.3%