NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	99		Excitement	8.0 [281]		MVP	Saddiq Bey (NOP): +22.1%
New Orleans Pelicans	105		Comeback	2.4 [474]		LVP	Brook Lopez (LAC): -29.9%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Jackson	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.09	0.00	9	62%	0.16	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.05
Derrick Jones Jr.	0.16	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.15	0.01	0.01	11	76%	0.20	1	-0.04	7	100%	0.04
Bogdan Bogdanovi?	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.04	0.02	9	80%	0.21	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	8	41%	-0.01	0	0.00	11	64%	-0.04
John Collins	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.05	0.02	14	58%	0.09	3	-0.13	3	33%	-0.05
Kobe Sanders	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	6	42%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cam Christie	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	-0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	8	50%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.28,-0.28,-0.29,-0.3	-0.15	-0.13	0.01	9	25%	-0.23	3	-0.07	6	33%	-0.14

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Saddiq Bey	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.16	0.08	0.02	11	74%	0.22	0	0.00	5	100%	0.05
Zion Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.10	-0.00	7	71%	0.26	2	-0.09	7	71%	0.00
Trey Murphy III	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.04	0.03	17	71%	0.22	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	6	42%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Herbert Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.05	-0.01	11	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Yves Missi	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.01	5	92%	0.11	4	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01
Derik Queen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	5	50%	0.06	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Jeremiah Fears	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	10	40%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Karlo Matkovi?	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.04	-0.03	6	19%	-0.09	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	0.0	26.1	0.0	26.1	0.0	40.3	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +19.2%

NOP +18.7%

NOP +4.9%

NOP +6.0%

NOP +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	NOP	NBA	LAC	NOP	NBA
this game	13.7	15.6	14.2	101.0	107.1	113.7
season	14.9	14.1		115.1	111.9
opponent	14.1	14.4		116.3	113.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.0	14.2	14.0	12.8	13.7
NOP	17.3	13.5	16.0	16.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cam Christie	53	51	0.30	-0.80	1.11	-0.02	11	-17	28	13.6	14.0	-0.39	16.7	14.5	2.22
Kobe Sanders	68	67	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.05	8	-14	22	13.3	14.7	-1.38	16.7	13.4	3.27
John Collins	74	73	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.18	3	-9	12	13.7	13.8	-0.06	15.5	16.0	-0.56
Derrick Jones Jr.	88	86	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.39	4	-10	14	13.7	14.4	-0.73	15.7	15.0	0.71
Kris Dunn	79	78	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.35	2	-8	10	13.4	15.0	-1.56	15.5	16.0	-0.47
Brook Lopez	85	85	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.39	-1	-5	4	13.8	13.4	0.42	15.6	15.5	0.19
Isaiah Jackson	86	85	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.39	-2	-4	2	13.8	13.4	0.37	16.0	12.9	3.11
Jordan Miller	98	98	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	0	-6	13.7	0.0	13.74	15.6	0.0	15.62
Bogdan Bogdanovi?	98	98	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	0	-6	13.7	0.0	13.74	15.6	0.0	15.62

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karlo Matkovi?	91	92	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.33	6	0	6	15.6	15.3	0.36	13.8	13.3	0.44
Herbert Jones	90	91	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.41	2	4	-2	15.5	16.9	-1.36	13.8	13.4	0.34
Zion Williamson	91	91	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.35	2	4	-2	15.5	17.3	-1.79	13.8	13.4	0.34
Trey Murphy III	85	86	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.39	0	6	-6	15.6	15.5	0.19	13.7	14.0	-0.29
Yves Missi	72	72	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.24	0	6	-6	15.6	15.6	0.01	13.6	14.2	-0.66
Saddiq Bey	87	88	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.31	-3	9	-12	15.7	15.1	0.60	13.7	14.4	-0.73
Jordan Poole	78	78	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	5	-4	15.7	15.3	0.41	14.0	12.9	1.06
Derik Queen	61	62	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	8	-10	16.7	13.9	2.78	13.8	13.6	0.21
Jeremiah Fears	66	67	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.00	-5	11	-16	16.8	13.2	3.62	13.5	14.3	-0.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.6,0.54,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.41,0.4,0.6,0.86,0.79,0.96,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 87, POR 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.52,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.72,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.73,0.85,0.93,0.98,1,1	92.3%
POR 71, DET 78	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.78,0.89,0.95,1,1,1	92.2%
TOR 99, WAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.72,0.68,0.53,0.47,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.93,0.99,1	92.0%